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2019
DOI: 10.3390/su11113212
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A Method for Rockburst Prediction in the Deep Tunnels of Hydropower Stations Based on the Monitored Microseismicity and an Optimized Probabilistic Neural Network Model

Abstract: Hydropower is one of the most important renewable energy sources. However, the safe construction of hydropower stations is seriously affected by disasters like rockburst, which, in turn, restricts the sustainable development of hydropower energy. In this paper, a method for rockburst prediction in the deep tunnels of hydropower stations based on the use of real-time microseismic (MS) monitoring information and an optimized probabilistic neural network (PNN) model is proposed. The model consists of the mean imp… Show more

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Cited by 45 publications
(23 citation statements)
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References 34 publications
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“…That is: the sensitivity, accuracy and specificity was 98%, 88% and 87%, respectively. This study not only increased the sensitivity of rockburst risk prediction from 87% [41] to 98%, but also achieved 88% accuracy and 87% specificity, which was not achieved in previous studies. Such improvements may attribute to more features extracted from multi-domains and utilizing MS energy as well as raw wave data.…”
Section: Resultscontrasting
confidence: 52%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…That is: the sensitivity, accuracy and specificity was 98%, 88% and 87%, respectively. This study not only increased the sensitivity of rockburst risk prediction from 87% [41] to 98%, but also achieved 88% accuracy and 87% specificity, which was not achieved in previous studies. Such improvements may attribute to more features extracted from multi-domains and utilizing MS energy as well as raw wave data.…”
Section: Resultscontrasting
confidence: 52%
“…MS waves before the rockburst were investigated, suggesting that characteristics of the wave's velocity, amplitude, and frequency as well as rock stress state can be used for the rockburst warning [28]- [36]. The relationship between MS waves and the rockburst was analysed, indicating the features extracted from MS waves together with rock stress can be utilized to predict rockburst [25], [37]- [41].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Regarding the use of ANN in rockburst and flying rock generated by blasting, the in-situ rockburst database is analyzed by ANNs, SVM, and other two different data mining techniques [14]. Based on the PNN model, Feng et al predict rockburst in the deep tunnels [71]. The flyrock distance generated by blasting is predicted by three hybrid ANN models, including ICA-ANN, GA-ANN, and PSO-ANN [41].…”
Section: G Other Applicationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Seismicity related to underground mining has been observed since the beginning of the 20th century [42]. Seismic activities are closely related to the safety of mining operations, and rock bursts are often the main cause of mining accidents [43,44]. Passive seismic/microseismic monitoring can effectively detect and evaluate the seismic activity surrounding underground mines and provide early warning of potential geological risks [3].…”
Section: The Exploration-scale Examplementioning
confidence: 99%