Changing Patterns and Determinants of Interprovincial Migration in China 1985–2000

Shen, Jianfa

doi:10.1002/psp.668

Cited by 104 publications

(125 citation statements)

References 60 publications

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“…Nevertheless, the findings are more in line with our hypothesis than with the earlier finding of Van Lottum and Marks (2012) that the effect of distance on migration increases over time-possibly because of the different definitions used for migration (recent migration in our study versus lifetime migration in theirs). Our findings on the distance decay effect are also in line with studies from China (Fan 2005;Poncet 2006;Shen 2012).…”

Section: Methodssupporting

confidence: 92%

Gravity Models of Interregional Migration in Indonesia

Wajdi

Adioetomo

Mulder

2017

Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies

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This article explores the determinants of interregional migration in Indonesia. Employing basic and modified (extended) gravity models, and using data from the 2000 and 2010 Population Censuses and the 2005 Intercensal Population Survey, we test Long's (1985) hypothesis that in the early stages of population redistribution, economic development is positively related to a concentration of the population. Using per-capita GDP as a proxy for income and as an indicator of economic development, we find that migration in Indonesia is indeed directed towards more developed regions. This finding supports the notion that regional disparities in development are an important factor in interregional migration in Indonesia. In line with classical gravity models, our findings show that distance is negatively related to the size of migration flows. However, unlike previous studies of interprovincial migration in Indonesia, we find that the effect of distance has weakened over time.

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Section: Methodssupporting

confidence: 92%

Gravity Models of Interregional Migration in Indonesia

Wajdi

Adioetomo

Mulder

2017

Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies

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“…From the perspective of labor markets, the pull factors in cities for the rural population include various respects such as employment, income, lifestyle, and politics. For migrants, seeking nonagricultural employment opportunities that offer high wages is the primary reason for leaving their hometowns (Zhu et al, 2001;Lu et al, 2005;Cao et al, 2012;Shen, 2012). According to data from the 2010 national census, 74.7% of the interprovincial floating population moved to other provinces for a better job.…”

Section: Determinants Of China's Migration Landscapementioning

confidence: 96%

“…Relevant studies have reported that the floating population is mainly concentrated in coastal megacity regions, which are the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region (Ding et al, 2005;Fan, 2008;Cao and Liu, 2011;Shen, 2012;Yu, 2012). However, since the new century, the economic development in China has shown a trend of moving toward inland regions; in other words, the central and western regions of China have played an increasingly substantial role in national urbanization .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

Spatial patterns, driving forces, and urbanization effects of China’s internal migration: County-level analysis based on the 2000 and 2010 censuses

Liu

Cao

et al. 2015

J. Geogr. Sci.

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China has witnessed unprecedented urbanization over the past decades. The rapid expansion of urban population has been dominantly contributed by the floating population from rural areas, of which the spatiotemporal patterns, driving forces, and multidimensional effects are scrutinized and evaluated in this study by using the latest national censuses conducted in 2000 and 2010. Analysis based on the county-level data comes to conclusions as follows. The spatial pattern of floating population has remained stable over the first decade of the new century. The top 1% cities with the largest floating population received 45.5% of all migrants in China. As the rapid development of mega-city regions, the coastal concentration areas of floating population tended to geographically united as a whole, whereas the spatial distribution of migrants within each region varied significantly. The migrant concentration area in the Yangtze River Delta was the largest and its expansion was also the most salient. However, the floating population has growingly moved into provincial capitals and other big cities in the inland regions and its gravity center has moved northward for around 110 km during the study period. The spatial pattern of floating population has been formed jointly by the state and market forces in transitional China and the impacts of state forces have been surpassed by those of market forces in the country as a whole. The attractiveness of coastal cities and counties to the floating population comes mainly from the nonagricultural employment opportunities and public services, reflecting that long-distance and long-term migrants have moved coastward not only to gain employment but also to enjoy city life. By contrast, in the central and western regions, places with a higher economic development level and at a higher administrative level are more attractive to floating populations, demonstrating that the state remains to play an important role in allocating economic resources and promoting regional development in inland China. As the main body of new urban residents, the floating LIU Tao et al.: Spatial patterns, driving forces, and urbanization effects of China's internal migration 237 population has contributed substantially to the elevation of the urbanization levels of migrant-sending and -receiving places, by 20.0% and 49.5% respectively. Compared with extensively investigated interprovincial migrants, intra-provincial migrants have higher intention and ability to permanently live in cities and thus might become the main force of China's urbanization in the coming decades. The internal migration has also reshaped China's urban system in terms of its hierarchical organization and spatial structure.

