2021
DOI: 10.1590/0102-311x00290120
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Estimated prevalence of COVID-19 in Brazil with probabilistic bias correction

Abstract: Using data collected by the Brazilian National Household Sample Survey - COVID-19 (PNAD-COVID19) and semi-Bayesian modelling developed by Wu et al., we have estimated the effect of underreporting of COVID-19 cases in Brazil as of December 2020. The total number of infected individuals is about 3 to 8 times the number of cases reported, depending on the state. Confirmed cases are at 3.1% of the total population and our estimate of total cases is at almost 15% of the approximately 212 million Brazilians as of 20… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…However, indirect comparisons with other studies may suggest a higher risk attributed to OHCWs. In Brazil, for instance, the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the same period studied was estimated about 15% in the general population, 54 meanwhile the study by Ferreira et al 41 included in our systematic review indicated the prevalence of 22% for OHCWs. However, none of the studies included in this study examined at the potential source of infection among OHCWs, limiting the possibility of assessing the impact of occupational versus community-acquired infection.…”
Section: F I G U R E 5 Bubble Plot For Meta-regression Of Human Devel...mentioning
confidence: 75%
“…However, indirect comparisons with other studies may suggest a higher risk attributed to OHCWs. In Brazil, for instance, the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the same period studied was estimated about 15% in the general population, 54 meanwhile the study by Ferreira et al 41 included in our systematic review indicated the prevalence of 22% for OHCWs. However, none of the studies included in this study examined at the potential source of infection among OHCWs, limiting the possibility of assessing the impact of occupational versus community-acquired infection.…”
Section: F I G U R E 5 Bubble Plot For Meta-regression Of Human Devel...mentioning
confidence: 75%
“…For example, the prevalence of anti-S IgG antibodies for SARS-CoV-2 in an extremely socioeconomic vulnerable population in Rio de Janeiro and Salvador before vaccine implementation was higher than previous estimates for these cities, indicating the significant burden of COVID-19 in these communities 10 11. The unavailability of diagnostic tools is aggravated by the arrival of new SARS-CoV-2 variants, also contributing to under-reporting of cases 8 9…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…In this context, testing and diagnosis are still insufficient,5 6 mainly in areas with more significant socioeconomic disadvantages, such as low-income and middle-income countries. Low-income countries’ investments in public health are often insufficient in these settings,7 leading to increase in the number of under-reported cases 8 9. For example, the prevalence of anti-S IgG antibodies for SARS-CoV-2 in an extremely socioeconomic vulnerable population in Rio de Janeiro and Salvador before vaccine implementation was higher than previous estimates for these cities, indicating the significant burden of COVID-19 in these communities 10 11.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…In Brazil, in 2020, the seroprevalence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 was considered low, ranging from 3 to 15%, totaling approximately 212 million people infected before the start of vaccination against Covid-19, which in this country, began on January 17, 2021 [ 10 , 11 ].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%