Adaptive Systems Thinking in Integrated Water Resources Management with Insights into Conflicts over Water Exports

Hipel, Keith W.; Obeidi, Amer; Fang, Liping; Kilgour, D. Marc

doi:10.3138/infor.46.1.51

Cited by 34 publications

(25 citation statements)

References 52 publications

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“…In fact, the import of game theory goes well beyond these domains of applicability. As argued by Hipel and Fang (2005) and Hipel et al (2007Hipel et al ( , 2008aHipel et al ( , 2009a, many conflict problems are highly interconnected with other types of disputes. For instance, disagreements over how to combat global warming and climate change are intertwined with debates over how to handle decreasing supplies of fresh water, confront widespread water pollution, respond to increasingly extreme weather conditions, tackle the food crisis, attend to energy scarcity, reverse the growing gap between the rich and poor, turn around sagging industrial output in many regions, address exploding population growth, and enhance security.…”

Section: Game Theory In Perspectivementioning

confidence: 96%

“…Except for the Nash non-cooperative solution concept (Nash 1951), additional non-cooperative stability definitions have been applied to water resources games only by a limited number of people who use the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR) (Kilgour et al 1987;Fang et al 1993) and its associated decision support system (Fang et al 2003a, b;Hipel et al 2007Hipel et al , 2008b in their strategic studies (Okada et al 1999;Hipel et al 2003;Noakes et al 2003;Li et al 2004;Gopalakrishnan et al 2005;Ma et al 2005;Vieira et al 2005;Madani and Hipel 2007;Nandalal and Hipel 2007;Elimam et al 2008;Getirana et al 2008;Hipel et al 2008a;Getirana and Malta 2010). Non-cooperative stability definitions can facilitate predicating the likely outcomes of the game and the expected behavior of the players who give priority to their own objectives, rather than the system objective (as considered by cooperative methods).…”

Section: Game Theory In Perspectivementioning

confidence: 98%

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Non-Cooperative Stability Definitions for Strategic Analysis of Generic Water Resources Conflicts

Madani

Hipel

2011

Water Resour Manage

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130

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In game theory, potential resolutions to a conflict are found through stability analysis, based on stability definitions having precise mathematical structures. A stability definition reflects a decision maker's behavior in a conflict or game, predicts how the game is played, and suggests the resolutions or equilibria of the dispute. Various stability definitions, reflecting different types of people with different levels of foresight, risk attitude, and knowledge of opponents' preferences, have been proposed for resolving games. This paper reviews and illustrates six stability definitions, applicable to finite strategy strategic non-cooperative water resources games, including Nash Stability, General Metarationality (GMR), Symmetric Metarationality (SMR), Sequential Stability (SEQ), Limited-Move Stability, and Non-Myopic Stability. The introduced stability definitions are applied to an interesting and highly informative range of generic water resources games to show how analytical results vary based on the applied stability definitions. The paper suggests that game theoretic models can better simulate real conflicts if the applied stability definitions better reflect characteristics of the players. When there is a lack of information about the types of decision makers, the employment of a range of stability definitions might improve the strategic results and provide useful insights into the basic framework of the conflict and its resolution.

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Section: Game Theory In Perspectivementioning

confidence: 96%

Section: Game Theory In Perspectivementioning

confidence: 98%

Non-Cooperative Stability Definitions for Strategic Analysis of Generic Water Resources Conflicts

Madani

Hipel

2011

Water Resour Manage

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130

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“…Rapid development of appropriate sanitation policy is therefore of particular concern for groundwater quality management in developing countries, but the success of this is predicated on 1) the establishment of baseline data (Back, Rivett, Hinz, Mackay, Wanangwa, Phiri, Songola, Thomas, Kumwenda, Nhlema, Miller and Kalin, 2018), and 2) development of a systems-thinking approach (e.g., Hipel, Obeidi, Fang and Kilgour, 2008) to holistic water resource management. Systemsthinking practices have emerged over decades of relatively intensive resource use, but emerging economies must transition from existing practices, where aquifers are managed as increasingly stressed common pool resources (Madani and Dinar, 2012), towards integrated systems management.…”

Section: Future Governancementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Rapid development of appropriate water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) policy, and public education about that policy in the context of a common pool resource, is therefore of particular concern for groundwater quality management in developing countries; however, the successful development and implementation of such policy is predicated on 1) the establishment of baseline data (Back, et al, 2018), and 2) development of a complete understanding of the physical, climatic, sociopolitical, economic and cultural factors that frame and underpin the value of the groundwater system (e.g., Barnaby, 2009, Fowler, et al, 2003, Gill, et al, 2017, Jennaway, 2008). Only with this knowledge in hand can sustainable development of the groundwater system proceed effectively under an essentially systems-thinking approach (e.g., Hipel, Obeidi, Fang and Kilgour, 2008) to holistic water resource management.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Initial observations of water quality indicators in the Dili City unconfined, shallow aquifer, Timor-Leste, and suggestions for management of this common-pool groundwater resource

