Ecosystem vulnerability assessment and synthesis: a report from the Climate Change Response Framework Project in northern Wisconsin

Swanston, Chris; Janowiak, Maria K.; Iverson, Louis R.; Parker, Linda; Mladenoff, David J.; Brandt, Leslie A.; Butler, Patricia R.; Pierre, Matt St.; Prasad, Anantha; Matthews, Stephen N.; Peters, Matthew P.; Higgins, Dale; Dorland, Avery.

doi:10.2737/nrs-gtr-82

Cited by 44 publications

(57 citation statements)

References 1 publication

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Forest Adaptation Resources: Climate Change Tools and Approaches for Land Managers (Swanston and Janowiak 2012) was developed to help managers identify management tactics that facilitate adaptation. A "menu" of adaptation strategies and approaches for planning, implementing, and monitoring adaptation activities was synthesized into an adaptation workbook from a broad set of literature, and refined based on feedback from regional scientists and managers (Butler et al 2011;). …”

Section: Illustrative Case Two: Climate Change Adaptation In Forestsmentioning

confidence: 99%

A comprehensive review of climate adaptation in the United States: more than before, but less than needed

Bierbaum

Smith

Lee

et al. 2012

Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change

357

202

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

We reviewed existing and planned adaptation activities of federal, tribal, state, and local governments and the private sector in the United States (U.S.) to understand what types of adaptation activities are underway across different sectors and scales throughout the country. Primary sources of review included material officially submitted for consideration in the upcoming 2013 U.S. National Climate Assessment and supplemental peer-reviewed and grey literature. Although substantial adaptation planning is occurring in various sectors, levels of government, and the private sector, few measures have been implemented and even fewer have been evaluated. Most adaptation actions to date appear to be incremental changes, not the transformational changes that may be needed in certain cases to adapt to significant changes in climate. While there appear to be no one-size-fits-all adaptations, there Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change (2013) are similarities in approaches across scales and sectors, including mainstreaming climate considerations into existing policies and plans, and pursuing no-and low-regrets strategies. Despite the positive momentum in recent years, barriers to implementation still impede action in all sectors and across scales. The most significant barriers include lack of funding, policy and institutional constraints, and difficulty in anticipating climate change given the current state of information on change. However, the practice of adaptation can advance through learning by doing, stakeholder engagements (including "listening sessions"), and sharing of best practices. Efforts to advance adaptation across the U.S. and globally will necessitate the reduction or elimination of barriers, the enhancement of information and best practice sharing mechanisms, and the creation of comprehensive adaptation evaluation metrics.

show abstract

Section: Illustrative Case Two: Climate Change Adaptation In Forestsmentioning

confidence: 99%

A comprehensive review of climate adaptation in the United States: more than before, but less than needed

Bierbaum

Smith

Lee

et al. 2012

Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change

357

202

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Changes in productivity are possible in response to changing atmospheric conditions and weather and interactions with disturbances. Ecosystems that are dominated by boreal species, have low-diversity, are less resilient to changing conditions, or feature species that are already at risk or in decline may be the most vulnerable, while species and ecosystems that have contrasting characteristics may be better able to accommodate change and maintain productivity (Swanston et al 2011).…”

Section: Climate Change and Other Risk Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Temperature increases and altered precipitation regimes are expected to lead to drier summer soil conditions which may make drought and associated disturbances (such as pest and disease outbreaks and fire) more prevalent. Climate change is also expected to increase the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, which may lead to greater occurrence of catastrophic wind and rain events (Campbell et al 2009, Dale et al 2001, Swanston et al 2011. Overall, shifting patterns among disturbances and stressors are expected to strongly influence ecosystem drivers, which will have follow-on effects on forest productivity and carbon sequestration.…”

Section: Climate Change and Other Risk Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Swanston et al (2011) synthesized the available information on projected climatic change in northern Wisconsin and potential effects on forest ecosystems in order to assess the vulnerability of these forests to climate change. Temperature increases and altered precipitation regimes are expected to lead to drier summer soil conditions which may make drought and associated disturbances (such as pest and disease outbreaks and fire) more prevalent.…”

