Climate change and society: consequences of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide

Kellogg, William W.; Schware, Robert

doi:10.2172/6622138

Cited by 103 publications

(57 citation statements)

References 62 publications

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“…That the Mid-Holocene is a possible analog for future climate trends has, of course, been the subject of appreciable research, speculation, and debate for almost three decades (i.e., Budyko et al, 1978Budyko et al, , 1987Kellogg andSchware, 1981, Kutzbach andGuetter, 1986;Mitchell, 1990), and popular and technical articles and web sites describing global warming often note this possibility. It has long been recognized as well that the Mid-Holocene is not an exact parallel to modern circumstances, since observed Northern Hemisphere warming correlated with changing orbital parameters, specifically an increase in solar insolation, and not by an increase in greenhouse gases.…”

Section: Dg Anderson Et Almentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate and culture change: exploring Holocene transitions

Anderson

Maasch

Sandweiss

et al. 2007

Climate Change and Cultural Dynamics

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Section: Dg Anderson Et Almentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate and culture change: exploring Holocene transitions

Anderson

Maasch

Sandweiss

et al. 2007

Climate Change and Cultural Dynamics

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“…Because of rising levels of carbon dioxide (C0 2 ) and other trace gases in the atmosphère, climatic change models project by the year 2050 an increase in the mean global température by 1.5°C to 4.0° C. Thèse models also suggest that the latitudinal effect will be differentiated with the response in the polar régions in the Northern Hémisphère being greater than the average by a factor of about two or three, and greater in winter than in summer (Kellogg and Schware, 1981). Using the scénarios from two such models selected by the Canadian Climate Centre for use in their impact studies -Scénario A developed by Princeton University's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) and Scénario B developed by the National Aeronautical and Space Administration's Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS) (Hengeveld and Street, 1985) -, an attempt has been made, using the case study approach, to consider the resilience and sensitivity of downhill skiing in the Lower Laurentian area of Québec to the possible climatic changes being suggested as feasible.…”

Section: Mots-clésmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Impact of CO2 – Induced Warming on Downhill Skiing in the Laurentians

McBoyle¹,

Wall²

2005

cgq

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À l'aide des deux scénarios de variation climatique retenus par le Centre d'étude canadien sur le climat, les auteurs tentent de cerner quel serait l'effet, sur la pratique du ski alpin dans les basses Laurentides, des changements de température et de précipitation prévisibles selon ces scénarios. Ces derniers prévoient une augmentation de la moyenne hivernale des précipitations et des températures s'échelonnant respectivement entre 0 et 16% et 7,6 et 9,3° F (4,2 et 5,2° C). De tels changements pourraient abréger la saison de ski et occasionner des pertes monétaires substantielles voire même entraîner la disparition de cette industrie dans la région. Il semble par ailleurs que la pratique du ski alpin soit moins sensible aux conditions appréhendées dans l'un des deux scénarios. Signalons également que certaines analyses de sensibilité montrent que la durée de la saison de ski n'est que peu affectée par une augmentation de la température moyenne hivernale inférieure à 4° F (2,2° C).Using the two climatic change scenarios selected by the Canadian Climate Centre, an attempt has been made, using snowcover suitability percentiles, to estimate the resilience and sensitivity of downhill skiing in the Lower Laurentians to the suggested changes in temperature and precipitation. The scenarios suggest an average winter increase in the range of 0 to 16 percent for precipitation and 7.6 to 9.3° F (4.2 to 5.2° C) for temperature. These changes could possibly result in a reduction of the marginally reliable and reliable ski seasons in the Laurentians by 40 to 89 percent respectively with a minimum financial loss of 10$ million and a maximum loss of virtual elimination of the ski industry in this area. It would appear then that downhill skiing in the Lower Laurentians has some resilience to the suggested conditions of one scenario but not the other. In addition, the sensitivity analyses indicate that the ski season length in this part of Canada is little affected until the average winter temperature increases by 4° F (2.2° C)

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“…There are a number of measures that should be taken to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change and to take advantage of the opportunities presented. Some examples of these measures are to protect arable soil from erosion, to replant forests, to improve water management, to apply agrotechnology to the development of farming techniques suitable for a variety of climates, to provide better climate data and climate monitoring, and so forth (Kellogg and Schware, 1981).…”

Section: The Activists and The Muddlers-throughmentioning

confidence: 99%