Economy-Wide Impacts of Promising Maize and Wheat Technologies on Food Security and Welfare in Kenya

Sahoo, Amarendra; Gbegbelegbe, Sika; Shiferaw, Bekele

doi:10.2139/ssrn.3167260

Cited by 3 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…This paper does not address economy-wide approach to price analysis or the linkages between policy measures, food availability and consumers' ability to acquire food at affordable prices Kargbo (2000). shows how crucial these linkages are in designing and implementing successful food policy programmes.8 Results are in line with the findings ofSahoo, Shiferaw, and Gbegbelegbe (2016) which report a food prices drop by 0.6%, shocking trade and transportation margins by 15% for agri-food commodities, and without modelling costs of improved infrastructure.…”

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confidence: 79%

“…Against this background, empiric evidence from CGE analysis for Kenya suggests that fertilizer strategy should be accompanied by improvement in rural infrastructures (i.e. roads) and extension services to reap the benefits of increased supply and reduced price of fertilizers (Thurlow, Kiringai, and Gautam 2007;Mabiso, Pauw, and Benin 2012;Sahoo, Shiferaw, and Gbegbelegbe 2016).…”

Section: Kenya Current Situation For Agriculture Productivity Andmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Effectiveness of fertilizer policy reforms to enhance food security in Kenya: a macro–micro simulation analysis

et al. 2020

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Food security represents a key challenge in most Sub-Saharan African countries and in Kenya in particular where still a relevant share of the population lives below a minimum dietary energy consumption. Kenya addresses this concern with a noteworthy policy mix, aiming at giving to the agricultural sector a leading task in improving food security. This paper evaluates the impacts on food security of expanding fertilizer capacities in Kenya, combined with a set of additional policy changes targeting fertilizer use. In atop-down analysis, aspecific Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model is linked with amicrosimulation approach. Scenarios present overall positive effects on key food security aggregates. The same is true for welfare. Nevertheless, the heterogeneity of households across and within regions suggests that improving input productivity through better market access and service extension are critical to reducing possible discrepancies across farmers, households and regions. The paper concludes on the need for asound policy mix since increasing fertilizer production alone is not enough to enhance food security evenly. Among accompanying measures, intensifying extension services are essential especially for smallholders in their acquisition of better knowledge on the use of agricultural inputs.

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confidence: 79%

Section: Kenya Current Situation For Agriculture Productivity Andmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effectiveness of fertilizer policy reforms to enhance food security in Kenya: a macro–micro simulation analysis

et al. 2020

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“…Several other studies also used CGE models to study the general equilibrium effect of maize and wheat technology change in different settings. For instance, using a dynamic CGE model along with a microsimulation model, impacts of promising maize and wheat varieties are evaluated on future food security and poverty and economic performance by Sahoo, Shiferaw, and Gbegbelegbe (2016) in Kenya, Beyene, Shiferaw, Sahoo, and Gbegbelegbe (2016) in Ethiopia, and Ghosh, Shiferaw, Sahoo, and Gbegbelegbe (2016) in India.…”

Section: Crop Sciencementioning

confidence: 99%

CGIAR modeling approaches for resource‐constrained scenarios: II. Models for analyzing socioeconomic factors to improve policy recommendations

et al. 2020

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International crop-related research as conducted by the CGIAR uses crop modeling for a variety of purposes. By linking crop models with economic models and approaches, crop model outputs can be effectively used as inputs into socioeconomic modeling efforts for priority setting and policy advice using ex-ante impact assessment of technologies and scenario analysis. This requires interdisciplinary collaboration and very often collaboration across a variety of research organizations. This study highlights the key topics, purposes, and approaches of socioeconomic analysis within the CGIAR related to cropping systems. Although each CGIAR center has a different mission, all CGIAR centers share a common strategy of striving toward a world free of hunger, poverty, and environmental degradation. This means research is mostly focused toward resource-constrained smallholder farmers. The review covers global modeling efforts using the IMPACT model to farm household bio-economic models for assessing the potential impact of new technologies on farming systems and livelihoods. Although the CGIAR addresses all aspects of food systems, the focus of this review is on crop commodities and the economic analysis linked to crop-growth model results. This study, while not a comprehensive review, provides insights into the richness of the socioeconomic modeling endeavors within the CGIAR. The study highlights the need for interdisciplinary approaches to address the challenges this type of modeling faces.

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Impacts of Tariff Reduction and Mixed Fiscal Policy on the Kenyan Agricultural and Food Industry: Using the Macro CGE Model

Igesa

Okiyama

Tokunaga

2018

JJAE

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The objective of this study is to evaluate the impacts of tariff reduction and mixed fiscal policy on the Kenyan economy. The study assumes a close relationship between fiscal policy and economic welfare. In this regard, the 2009 Social Accounting Matrix and the Kenyan Macro Computable General Equilibrium model are used to evaluate the economic welfare and subsequent changes in both domestic production of various sectors and imports from outside economies. As a result, we found that when the target industries are food manufacturing and food processing industries, like coffee and tea, the welfare measure for households improves greatly.

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Economy-Wide Impacts of Promising Maize and Wheat Technologies on Food Security and Welfare in Kenya

Cited by 3 publications

References 9 publications

Effectiveness of fertilizer policy reforms to enhance food security in Kenya: a macro–micro simulation analysis

Effectiveness of fertilizer policy reforms to enhance food security in Kenya: a macro–micro simulation analysis

CGIAR modeling approaches for resource‐constrained scenarios: II. Models for analyzing socioeconomic factors to improve policy recommendations

Impacts of Tariff Reduction and Mixed Fiscal Policy on the Kenyan Agricultural and Food Industry: Using the Macro CGE Model

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