In an incomplete market, with incompleteness stemming from stochastic factors imperfectly correlated with the underlying stocks, we derive representations of homothetic (power, exponential and logarithmic) forward performance processes in factor-form using ergodic BSDE. We also develop a connection between the forward processes and infinite horizon BSDE, and, moreover, with risk-sensitive optimization. In addition, we develop a connection, for large time horizons, with a family of classical homothetic value function processes with random endowments.

We demonstrate that backward stochastic differential equations (BSDE) may be reformulated as ordinary functional differential equations on certain path spaces. In this framework, neither It\^{o}'s integrals nor martingale representation formulate are needed. This approach provides new tools for the study of BSDE, and is particularly useful for the study of BSDE with partial information. The approach allows us to study the following type of backward stochastic differential equations: \[dY_t^j=-f_0^j(t,Y_t,L(M)_t) dt-\sum_{i=1}^df_i^j(t,Y_t), dB_t^i+dM_t^j\] with $Y_T=\xi$, on a general filtered probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathcal{F}_t,P)$, where $B$ is a $d$-dimensional Brownian motion, $L$ is a prescribed (nonlinear) mapping which sends a square-integrable $M$ to an adapted process $L(M)$ and $M$, a correction term, is a square-integrable martingale to be determined. Under certain technical conditions, we prove that the system admits a unique solution $(Y,M)$. In general, the associated partial differential equations are not only nonlinear, but also may be nonlocal and involve integral operators.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AOP588 the Annals of Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aop/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Using elements from the theory of ergodic backward stochastic differential equations (BSDE), we study the behavior of forward entropic risk measures. We provide their general representation results (via both BSDE and convex duality) and examine their behavior for risk positions of long maturities. We show that forward entropic risk measures converge to some constant exponentially fast. We also compare them with their classical counterparts and derive a parity result.

We present a new dynamic bank run model for liquidity risk where a financial institution finances its risky assets by a mixture of short-and long-term debt. The financial institution is exposed to insolvency risk at any time until maturity and to illiquidity risk at a finite number of rollover dates. We compute both insolvency and illiquidity default probabilities in this multiperiod setting using a structural credit risk model approach. Firesale rates can be determined endogenously as expected debt value over current asset value. Numerical results illustrate the impact of various input parameters on the default probabilities.