Section: Climate Change and Other Risk Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This area includes three major forest ownership groups that were used for this assessment: National Forest, other public lands, and private lands which include land owned by tribes. Northern Wisconsin is the most heavily forested region of the state, containing 4.6 million ha, or about two-thirds of the state's total forest land (Perry et al 2008, Swanston et al 2011. The percentage of land with forest cover increases from south to north until almost all of the land area is forest.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Past and prospective carbon stocks in forests of northern Wisconsin: a report from the Chequamegon-Nicolet National Forest Climate Change Response Framework

Birdsey¹,

Pan²,

Janowiak³

et al. 2014

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This report assesses past and prospective carbon stocks for 4.5 million ha of forest land in northern Wisconsin, including a baseline assessment and analysis of the impacts of disturbance and management on carbon stocks. Carbon density (amount of carbon stock per unit area) averages 237 megagrams (Mg) per ha, with the National Forest lands having slightly higher carbon density than other ownership classes. Over the last decade, carbon stocks of northern Wisconsin forests have been increasing by about one teragram (Tg) per year or 0.22 megagrams per ha per year, with most of the increase in live biomass. Harvest, wind, and fire have been principal drivers of forest carbon dynamics over the last century. For all forest types in northern Wisconsin, there is potential to increase stocking on the land by allowing more of the forested area to reach older age classes or by increasing productivity. Opportunities to increase afforestation and reduce deforestation are limited, but the potential exists for utilizing biomass energy as a substitute for fossil fuels. There are several options for private landowners to participate in carbon markets or greenhouse gas registries and receive some credit for additional actions to reduce emissions or increase sequestration of carbon. The methods used here can be adapted for use by other regions or forests to assess carbon stocks and effects of management on future carbon stocks.Cover photo by Scott Pearson.

show abstract

Utilizing the density of inventory samples to define a hybrid lattice for species distribution models: DISTRIB‐II for 135 eastern U.S. trees

Peters

Iverson

Prasad

et al. 2019

Ecology and Evolution

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Species distribution models (SDMs) provide useful information about potential presence or absence, and environmental conditions suitable for a species; and high‐resolution models across large extents are desirable. A primary feature of SDMs is the underlying spatial resolution, which can be chosen for many reasons, though we propose that a hybrid lattice, in which grid cell sizes vary with the density of forest inventory plots, provides benefits over uniform grids. We examine how the spatial grain size affected overall model performance for the Random Forest‐based SDM, DISTRIB, which was updated with recent forest inventories, climate, and soil data, and used a hybrid lattice derived from inventory densities. Modeled habitat suitability was compared between a uniform grid of 10 × 10 and a hybrid lattice of 10 × 10 and 20 × 20 km grids to assess potential improvements. The resulting DISTRIB‐II models for 125 eastern U.S. tree species provide information on individual habitat suitability that can be mapped and statistically analyzed to understand current and potential changes. Model performance metrics were comparable among the hybrid lattice and 10‐km grids; however, the hybrid lattice models generally had higher overall model reliability scores and were likely more representative of the inventory data. Our efforts to update DISTRIB models with current information aims to produce a more representative depiction of recent conditions by accounting for the spatial density of forest inventory data and using the latest climate data. Additionally, we developed an approach that leverages a hybrid lattice to maximize the spatial information within the models and recommend that similar modeling efforts be used to evaluate the spatial density of response and predictor data and derive a modeling grid that best represents the environment.

show abstract

Ecosystem vulnerability assessment and synthesis: a report from the Climate Change Response Framework Project in northern Wisconsin

Cited by 44 publications

References 1 publication

A comprehensive review of climate adaptation in the United States: more than before, but less than needed

A comprehensive review of climate adaptation in the United States: more than before, but less than needed

Past and prospective carbon stocks in forests of northern Wisconsin: a report from the Chequamegon-Nicolet National Forest Climate Change Response Framework

Utilizing the density of inventory samples to define a hybrid lattice for species distribution models: DISTRIB‐II for 135 eastern U.S. trees

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About