An agent-based platform for simulating complex human–aquifer interactions in managed groundwater systems

Castilla-Rho, Juan; Mariethoz, Grégoire; Rojas, Rodrigo; Andersen, Martin S.; Kelly, Bryce F. J.

doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.08.018

Cited by 77 publications

(38 citation statements)

References 74 publications

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“…Real aquifers, however, are substantially more complex, and it has been shown that this assumption may lead to large errors in estimates of pumping externalities and the value of groundwater management [ Brozović et al ., ]. In response, a growing body of work has used spatially‐distributed groundwater models, such as MODFLOW [ Harbaugh , ], to provide more realistic estimates of aquifer dynamics and the economics of groundwater use [e.g., Brozović et al ., ; Mulligan et al ., ; Castilla‐Rho et al ., ; Hu et al ., ]. However, due to computational constraints, these models typically have only been applied at coarse spatial and temporal resolutions (e.g., km 2 and monthly) that are insufficient to capture the borehole‐scale water table drawdown and changes in well yields that are experienced by individual farmers.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of initial aquifer conditions on economic benefits from groundwater conservation

Foster

Brozović

Butler

2017

Water Resources Research

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Worldwide, there is growing recognition of the need to reduce agricultural groundwater use in response to rapid rates of aquifer depletion. To date, however, few studies have evaluated how benefits of conservation vary along an aquifer's depletion pathway. To address this question, we develop an integrated modeling framework that couples an agro‐economic model of farmers' field‐level irrigation decision‐making with a borehole‐scale groundwater flow model. Unique to this framework is the explicit consideration of the dynamic reductions in well yields that occur as an aquifer is depleted, and how these changes in intraseasonal groundwater supply affect farmers' ability to manage production risks caused by climate variability and, in particular, drought. For an illustrative case study in the High Plains region of the U.S., we apply our model to analyze the value of groundwater conservation activities for different initial aquifer conditions. Our results demonstrate that there is a range of initial conditions for which reducing pumping will have long‐term economic benefits for farmers by slowing reductions in well yields and prolonging the usable lifetime of an aquifer for high‐value irrigated agriculture. In contrast, restrictions on pumping that are applied too early or too late will provide limited welfare benefits. We suggest, therefore, that there are “windows of opportunity” to implement groundwater conservation, which will depend on complex feedbacks between local hydrology, climate, crop growth, and economics.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of initial aquifer conditions on economic benefits from groundwater conservation

Foster

Brozović

Butler

2017

Water Resources Research

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“…Other papers from the environmental sciences area have featured elements related to: agro diversity in agro-ecosystems [55], indirect effect of climate change [56], complex human-aquifer interactions in managed groundwater systems [57], relationship between industrial firms, high-carbon, and low-carbon energy [58], modeling effectiveness of management practices for flood mitigation [59], the fire effect on a forest ecosystem [60], studying the population-environment relationship in the Galapagos Islands [61].…”

Section: Examples Of Agent-based Modeling Applicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling the Consumers Opinion Influence in Online Social Media in the Case of Eco-friendly Products

et al. 2019

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Social influence has a positive impact on the purchase intention for eco-friendly products along with other subjective and objective aspects related to environmental attitude, product attitude, and subjective and objective knowledge. Also, exposure to media has been proven to have a significant positive affect on environmental attitude, with effect on the purchase intention. Several recent studies have shown the importance of consumers’ influence in online social networks, underlying the role played by the online environments over consumers’ attitude. As a result, the current research tries to analyze the influence exerted on consumers’ decision to purchase eco-friendly products by their activity in online social environments. Using a questionnaire, filled-in by 409 respondents, a series of variables have been extracted with regard to the eco-friendly products. An agent-based model has been created, fed with the values of the variables extracted from the questionnaire, and used for simulations. As a result, it has been observed that an increase in online media exposure can have a high positive impact on the eco-friendly product adoption. Depending on the type of product—soft or durable good—different times for the eco-friendly product adoption have been determined relatively to the considered variables. Last, the possible limitations of using an agent-based modeling approach are discussed, along with possible extensions and improvements.

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“…Existem alguns trabalhos que utilizam os modelos baseados em agentes na área da gestão de recursos hídricos, para explorar mecanismos de avaliação de performance dos sistemas hídricos (SCHLÜTER; PAHL-WOSTL, 2007), entender melhor a complexidade dos usos da água e dos usuários da água em sub-bacias (BERGER et al, 2006), representar a dinâmica do uso da água para irrigação e o efeito que tem sobre a distribuição espacial e temporal dos recursos hídricos (VAN OEL et al, 2010), avaliação de estratégias alternativas de operação de reservatórios na distribuição do uso da água (VAN OEL; KROL; HOEKSTRA, 2012); avaliação das consequências do comportamento dos agricultores na qualidade da água (NG et al, 2011;MAZZEGA et al, 2014), integração de ferramentas para análises da gestão integrada da água (NIKOLIC; SIMONOVIC; MILICEVIC, 2013); uso e manejo da água GRIGG, 2013GRIGG, , 2014GRIGG, , 2015HOLTZ;PAHL-WOSTL, 2012;BELAQZIZ et al, 2013;FARHADI et al, 2016) governança e política de uso da água (WISE;CROOKS, 2012;GIULIANI;CASTELLETTI, 2013;MULLIGAN, et al, 2014;CASTILLA-RHO et al, 2015;LECLERT;NZIOKI;FEUERSTEIN, 2016;HAN et al, 2017), dentre outros.…”

Section: Aplicações De Modelos Baseados Em Agentes Para Gestão De Sisunclassified

Contribuições de Modelos Baseados em Agentes (MBA) para gestão de sistemas hídricos urbanos

Alves¹,

Herrera²

2018

REGA

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The usual Emergency Plans for urban water resources shortage consider the use of decision support systems based on mathematical models that represent the hydrologic response of the system for different precipitation regimes and land use changes. The resulting water availability in these models has considered the urban water demand as an external variable (input) not sensitive to the level of cooperation of the water consumers in reducing their levels of consumption. This work presents the bases, applications and perspectives of the use of Agent Based Models (ABM) in urban water resources system management. It presents the conceptualization of a ABM applied to the urban water management of Brazlandia, in the Federal District of Brazil. The model uses reactive agents to represent households and their behavior and decisions were designed using the methodology PAGE (Perceptions, Actions, Goals, Environmental). The agents were classified as low, medium and high income. The environment was represented by raining and dry seasons. The conceptual model was implemented and parameterized based on field investigations and interviews in selected urban areas of Brazlandia. The application of the ABM showed some possibilities of urban water management improvements when considering the cooperation and behavior of water users in simulation models.

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An agent-based platform for simulating complex human–aquifer interactions in managed groundwater systems

Cited by 77 publications

References 74 publications

Effects of initial aquifer conditions on economic benefits from groundwater conservation

Effects of initial aquifer conditions on economic benefits from groundwater conservation

Modeling the Consumers Opinion Influence in Online Social Media in the Case of Eco-friendly Products

Contribuições de Modelos Baseados em Agentes (MBA) para gestão de sistemas hídricos urbanos

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