A B S T R A C TIn power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to different forecast values. Therefore, appropriate probabilistic models that can provide accurate information for conditional forecast error distributions are of great need. On the basis of Gaussian mixture model, this paper constructs analytical conditional distributions of forecast errors for multiple wind farms with respect to forecast values. The accuracy of the proposed probabilistic models is verified by using historical data. Thereafter, a fast sampling method is proposed to generate scenarios from the conditional distributions which are non-Gaussian and interdependent. The efficiency of the proposed sampling method is verified.
This paper is concerned with the security control problem of the networked control system (NCSs) subjected to denial of service (DoS) attacks. In order to guarantee the security performance, this paper treats the influence of packet dropouts due to DoS attacks as a uncertainty of triggering condition. Firstly, a novel resilient triggering strategy by considering the uncertainty of triggering condition caused by DoS attacks is proposed. Secondly, the event-based security controller under the resilient triggering strategy is designed while the DoS-based security performance is preserved. At last, the simulation results show that the proposed resilient triggering strategy is resilient to DoS attacks while guaranteing the security performance.
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