Objectives: To evaluate the long-term survival and the role of chemotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients in Stage II treated by intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT). Methods: Three hundred and eleven NPC patients in Stage II were reviewed. All were treated with IMRT with or without chemotherapy, with 191, 20 and 100 patients being defined as T1N1M0, T2N0M0 and T2N1M0 stage, respectively. Results: At a median follow-up of 57 months, the 5-year overall survival, disease-specific survival, distant metastasis-free survival, loco-regional relapse-free survival (LRRFS) and progression-free survival were 91.1, 93.5, 90.6, 95.9 and 87.6%, respectively. T2N1 patients had significant poorer survival outcomes than T1N1 patients, with T2N0 patients in between. Further analysis showed that the addition of chemotherapy could only improve LRRFS [hazard ratio (HR) 0.263, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.083-0.839, P = 0.024], especially for T1N1 patients (HR 0.209, 95% CI 0.046-0.954, P = 0.043). For those in the T2N1M0 group, chemotherapy, as used in our series, added no benefit to any endpoint. Conclusions: IMRT in NPC patients in Stage II was quite therapeutic; however, different subgroups have distinct survival outcomes. Distant metastasis was the main failure pattern, especially for those with T2N1 disease, and the chemotherapy currently in use failed to treat subclinical metastatic foci effectively. Further prospective study is warranted to find out the role and the optimal schedule of chemotherapy in this subgroup of patients.

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ObjectiveTo explore the value of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in predicting downstaging to stage 0–I cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in locally advanced rectal cancer.Materials and methodsWe respectively investigated pretreatment CEA, pretreatment CA19-9, posttreatment CEA, posttreatment CA19-9, pre–post-CA19-9 ratio, and pre–post-CEA ratio in 674 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer receiving nCRT and determined the patients’ thresholds by using the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The association between downstaging (stage 0–I after nCRT), pathological complete response, and clinicopathological parameters was evaluated using the Pearson χ2 test. The clinicopathological parameters which were found to be significantly associated with downstaging were analyzed by logistic regression models and were incorporated into a scoring system.ResultsMultivariate analysis showed that pretreatment CA19-9 level, posttreatment CEA level, pre–post-CEA ratio, and pre–post-CA19-9 ratio were significantly correlated with downstaging. Area under the curve of the scoring system was higher than that of parameters alone.ConclusionThe 4-factor scoring system with CA19-9 level, posttreatment CEA level, pre– post-CEA ratio, and pre–post-CA19-9 ratio is of more value in predicting downstaging to stage 0–I patients with locally advanced rectal cancer after nCRT than using the parameters alone.

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Purpose: The overall survival (OS) of resected locally advanced rectal cancer patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) was significantly different, even among patients with the same tumor stage. The nomogram was designed to predict OS of rectal cancer with nCRT and divide the patients into different risk groups. Materials and Methods: Based on materials from 911 rectal cancer patients with nCRT, the multivariable Cox regression model was carried out to select the significant prognostic factors for overall survival. And then, the nomogram was formulated using these independent prognostic factors. The discrimination of the nomogram was assessed by concordance index (C-index), calibration curves and time-dependent area under curve (AUC). The patients respective risk scores were calculated through the nomogram. The best cutoff risk score was calculated to stratify the patients. The survival curves of the two different risk cohorts were performed, which assessed the predictive ability of the nomogram. Results: Age, cT stage, pretreatment CEA, pretreatment CA19-9, surgery, posttreatment CEA, posttreatment CA19-9, pT stage, pN stage and adjuvant chemotherapy were selected for the construction of the nomogram. And then the nomogram was constructed with independent prognostic factors. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.724, which showed the nomogram provided good discernment. The acceptable agreement between the predictions of nomogram and actual observations was illustrated by calibration plots for 3-, 5-and 10-year OS in the cohort. Time-dependent AUC with 6-fold cross-validation also showed consistent results of the nomogram. Risk group stratification confirmed that the nomogram had great capacity for distinguishing the prognosis. Conclusion: The nomogram was developed and validated to predict overall survival of resected locally advanced rectal cancer patients with nCRT. The proposed nomogram might help clinicians to develop individualized treatment strategies. However, further studies are warranted to optimize the nomogram by finding out other unknown prognostic factors, and more external validation is still required.

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