An Empirical Analysis Macroeconomics On Islamic Mutual Funds In Indonesia

Abstract

Macroeconomic factors are indicators to be considered by fund managers and investors before allocating funds for investment. The study aims to discover a causal relationship and test for long-term relationship between macroeconomic variables consisting of inflation, interest rate and currency exchange rate against Islamic mutual funds. The research used secondary monthly data related to macroeconomic variables and Islamic mutual funds during 2011-2016. This study uses a quantitative approach with a model of Vector Auto Regression (VAR). The empirical results show that there are no long-term relationship between the variables of inflation, interest rates, and exchange rate against Islamic mutual fund. Granger causality test shows that the three variables of inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates has no causal relationship, but there are two one-way relationships, which include the interest rate and Islamic mutual funds, and Islamic mutual funds and the exchange rate.

Pengaruh harga komoditas global terhadap industri reksa dana Indonesia

“…Hal ini sejalan dengan penelitian Nordin et al (2020) yang menunjukkan bahwa harga minyak kelapa sawit dapat berpengaruh positif terhadap pasar modal. Penelitian lain mengenai analisis pengaruh makro ekonomi terhadap reksa dana syariah dalam hubungan Jangka Panjang oleh Hasanah et al (2020) menggunakan model Vector Auto Regression (VAR) dengan menggunakan data suku bunga dan nilai aktiva bersih periode 2011-2016. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara kointergrasi variable suku bunga tidak terdapat keseimbangan jangka Panjang terhadap reksadana syariah dan secara kausalitas terdapat hubungan sebab akibat antara suku bunga dengan reksadana syariah.…”