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Non-Technical SummaryDo public R&D subsidies stimulate or simply crowd out private investment? The economic literature concerning external effects indicates that innovations suffer from market failure. Innovation projects with high social returns may not be implemented, because the induced private benefits do not exceed the private costs. The rationale of public R&D funding is to reduce private costs and therefore raise the investment in the R&D projects and the number of conducted R&D projects. However there is an incentive for all firms to apply for public funding, even for those who could perform their innovation activities using their own funds. Thus, the impact of the public R&D funding is questionable.The focus of this paper is on the direct funding of R&D projects in the German manufacturing sector granted by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF). This study applies parametric and semiparametric two-step selection models. Selection models treat the receipt of public R&D funding as endogeneous and include a selection correction for this non-random selection process, in the structural equation on the firms' R&D expenditure. In a first step, firms' probability of receiving public R&D funding is estimated and in a second step, the effect of the public funds on firms' R&D expenditure is considered. Selection models control for unobservable characteristics entering both the selection and the structural part of the model.The parametric two-step Heckman model serves as a benchmark. Alternatively, a dummy variables estimator (Cosslett, 1991), a series estimator (Newey, 1999) and Robinson's (1988) estimator as a partial linear model are applied. Semiparametric estimators identify only the slope parameters of the structural equation. Hence, an additional estimator for the intercept is needed to identify the treatment effects. This study uses the intercept estimators developed by Heckman (1990) and Andrews and Schafgans (1998).In line with previous studies, the finding is that R&D subsidies have a positive effect on firms' R&D expenditure for all estimated models. However, it also outlines that the level of the "average treatment effect on the treated" varies with the different assumptions of the applied selection model.
November 2003Abstract This paper analyzes the effects of public R&D subsidies on R&D expenditure in the German manufacturing sector. The focus is on the question whether public R&D funding stim...