Abstract. Elevation in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration (eCO2)
affects vegetation water use, with consequent impacts on terrestrial runoff
(Q). However, the sign and magnitude of the eCO2 effect on Q are still
contentious. This is partly due to eCO2-induced changes in vegetation
water use having opposing responses at the leaf scale (i.e., water-saving effect caused by
partially stomatal closure) and the canopy scale (i.e., water-consuming
induced by foliage cover increase), leading to highly debated conclusions
among existing studies. In addition, none of the existing studies explicitly
account for eCO2-induced changes to plant rooting depth that is
overwhelmingly found in experimental observations. Here we develop an
analytical ecohydrological framework that includes the effects of eCO2
on plant leaf, canopy density, and rooting characteristics to attribute
changes in Q and to detect the eCO2 signal on Q via vegetation feedbacks over
1982–2010. Globally, we detect a very small decrease of Q induced by
eCO2 during 1982–2010 (−1.7 %). Locally, we find a small positive
trend (p < 0.01) in the Q–eCO2 response along a resource
availability (β) gradient. Specifically, the Q–eCO2 response is
found to be negative (i.e., eCO2 reduces Q) in low-β regions
(typically dry and/or cold) and gradually changes to a small positive
response (i.e., eCO2 increases Q) in high-β areas (typically warm
and humid). Our findings suggest a minor role of eCO2 on changes in
global Q over 1982–2010, yet we highlight that a negative Q–eCO2 response in
semiarid and arid regions may further reduce the limited water resource
there.