Analysis of extreme precipitation indices in the east Herzegovina (Bosnia and Herzegovina)

Popov, Tatjana; Gnjato, Slobodan; Trbić, Goran; Ivanišević, Marko

doi:10.2298/ijgi1901001p

Cited by 10 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…However, there is few locations (Mostar, Trebinje, Bugojno, Mrkonjić Grad), especially in Hercegovina (south BiH), that are showing decreasing trend of precipitation, ranging up to -1.914 mm per year. Similarly, in other studies decrease in total precipitation and the number of days with precipitation occurrence was found, whereas the duration of dry periods is prolonged over the entire East Herzegovina region (Popov et al, 2019).…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 75%

“…The average annual precipitation is 1,255 mm and it is characterized with the high variation in spatial distribution, which ranges between 706 mm to 3,259 mm (Drešković & Mirić, 2013). In the period 1961-2016 most of the territory of BiH is characterized by a slight increase in the amount of annual sum of precipitation (Popov et al, 2019;Radusin et al, 2016;Vucijak et al, 2014). However, due to the increased intensity and variability of precipitation as well as the increased share of heavy rains in the total amount of rainfall, there is the increased risk of flooding, landslides, hail and soil erosion especially in the north-eastern part of BiH (Radusin et al, 2016).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Changes in the Water Balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a Result of Climate Change

Čadro¹,

Uzunović²,

Cherni-Cadro³

et al. 2019

AgricultForest

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The analysis of meteorological data from the period 1961-2014 show the rise in the mean annual temperature in the entire territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina. The changes are more pronounced in the central-hilly part of the country. The increase in annual air temperature ranges from 0.4 to 1.0°C per decade, whereas temperature increases during vegetation period were up to 1.2°C per decade. Additionally, increases in air temperature over the last fourteen years are even more pronounced. Changed distribution of precipitation, significant variations and the increasing soil moisture deficit during vegetation period (April-September) are also evident in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The increase in air temperature combined with changes in the distribution of precipitation has resulted in a change of evapotranspiration and annual water balance. The main objective of this study was to determine and compare the severity of changes in mean annual water balance components between different regions in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Monthly weather data from 26 weather stations in Bosnia and Herzegovina, for the time period of 50 years (1967-2016) were used to determine and analyze impact of climate change on the following water balance components: temperature, precipitation, reference evapotranspiration, actual evapotranspiration, total runoff, soil moisture deficit and amount of snow. The results indicate that climate change has a substantial effect on the all water balance components. Air temperature (0.21-0.7 o C per decade), reference evapotranspiration (0.61-42.81 mm per decade) and soil moisture deficit (1.35-27.71 mm per decade) show an increasing trend over the entire territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina with the strongest increase in the northwest part of the country.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 75%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changes in the Water Balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a Result of Climate Change

Čadro¹,

Uzunović²,

Cherni-Cadro³

et al. 2019

AgricultForest

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“…7). This is in accordance with results of the previous studies (Popov et al, 2019a;Popov et al, 2019b), које су утврдиле да су најизраженији негативни трендови сезонских падавина присутни управо у сезони љето. 2019a; Popov et al, 2019b), which determined that most prominent negative trends in seasonal precipitation were found particularly in summer season.…”

Section: табsupporting

confidence: 93%

“…However, a majority of estimated trend values were weak and insignificant. Decrease in precipitation on wet days and reduced frequency of days with fixed precipitation thresholds (0.1 mm, 1 mm, 10 mm and 20 mm) and increasing duration of dry spells also suggest the increase in aridity over the entire East Herzegovina region (Popov, Gnjato, Trbić, & Ivanišević, 2019b). The upward tendency of heavy precipitation events (such as maximum 1-day precipitation, maximum 5-day precipitation, simple precipitation intensity index and very wet days) indicates changes towards more intense precipitation (Popov et al, 2019b).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Ипак, добијене вриједности трендова биле су углавном ниске и инсигнификантне. На повећање аридности указују и смањење количине падавине на веома влажне дане и смањење учесталости дана са фиксним праговима падавина (0.1 mm, 1 mm, 10 mm и 20 mm), те продужено трајање сушних периода у цијелом региону Источне Херцеговине (Popov, Gnjato, Trbić, & Ivanišević, 2019b). Растућа тенденција индекса јаких падавина (као што су максималне једнодневне падавине, максималне петодневне падавине, стандардни дневни интензитет падавина и веома влажни дани) указује на промјене према интензивнијим падавинама (Popov et al, 2019b).…”

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Екстремни Температурни И Падавински Мјесеци У Источној Херцеговини

Попов¹,

Гњато²,

Трбић³

2019

HER

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У раду се анализирају промјене учесталости појаве екстремних температурних и екстремних падавинских мјесеци у региону Источне Херцеговине у периоду 1961−2016. године. Екстремни температурни и падавински мјесеци дефинисани су као мјесеци са температурама и падавинама испод/изнад дугогодишњег 10./90. перцентила. Добијени резултати показују да је 77 % екстремно хладних мјесеци забиљежено у периоду 1961−1990. године, а 67 % екстремно топлих мјесеци у периоду 1991−2016. године. То указује да је на истраживаном подручју присутна тенденција загријавања. За разлику од температуре, промјене падавина нису једнообразне нити знатно изражене. Уочене промјене у појави екстремних температурних и екстремних падавинских мјесеци снажно ће утицати на природне и социо-економске системе. С обзиром на наведено, неопходно је имплементирати ефикасне стратегије ублажавања и прилагођавања на климатске промјене.

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Understanding precipitation characteristics of Afghanistan at provincial scale

Suryavanshi

Joshi

Maurya

et al. 2022

Theor Appl Climatol

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This study examines the pattern and trend of seasonal and annual precipitation along with extreme precipitation events in a data scare, south Asian country, Afghanistan. Seven extreme precipitation indices were considered based upon intensity, duration and frequency of precipitation events. The study revealed that precipitation pattern of Afghanistan is unevenly distributed at seasonal and yearly scales. Southern and Southwestern provinces remain significantly dry whereas, the Northern and Northeastern provinces receive comparatively higher precipitation. Spring and winter seasons bring about 80% of yearly precipitation in Afghanistan.However, a notable declining precipitation trend was observed in these two seasons. An increasing trend in precipitation was observed for the summer and autumn seasons, however; these seasons are the lean periods for precipitation. A declining annual precipitation trend was also revealed in many provinces of Afghanistan. Analysis of extreme precipitation indices reveals a general drier condition in Afghanistan. Large spatial variability was found in precipitation indices. In many provinces of Afghanistan, a significantly declining trends were observed in intensity-based (Rx1-day, RX5-day, SDII and R95p) and frequency-based (R10) precipitation indices. The duration-based precipitation indices (CDD and CWD) also infer a general drier climatic condition in Afghanistan. This study will assist the agriculture and allied sectors to take well-planned adaptive measures in dealing with the changing patterns of precipitation, and additionally, facilitating future studies for Afghanistan.

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Analysis of extreme precipitation indices in the east Herzegovina (Bosnia and Herzegovina)

Cited by 10 publications

References 21 publications

Changes in the Water Balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a Result of Climate Change

Changes in the Water Balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a Result of Climate Change

Екстремни Температурни И Падавински Мјесеци У Источној Херцеговини

Understanding precipitation characteristics of Afghanistan at provincial scale

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