Background
The COVID-19 has caused a sizeable global outbreak and has been declared as a public health emergency of international concern. Sufficient evidence shows that temperature has an essential link with respiratory infectious diseases. The objectives of this study were to describe the exposure-response relationship between ambient temperature, including extreme temperatures, and mortality of COVID-19.
Methods
The Poisson distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was constructed to evaluate the non-linear delayed effects of ambient temperature on death, by using the daily new death of COVID-19 and ambient temperature data from January 10 to March 31, 2020, in Wuhan, China.
Results
During the period mentioned above, the average daily number of COVID-19 deaths was approximately 45.2. Poisson distributed lag non-linear model showed that there was a non-linear relationship (U-shape) between the effect of ambient temperature and mortality. With confounding factors controlled, the daily cumulative relative death risk decreased by 12.3% (95% CI [3.4, 20.4%]) for every 1.0 °C increase in temperature. Moreover, the delayed effects of the low temperature are acute and short-term, with the most considerable risk occurring in 5–7 days of exposure. The delayed effects of the high temperature appeared quickly, then decrease rapidly, and increased sharply 15 days of exposure, mainly manifested as acute and long-term effects. Sensitivity analysis results demonstrated that the results were robust.
Conclusions
The relationship between ambient temperature and COVID-19 mortality was non-linear. There was a negative correlation between the cumulative relative risk of death and temperature. Additionally, exposure to high and low temperatures had divergent impacts on mortality.
Various risk management measures have been applied to reduce risks associated with the debris flow; however, only a few studies have adopted the economic benefit to evaluate measure effectiveness. The present study sought to explore debris flow risks at a catchment scale and establish the appropriate risk-reducing measures. The Chengbei Gully debris flow in Shanxi province (China) was selected for the case study. High-resolution topographic data of the drainage basin were obtained using the airborne LiDAR technology. FLO-2D software was used to simulate the debris flow process to perform hazard zonation. Vulnerability was estimated based on the location of elements at risk within the hazard zones and the field survey. Several structural and non-structural measures for controlling risks were proposed based on the risk assessment results, and the benefit–cost ratio was used to analyze their effectiveness. The findings indicated that the rainfall event triggering the Chengbei Gully debris flow had an 80-year return period. The total risk under this rainfall condition was 2.3 × 105 $, which was an unacceptable level according to the criteria of tolerance risk. The findings showed that the engineering measure was the best mitigation approach for the Chengbei Gully debris flow with a benefit of 1.35 million $ and a benefit–cost ratio of 6.43.
A new complex [Co(phen) 3 ] ⋅ (H 3 btec) · (H 2 btec) 0.5 · DMF · 6H 2 O (1) (H 4 btec = 1,2,4,5 Ben zenetetracarboxylic acid, phen = 1,10 phenanthroline, DMF = dimethylformamide) was synthesized by the reaction of pyromellitic dianhydride, phen · H 2 O and CoSO 4 · 7H 2 O. Complex 1 crystallizes in the triclinic system, space group P 1 with a = 11.8123(14) Å, b = 13.0356(16) Å, c = 17.575(2) Å, α = 91.461(2)°, β = 101.347(2)°, γ = 99.830(2)°, FW = 1159.94, Z = 2, V = 2609.5(5) Å 3 . X ray crystal structural determination indicates that the Co(II) ion is octahedral coordinated by six nitrogen atoms of three phenanthroline ligands. The [Co(phen) 3 ] 2+ cation engages its phen ligands in π-π interactions with H 2 btec anion. Extensive hydro gen bonding interactions occur between water molecules, DMF, H 3 btec and H 2 btec anions. The highly crys talline compounds 1, which are insoluble in water as well as common organic solvents, have been character ized in the solid state by elemental analysis, thermogravimetric analysis and IR spectra. Moreover, the study of the electrochemistry of complex 1 was carried out by using cyclic voltammetry. It revealed that the Co(II) complex exhibits a quasi reversible one electron redox process.
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