Confronting the Anti-Access/Area Denial and Precision Strike Challenge in the Baltic Region

Lanoszka, Alexander; Hunzeker, Michael A.

doi:10.1080/03071847.2016.1253367

Cited by 17 publications

(8 citation statements)

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“…Not only does Russia have a large nuclear weapons arsenal, but it also has extensive conventional military power that it can bring to bear in the Baltic region. Russia has also militarised the enclave Kaliningrad to create something akin to an anti-access/area denial bubble in the region (Lanoszka & Hunzeker, 2016). That is, in wartime, Russia can complicate NATO efforts to move around the theatre-of-operations or to enter it in order to resupply and to reinforce local forces.…”

Section: Tensions Within the Polish-american Alliance In The Obama Anmentioning

confidence: 99%

Poland in a time of geopolitical flux

Lanoszka

2020

Contemporary Politics

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President Donald Trump has provoked U.S. allies into reevaluating their own national strategies and position within the international order that the United States purportedly fashioned and has sustained since 1945. This essay looks at Poland. Like other treaty allies such as Germany and Japan, Poland has maintainedeven deepenedits security relationship with the United States in order to manage Trump. What distinguishes Poland, however, is that it more explicitly supports the military basis upon which U.S. global leadership rests. Because the United States is offshore, its preponderance helps Poland balance against Russia and head off potential security dilemmas within Europe. This essay contextualises the Polish-American relationship and explores how the United States has played in Poland's national security strategy. As Poland values the military primacy associated with the United States being a unipolar power, it is increasingly confronting geopolitical challenges for which U.S. support can only provide partial solutions.

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Section: Tensions Within the Polish-american Alliance In The Obama Anmentioning

confidence: 99%

Poland in a time of geopolitical flux

Lanoszka

2020

Contemporary Politics

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“…9 Amongst experts and academia there is, however, no clear consensus on which deterrence strategy eFP is based. There is a large group of pundits that explicitly 10 or implicitly 11 argue that the strategy behind eFP is, or should be, deterrence by denial. They emphasize a number of military factors such as the role of the Kaliningrad exclave.…”

Section: The Academic Divide: Efp Deterrence By Punishment or By Denmentioning

confidence: 99%

Deterrence by Punishment or Denial? The eFP Case

Noll

Bojang

Rietjens

2020

Nl Arms

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In 2017 NATO initiated Enhanced Forward Presence (eFP) in the Baltics to deter Russia. While most studies analyse eFP from the perspective of NATO or the troop contributing countries, this chapter addresses the question how the host nations, i.e. in this contribution Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, perceive the deterrence strategy underlying eFP as well as their own strategies. In doing this, the chapter emphasizes how strategic culture influences the Baltic countries’ behaviour towards deterrence. We found that in Estonia perspectives on eFP were ambiguous. While official documents reflect the official NATO narrative based on deterrence by punishment other sources stress the illusion, expectation or aspiration of deterrence by denial. In Lithuania, documents, officials and experts emphasize deterrence by denial as opposed to deterrence by punishment. Latvia considers the strategy behind eFP as deterrence by punishment. The strategic cultures, the history and threat perceptions of the Baltic states explain these differences to a large extent. In particular the presence of Russophone minorities in Estonia and Latvia, lead to some reluctance in fully embracing NATO’s strategy, while at the same time both countries prepare to counter Russia’s threat with their allies.

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“…'If forward-deployed ground forces cannot fend off invaders, their value to allies is at risk of primarily being symbolic. Their mission should not be to perish in the hope that their loss will trigger a wider intervention, but to meaningfully bolster NATO's ability to obstruct Russian forces on the battlefield' (Lanoszka and Hunzeker, 2016).…”

Section: Recent Studies On Anti-access and Area Denialmentioning

confidence: 99%

Researching Baltic security challenges after the annexation of Crimea

Veebel

2019

Journal on Baltic Security

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The article aims to provide an insight into academic and military studies that investigate security challenges in the Baltic region after the annexation of Crimea. To do this in a systematic way, numerous academic and military studies and analyses in this field are divided into six broad categories: literature on conventional threat scenarios in the Baltic region; studies on nuclear escalation scenarios; publications that describe Russian viewpoints in the current confrontation with the West; studies that discuss security policy and security perceptions of the Baltic countries and the national security models of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania; studies on anti-access and area denial; and articles that analyse the dilemmas and challenges in association with understanding the essence of deterrence in the context of modern hybrid warfare and the build-up of a viable deterrence model in the Baltic region. In total, about 40 publications from the period between 2014 and 2019 are represented in this article. While some studies are already well known, others have undeservedly remained somewhat overlooked. This article attempts to correct this by highlighting and comparing the results of the most interesting and intriguing studies in this field. Through this, the author strived to maintain a balance between studies conducted both by military experts and by academics.

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Confronting the Anti-Access/Area Denial and Precision Strike Challenge in the Baltic Region

Cited by 17 publications

References 1 publication

Poland in a time of geopolitical flux

Poland in a time of geopolitical flux

Deterrence by Punishment or Denial? The eFP Case

Researching Baltic security challenges after the annexation of Crimea

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