Description of models and scenarios used to assess European decarbonisation pathways

Capros, Pantélis; Paroussos, Leonidas; Fragkos, Panagiotis; Tsani, Stella; Boitier, Baptiste; Wagner, Fabian; Busch, Sebastian; Resch, Gustav; Blesl, Markus; Bollen, Johannes

doi:10.1016/j.esr.2013.12.008

Cited by 111 publications

(50 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…A description of the models used to assess European decarbonisation pathways is proposed by [24]. It regards partial equilibrium energy system models, energy models dedicated to specific sectors, general equilibrium models, and macro-econometric models.…”

Section: The Description Of the Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future Trajectories of Renewable Energy Consumption in the European Union

2018

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Renewable energy sources (RESs) are able to reduce the European Union (EU)'s dependence on foreign energy imports, also meeting sustainable objectives to tackle climate change and to enhance economic opportunities. Energy management requires a quantitative analysis and the European Commission follows the performance of each Member State (MS) in order to define the corrective measures towards 2020 targets. Starting from historical data reported in the Eurostat database and through a mathematical model, this work proposes future trajectories towards 2020 of the share of energy from renewables (REs) in terms of gross final energy consumption (GFEC). Furthermore, a quantitative analysis based on two indices-(i) the share of REs in GFEC, and (ii) gross final renewable energy consumption (GFREC) per capita-permits a comparison among 28 MSs. The share of REs in GFEC in EU 28 varies from 19.4% to 21.8% in future trajectories towards 2020. Sweden and Finland occupy the top part of the ranking, while six MSs (Belgium, France, Ireland, Luxembourg, The Netherlands, and the United Kingdom) are not able to reach the 2020 targets.

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Section: The Description Of the Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future Trajectories of Renewable Energy Consumption in the European Union

2018

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“…It assumes full implementation of already adopted policies, including the Renewable Energy Directive and the Energy Efficiency Directive. Basic scenario driver information for Europe such as population and GDP growth as well as feedstock-specific bioenergy demand is based on data from the EC or generated by the GEM-E3 and the PRIMES models (Capros et al 2014) and taken up by GLOBIOM-EU.…”

Section: Reference Scenariomentioning

confidence: 99%

Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030

Frank

Böttcher²,

Gusti

et al. 2016

Climatic Change

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A 2030 climate and energy policy framework was endorsed by the European Council in 2014. The main elements are a binding 40 % greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target compared to 1990, a renewable energy share of 27 %, and an energy savings target of at least 27 % by 2030. In this paper, we assess the impact of these targets on the European land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sector using a Europe focused global land use model linked with a detailed forest management model. We show that implementing a 40 % GHG emission reduction target by 2030 may only have a small negative impact on the domestic LULUCF sink if the additional biomass demand for energy is mostly met through ligno-cellulosic energy crops rather than forest removals. However, if the increased biomass demand were met through higher rates of forest harvest removals, a more negative impact on the LULUCF sink could be expected.

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“…TIMES-CZ is based on the Czech region of the Pan-European TIMES-PanEu model developed by the Institute of Energy Economics and Rational Energy Use at the University of Stuttgart [15] that was originally built on the basis of Eurostat energy balances for 2010. TIMES-CZ is, however, updated to account for 2012 individual-and sector-level data and the base year is calibrated according to the Eurostat energy balance.…”

Section: The Times-cz Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…TIMES has been widely used to assess the decarbonisation pathways and strategies on global [14], European [15], and country level [16,17]. Timmerman et al [18] classify the TIMES model-alongside MARKAL [19], ETEM [20], and OSeMOSYS [21]-as an evolved energy system model.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Impacts of Reclassified Brown Coal Reserves on the Energy System and Deep Decarbonisation Target in the Czech Republic

Rečka

Ščasný

2017

Energies

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Abstract:In 2015, a 24-year-long prohibition of coal mining within some territories in the North Bohemia coal basin was lifted and as a consequence mining a part of the brown coal reserves might well be resumed. This paper analyses the impacts of maintaining the ban versus three options for a less environmentally stringent policy on the Czech energy system; fuel-and technology-mix, the costs of generating energy, emissions and related external costs up to 2050. We find that overall the effect of lifting the ban, on coal usage, air pollutant emissions and hence externalities is rather small, up to 1-2% compared to the level of keeping the ban. The small difference in the impacts remains even if changes in the prices of fossil fuels and European Emission Allowances or different development in nuclear power usage are assumed. In fact, changing these assumptions will result in more pronounced differences in the impacts than the four policy options might deliver. Maintaining the ban would not achieve the European Energy Roadmap 2050 target and the newly adopted policy and the other two counter-environmental proposals would miss the 80% reduction target to an even greater degree. The environmental and external health costs attributable to emissions of local air pollutants stemming from power generation are in a range of €26-32 billion over the whole period and decline from about 0.5% of gross domestic product in 2015 to 0.1% in 2050.

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Description of models and scenarios used to assess European decarbonisation pathways

Cited by 111 publications

References 5 publications

Future Trajectories of Renewable Energy Consumption in the European Union

Future Trajectories of Renewable Energy Consumption in the European Union

Dynamics of the land use, land use change, and forestry sink in the European Union: the impacts of energy and climate targets for 2030

Impacts of Reclassified Brown Coal Reserves on the Energy System and Deep Decarbonisation Target in the Czech Republic

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