In this paper we propose an approach to investigate a model of consumption and investment with a mandatory retirement date and early retirement option; we analyze properties of the optimal strategy and thereby contribute to understanding the interaction between retirement, consumption, and portfolio decisions in the presence of both the important features of retirement. In particular, we provide a characterization of the threshold of wealth as a function of time, and we show that it is strictly decreasing near the mandatory retirement date. The threshold is similar to the early exercise boundary of an American option in the sense that if the agent’s wealth is above or equal to the threshold level, then the agent immediately retires. We also provide comparative static analysis.
This paper provides a derivative-based optimal investment strategy for an ambiguityaverse pension investor who faces not only risks from time-varying income and market return volatility but also uncertain economic conditions over a long time horizon. We derive a robust dynamic derivative strategy and show that the optimal strategy under ambiguity aversion reduces the exposures to market return risk and volatility risk and that the investor holds opposite positions for the two risk exposures. In the presence of a derivative, ambiguity has distinct effects on the optimal investment strategy. More important, we demonstrate the utility improvement when considering ambiguity and exploiting derivatives and show that ambiguity aversion and derivative trading significantly improve utility when return volatility increases. This improvement becomes more significant under ambiguity aversion over a long investment horizon.
This study performs empirical studies on the interaction between public and private investment and GDP growth for Japan and the USA. Since the data for each country used show features that are quite different from each other, empirical methods of GMM (Generalized Method of Moments) and OLS (Ordinary Least squares) are accordingly applied to Japan and the USA, respectively. The empirical results suggest that both public and private investment make great contributions to Japanese economic growth, while the US private investment seems to play a much more significant role than public investment.
This paper studies the properties of the optimal portfolio-consumption strategies in a finite horizon robust utility maximization framework with different borrowing and lending rates. In particular, we allow for constraints on both investment and consumption strategies, and model uncertainty on both drift and volatility. With the help of explicit solutions, we quantify the impacts of uncertain market parameters, portfolio-consumption constraints and borrowing costs on the optimal strategies and their time monotone properties.
This paper considers utility indifference valuation of derivatives under model uncertainty and trading constraints, where the utility is formulated as an additive stochastic differential utility of both intertemporal consumption and terminal wealth, and the uncertain prospects are ranked according to a multiple-priors model of Chen and Epstein (2002). The price is determined by two optimal stochastic control problems (mixed with optimal stopping time in the case of American option) of forward-backward stochastic differential equations. By means of backward stochastic differential equation and partial differential equation methods, we show that both bid and ask prices are closely related to the Black-Scholes risk-neutral price with modified dividend rates. The two prices will actually coincide with each other if there is no trading constraint or the model uncertainty disappears. Finally, two applications to European option and American option are discussed.
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