Economic costs of heat-induced reductions in worker productivity due to global warming

Orlov, Anton; Sillmann, Jana; Aunan, Kristin; Kjellström, Tord; Aaheim, Asbjørn

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102087

Cited by 74 publications

(84 citation statements)

References 42 publications

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“…Orlov et al 31 project a decrease in work productivity of approximately 9.5% and 12% for South Asia and Southeast Asia respectively, in the crops sector by 2050 under the CMIP5 high-emission scenario (their figure 9). Assuming this corresponds to 2 C of warming relative to the present gives an impact gradient of 4.7 and 6.0 %/C respectively.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regional disparities and seasonal differences in climate risk to rice labour

Simpson¹,

Hosking²,

Mitchell³

et al. 2022

Preprint

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Ninety percent of rice is produced in Asia, where it provides half of calories consumed, making it critical to food security. The 640 million rural agricultural workers of Asia are especially vulnerable to hot and humid weather, which impacts health and productivity; we show that heat hazard exposure increased significantly from 1980 to 2019. Around half of rice production occurs in locations and months where heat hazard is strongly correlated with global mean surface warming, based on climate simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6), including >80% of production in Southeast Asia. Limiting global warming to 1.5 C rather than 2.0 C prevents a statistically significant reduction in labour capacity of 1% across all Asia and 2% across Southeast Asia, affecting the livelihoods of around 100 million people. Our results underscore regional disparities in labour productivity from climate change resulting in rising inequality and need for climate adaptation.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regional disparities and seasonal differences in climate risk to rice labour

Simpson¹,

Hosking²,

Mitchell³

et al. 2022

Preprint

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“…To quantitatively assess the impact of heat stress under climate change on China's labor productivity and the resulting economic impact, we adopt an interdisciplinary theoretical framework (Figure 1) (Orlov et al., 2020; Takakura et al., 2018): Projections of climate variables are used to calculate the WBGT of each grid (0.5° × 0.5°) in China (Section 2.2). Then, WBGTs are introduced into expose‐response functions to quantify the impact of heat stress on labor productivity (Section 2.3).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The methodology employed by early studies is idealistic, but these studies confirm the dominant position of changes in labor productivity in economic impact assessments considering climate change (DARA, 2012; Roson & Sartori, 2016). Researchers continue to improve the methodology used in these assessments by distinguishing work intensity (Kjellstrom et al., 2016), including the socioeconomic conditions (Takakura et al., 2017) and considering climate change adaptations (Morabito et al., 2020; Orlov et al., 2020; Takakura et al., 2018) into the estimates. However, economic impact assessments of heat‐related changes in labor productivity under climate change are still in the early stage.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, economic impact assessments of heat‐related changes in labor productivity under climate change are still in the early stage. First, most previous studies focus on the direct economic costs but ignore the indirect economic impacts between regions and sectors (e.g., cross‐border economic impacts), which cannot be ignored in assessments of the macroeconomic consequences of climate change (Knittel et al., 2020; Orlov et al., 2020; Zhang et al., 2018). In addition, existing studies analyze global economic impacts and consider the differences between countries (Matsumoto, 2019).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Assessment of the Regional and Sectoral Economic Impacts of Heat‐Related Changes in Labor Productivity Under Climate Change in China

et al. 2021

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The first analysis for the economic impacts of heat-related changes in labor productivity within China under climate change Labor productivity in the indoor sectors will benefit from the popularity of air-conditioning devices Regions where labor productivity is rarely affected by heat stress in China still suffer large economic impacts Accepted ArticleThis article has been accepted for publication and undergone full peer review but has not been through the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process, which may lead to differences between this version and the Version of Record. Please cite this article as

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“…Among them are low and high temperatures, seasonal labour intensity, precipitation, intense solar radiation, etc. The authors A. Orlov, J. Sillmann, K. Aunan, T. Kjellstrom, A. Aaheim in their study provide data on the economic costs of implementing health and safety recommendations in combating heat stress of workers, which reduce global GDP by 2.4% [13]. These results confirm the global scale and significance of the problems of ensuring safe working conditions in the agricultural sector [14,15,16].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 58%

Labour safety culture as a value orientation in the agro-specialist’s professional profile

et al. 2021

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The article substantiates the relevance of labour safety issues in modern agricultural production and its importance in the value orientations and professional competencies of agricultural specialists. A review of scientific articles is carried out to determine the key tracks of the discourse and analyze approaches to understanding labour safety by the professional community of agricultural specialists and scientists representing various subject areas of knowledge. We show the data of a survey of agricultural specialists in the south of Russia in the areas of agro-engineering, agronomy, plant protection, veterinary medicine and animal science, as well as a survey of employees of enterprises of the Stavropol Territory in rural and urban areas. The culture of labour safety as the value orientation of agricultural specialists is formed in the process of developing professional competence in the system of agricultural education and is supported in the production activities of agricultural enterprises through institutional mechanisms, corporate culture, requirements of technological processes.

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Economic costs of heat-induced reductions in worker productivity due to global warming

Cited by 74 publications

References 42 publications

Regional disparities and seasonal differences in climate risk to rice labour

Regional disparities and seasonal differences in climate risk to rice labour

Assessment of the Regional and Sectoral Economic Impacts of Heat‐Related Changes in Labor Productivity Under Climate Change in China

Labour safety culture as a value orientation in the agro-specialist’s professional profile

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