Цель исследования -изучить закономерности, свойственные эпидемическому процессу COVID-19, в условиях мегаполиса, в фазах подъёма, стабилизации и снижения заболеваемости, а также оценить эффективность противоэпидемических мероприятий. Материал и методы. Проведено комплексное изучение распространения SARS-CoV-2 в Москве с использованием эпидемиологического, молекулярно-генетического и статистического методов исследования в период пандемии COVID-19. Результаты и обсуждение. Показано, что применение максимально жёстких организационно-ограничительных мер в масштабах Москвы, обеспечивающих разрыв механизма передачи SARS-CoV-2, и высокая дисциплина населения по исполнению режима самоизоляции позволили не допустить экспоненциального роста заболеваемости COVID-19. Анализ динамики выявления новых случаев COVID-19 показал, что эффект от применения мер по разобщению и режима самоизоляции в условиях мегаполиса наступает через временной промежуток, равный 3,5 инкубационного периода, при его максимальной длительности 14 дней. Установлено, что показатель частоты определения РНК SARS-CoV-2 среди условно здорового населения и его динамика -важные параметры мониторинга, особенно на фазах роста и стабилизации заболеваемости COVID-19, позволяющие в перспективе 1-2 инкубационных периодов (14-28 дней) прогнозировать развитие эпидемиологической ситуации. Общий коэффициент летальности, рассчитанный за период наблюдения (06.03.2020-23.06.2020) в Москве, составил 1,73%. Заключение. В результате проведённого эпидемиологического анализа ситуации с COVID-19 в Москве определены некоторые закономерности распространения SARS-CoV-2 и оценена эффективность противоэпидемических мероприятий, направленных на разрыв механизма передачи возбудителя.
There was executed the assessment of carcinogen and non-carcinogen risks for population health in some areas of the western, south-western and south-eastern administrative districts of Moscow under the exposure to air borne contaminants whose levels are kept track by various government agencies as part of the socio-hygienic monitoring. The value of chronic non-carcinogenic risks to the health of the population as measured according to the danger index for the combined impact of average annual concentrations of leading air borne contaminants with unidirectional impacts are at near alarming or high level depending on the location of monitoring outposts while for on-off short term exposure to maximum concentrations the impacts are at alarming or acceptable level. The highest danger indices were detected at outposts located near major motorways and industrial facilities. According to monitoring data collected by all agencies the air borne contaminants pose the highest risk to the respiratory organs due to exposure to formaldehyde, air-borne particles and nitrogen dioxide. The extra deaths resulting from chronic exposure to РМ10, estimated by the Moscow Environmental Monitoring make up about 1% of the total mortality rate without bearing in mind of external causes for the population residing in the western, south western and south eastern administrative districts. The total individual carcinogenic risks resulting from the exposure to average annual concentration of a number of carcinogens was found to be between the acceptable and alarming levels. The leading compound contributing to the increased carcinogenic risk is formaldehyde.
Аim: Give an epidemiological description of the incidence of acute respiratory viral infection and influenza in the Russian Federation and Moscow.Materials and methods: The form of the federal state statistical observation № 2 “Information on infectious and parasitic diseases” for 2007–2017. When analyzing the etiological structure of the agents of ARVI and influenza in Moscow, protocols were used for weekly laboratory tests of agents of ARVI and influenza conducted by the Center for Hygiene and Epidemiology in Moscow.Results: The epidemic process of ARVI in Russia is characterized by a stabilization of morbidity with an average annual growth rate of 0,4%, and Moscow has a moderate tendency to reduce morbidity with an average annual rate of decline of 2,3%. The highest incidence of ARVI is observed among children under 1 year, 1–2 years and 3–6 years. The greatest proportion in the structure of the incidence of ARVI is children under 17 years. Both for Russia and for Moscow, there is a pronounced tendency to reduce the incidence of influenza. In contrast to ARVI, the largest proportion of people with influenza in Russia and in Moscow are adults, but the highest incidence rates are registered among the children. The epidemic rise of the incidence of ARVI and influenza in Moscow starts 10–12 weeks earlier than in the Russia as a whole.Conclusion: For the epidemic of ARVI in Moscow and in Russia it is typical to involve children under 1 year, 1–2 years and 3–6 years. In Moscow in 2016 and 2017 there is a significant increase in the incidence of influenza among children under 1 year and 1–2 years. In contrast to the Russian Federation for Moscow among the causative agents of non-influenza etiology, dominated parainfluenza viruses (1–3 types) and adenoviruses.
The article shows the main problems of application of risk assessment methodology in the work of the Office of Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in the city of Moscow. There are established priorities on the improvement of the risk assessment methodology, the solution of which as a whole will ensure not only the integrity and objectivity of the results, but also help, eventually, to harmonize risk assessment in our country with the world's leading systems in this area.
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