Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling

Milentijević, Nikola; Valjarević, Aleksandar; Bačević, Nikola; Ristić, Dušan; Kalkan, Kristina; Cimbaljević, Marija; Dragojlović, Jovan; Savić, Stevan; Pantelić, Milana

doi:10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3

Cited by 8 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…Although the two protected areas differ significantly in elevation and climate conditions, the HERCI index mitigates regional climatic differences. Under conditions of a temperate continental climate and readily available data, the HERCI index represents an improvement that will be useful for predicting future interactions of ecotourism and cultural tourism with climate change [80][81][82]. Information on climate comfort on a monthly basis before travel can increase the number of tourists and help them better prepare for their vacations.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Heritage Climate Index (HERCI): Development, Assessment and Application for Tourism Purposes in Geoheritage and Cultural Heritage Sites

Durlević,

Čegar,

Dobrić

et al. 2023

Atmosphere

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The development of climate indices and their application can influence the preferences of tourists and the time frame for visiting the locality. This study develops a new Heritage Climate Index (HERCI) that finds its application in assessing climate comfort for visiting geoheritage and cultural heritage objects. The study analyzed the geoheritage site in Western Serbia (Stopića Cave) and the cultural heritage site in Eastern Serbia (Golubac Fortress). The index was developed to represent climatic comfort on a monthly basis and consisted of five climatic elements. The values of the HERCI index were obtained based on the multi-criteria decision-making model—the Best–Worst method (BWM). The results were classified into five classes, depending on the degree of conformity. After a comparative analysis of the index results for four localities and their attendance for the period 2012–2021 and 2019–2022, it was determined that there is a very high level of correlation (>0.9). This is the first study to use the BWM to develop and analyze a climate index. From the aspect of tourism policy, this study significantly contributes to tourism organizations and tourists in better understanding climate comfort and making decisions about the organization’s time frame and realization of the travel.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Heritage Climate Index (HERCI): Development, Assessment and Application for Tourism Purposes in Geoheritage and Cultural Heritage Sites

Durlević,

Čegar,

Dobrić

et al. 2023

Atmosphere

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“…Bačka is located in the northwestern part of Vojvodina [35]. The Danube separates it from Srem, and the Tisa River separates it from Banat.…”

Section: (P 126)mentioning

confidence: 99%

Quality of Life as a Limiting Factor in the Development of the Region along the Great Bačka Canal (Serbia)

Lalić,

Bubalo Živković,

Đerčan

et al. 2024

Sustainability

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This paper presents the results of a study of the regional–demographic characteristics and the quality of life of the population of Central Bačka, carried out in five municipalities along the Great Bačka Canal (June–August 2022). It included 870 respondents (0.5% of the total adult population). This is a region that has considerable potential for satisfaction with quality of life; however, the studied area has undergone socioeconomic stagnation, so it was necessary to analyze the effect that the activities of all the existing natural and anthropogenic elements could have on mitigating the negative trends of development in an area where the staple of the economy is agricultural production and which was one of the most-developed areas in Serbia. The aim of this study was to identify the factors that impact the perceptions of the population regarding quality of life in the settlements of Central Bačka to define measures that could improve their quality of life. The hypothesis was that, based on the identified factors, the population is not satisfied with their quality of life, which could have a significant impact on demographic trends; there are statistically significant differences in the attitudes of the respondents surrounding basic standard-of-living elements, depending on their sociodemographic characteristics. The instrument used in the study consisted of two parts. The first part of the questionnaire was designed to compile the sociodemographic features of the participants, and the second part was used to study the indicators that determine quality of life. The non-parametric techniques used in this study were the Mann–Whitney U test and the Kruskal–Wallis test. The results indicated a medium or low degree of satisfaction with most of the indicators, confirming the proposed hypothesis regarding differences in the subjective perception of well-being compared to the sociodemographic characteristics of the studied population.

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“…Clear pieces of evidence are based on analyses of hourly or daily temperatures, [26][27][28], extreme values [29,30] or the frequency of warm spells [29,31]. The representativity is supported by evaluation of temperature time-series in Bačka (Serbia) [32] and over the Sava River watershed (Bosnia and Herzegovina) [33], where each meteorological station also recorded very similar warming trends.…”

Section: Temperature Trendsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changing Water Cycle under a Warming Climate: Tendencies in the Carpathian Basin

Jánosi

Bíró

Boglárka

et al. 2023

Climate

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In this mini-review, we present evidence from the vast literature that one essential part of the coupled atmosphere–ocean system that makes life on Earth possible, the water cycle, is exhibiting changes along with many attributes of the global climate. Our starting point is the 6th Assessment Report of the IPCC, which appeared in 2021, where the almost monograph-size Chapter 8, with over 1800 references, is devoted entirely to the water cycle. In addition to listing the main observations on the Earth globally, we focus on Europe, particularly on the Carpathian (Pannonian) Basin. We collect plausible explanations of the possible causes behind an observably accelerating and intensifying water cycle. Some authors still suggest that changes in the natural boundary conditions, such as solar irradiance or Earth’s orbital parameters, explain the observations. In contrast, most authors attribute such changes to the increasing greenhouse gas concentrations since the industrial revolution. The hypothesis being tested, and which has already yielded convincing affirmative answers, is that the hydrological cycle intensifies due to anthropogenic impacts. The Carpathian Basin, a part of the Danube watershed, including the sub-basin of the Tisza River, is no exception to these changes. The region is experiencing multiple drivers contributing to alterations in the water cycle, including increasing temperatures, shifting precipitation regimes, and various human impacts.

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Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling

Cited by 8 publications

References 33 publications

The Heritage Climate Index (HERCI): Development, Assessment and Application for Tourism Purposes in Geoheritage and Cultural Heritage Sites

The Heritage Climate Index (HERCI): Development, Assessment and Application for Tourism Purposes in Geoheritage and Cultural Heritage Sites

Quality of Life as a Limiting Factor in the Development of the Region along the Great Bačka Canal (Serbia)

Changing Water Cycle under a Warming Climate: Tendencies in the Carpathian Basin

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