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“…Consistent with this, the migration system shifted from migration flows being highly concentrated on major urban centres to being more spatially dispersed over the 'new' poles of industrial development. In China, industrialisation has been identified as the key economic process shaping the spatial patterns of migration, triggering rapid economic growth in coastal regions in eastern China, with increasing volumes of out-migration from central and western regions characterised by a high degree of rurality (Fielding 2010;Shen 2012Shen , 2013.…”

Section: Economic and Political Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Cushing and Poot 2004;Faggian et al in press). In addition, most empirical work has tended to conceive the various forms of spatial mobility as discrete alternatives and to focus on the study of its dynamic structure adopting a cross sectional perspective, firmly rooted in neoclassical economic theory (White and Lindstrom 2005;Shen 2012;Newbold 2012). As a consequence, analyses have tended to overlook the interdependence between the various forms of spatial mobility and the context within which they take place, with little empirical analysis in developing countries.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spatial labour mobility in a transition economy: Migration and commuting in Chile

Rowe¹

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Spatial mobility is widely recognised as an integral component of national development. According to transition theory, as countries modernise and become globally connected, the intensity, forms and patterns of mobility evolve, reshaping activity networks and human settlement. Mobility transitions commonly occur over extended timeframes but can also be triggered by rapid transformations in the national context. Chile provides an ideal exemplar. Over the last four decades, it transitioned from a closed, centrally-planned economy with a socialist government to a globally integrated, market-driven system under military and democratic regimes. This has significantly transformed Chile's space economy. While prior research has explored particular facets of the mobility accompanying these shifts, no concerted attempt has been made to systematically trace the evolution of mobility in Chile and its connections to the socio-economic and political context.Chile provides a unique setting to explore these connections. It has a unique geography, settlement pattern and resource endowment; it displays levels of internal migration well above those in most parts of the world; and it has a small foreign-born population, so that unlike many other high mobility countries, internal mobility can be explored practically free from the complicating component of international migration. Chile also has the advantage of high quality migration data spanning the period in which the major socio-economic transition occurred.This thesis aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of the evolution of labour mobility in Chile by exploring connections between various forms and dimensions of mobility and the sequence of changes experienced by the country during its transition to a market-driven economy. To this end, it considers internal migration and long-distance commuting between thirteen Chilean regions, and focuses on three key dimensions: their intensity, spatial patterns and composition.It also aims to determine the role of migration and commuting in meeting shifts in labour demand. These objectives are embedded in a temporal framework that traces the changing environment within which mobility unfolds and seeks to provide robust statistical evidence on its links with structural changes in the national context. The methodological framework blends mobility transition theory derived from Zelinsky (1971) with a suite of cutting-edge statistical techniques. To implement this framework, the thesis couples a carefully-constructed historical framework with a purpose-built database, assembled by harmonising data from three consecutive censuses (1982, 1992 and 2002), which provides five-year snapshots of migration covering the periods 1977-82, 1987-92 and 1997-02, together with data on commuting in 2002.As in Australia, the US and the UK, the analysis reveals that both the intensity and the spatial impact of labour migration in Chile declined over the period of analysis, with the most marked reduction occurring in the spatial impact of migratio...

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Changing Patterns and Determinants of Interprovincial Migration in China 1985–2000

Abstract: Most migration analyses focus on inter-regional migration in one particular period. Recently, efforts have also been made to compare migration intensity and patterns across countries. Instead of comparison over space, this paper is concerned with the temporal

Cited by 104 publications

References 60 publications

Gravity Models of Interregional Migration in Indonesia

Gravity Models of Interregional Migration in Indonesia

Spatial patterns, driving forces, and urbanization effects of China’s internal migration: County-level analysis based on the 2000 and 2010 censuses

Spatial labour mobility in a transition economy: Migration and commuting in Chile

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