Ximenes¹,

Duffy²,

Faria³

2017

Preprint

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The management of groundwater quality is a critical issue in developing nations where sanitation and drinking-water targets are commonly addressed by facilitating access to groundwater, which is then managed as a common-pool resource. We investigate the quality of the shallow unconfined groundwater in Dili's alluvial fan system, which 50% of Dili's rapidly growing population access for all their water requirements. Using the basic chemical and microbiological analyses that are locally available (sulfate, total hardness, fluoride, manganese, iron, ammonia, nitrite, nitrate, totalColiform and E. Coli.) we show that the shallow wells commonly contain enhanced concentrations of dissolved solids and microbiological contaminants (Total coliform and E. Coli.), relative to deeper wells. Cool, shallow wells fare worse than warm equivalents. Elevated nitrate and nitrite pollution in the embassy district are tentatively attributed to affluence factors, such as lawn cultivation and water filtration equipment. Microbiological contamination, and associated manganese contamination of groundwater, mimic population patterns but are concentrated in the finer grained sediments of the small fans and low slope interdistributory areas. We suggest that rapid development and successful implementation of appropriate sanitation policy in Dili (and elsewhere) is required to address the problematic features of the shallow groundwater system. Success will be predicated on 1) the establishment of baseline data, and 2) development of a systems-thinking approach to holistic water resource management. Any such program must engage with community leadership and water politics, and with the full, presently poorly understood, cohort of water-related service providers and NGOs operating in Timor-Leste.

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“…해외 에서는 거버넌스 차원에서 지역간 물이전과 용도별 물배 분 방안을 제시한 연구가 많았는데, 특히 국제적 물분쟁 해결을 위한 체제구축에 대한 연구가 활발하다 (Correia and Silva, 1999;Candela et al, 2008;Hearns, 2010;Lugo, 2010;Blatter and Ingram, 2011). 한편 다기준의사결정에 의한 해법은 대안들을 평가해 최선안을 추천하는 것으로 다양한 기준에 의한 개인별 판단을 종합할 수 있는 장점이 있어 해외에서는 물분쟁 조정 등에 직접 활용한 사례 (Hipel et al, 2008;Bashar et al, 2012;Ke et al, 2012)가 있으나, 국내에서는 용수배분 (Lee and Shim, 2002;Yi et al, 2004)이나 유역관리 (Chung, 2007) (Park et al, 2009;Tan et al, 2012;Ratner et al, 2013). 한편개별 물분쟁 사례의 갈등구조를 파악하고 해결방안을 심층적으로 분석한최근의연구로서Bae and Lim(2010)은네트워크거버 넌스 (Lee, 2002;Agranoff and McGuire, 2001;Sorensen and Torfing, 2005;Provan and Kenis, 2008) Fig.…”

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A Consensus-Building Support System for Water Environment Governance Based on Multi-Criteria Decision Making

Lee¹,

Yi²,

Kim³

2014

Journal of Korea Water Resources Association

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In this study, we propose a consensus-building support system to engage various stakeholders, transparently disseminate information, ensure objective decision-making, and reflect the view of each stakeholder as a methodology or tool for resolving conflicts that may arise in the process of implementing water environment policies and plans. The system suggests ways to resolve issues by engaging all interested actors and not just a few influential groups of stakeholders imposing their solutions upon local users. The system provides an environment where stakeholders can find solutions to conflicts through their own efforts, mediating competing interests through the interactions such as negotiations and conciliation to reach a consensus. To verify the applicability of the proposed consensus-building support system, simulated role-playing albeit restricted was conducted on the case of the Hantangang Dam construction. The simulation validated that open discussions and negotiations with the local community or NGO by the government increased the efficacy of negotiations.

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Adaptive Systems Thinking in Integrated Water Resources Management with Insights into Conflicts over Water Exports

Cited by 34 publications

References 52 publications

Non-Cooperative Stability Definitions for Strategic Analysis of Generic Water Resources Conflicts

Non-Cooperative Stability Definitions for Strategic Analysis of Generic Water Resources Conflicts

Initial observations of water quality indicators in the Dili City unconfined, shallow aquifer, Timor-Leste, and suggestions for management of this common-pool groundwater resource

A Consensus-Building Support System for Water Environment Governance Based on Multi-Criteria Decision Making

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