Epidemiologic studies have shown inconsistent conclusions about the effect of caffeine intake during pregnancy on the risk of low birth weight (LBW). We performed a meta-analysis and linear-dose response analysis examining the association between caffeine consumption during pregnancy and risk of LBW. PubMed and EMBASE were searched for relevant articles published up to March 2014. Eight cohort and four case-control studies met all inclusion criteria. Using a random-effects model of the twelve studies, the pooled odds ratio (OR) for the risk of LBW comparing the highest versus lowest level of caffeine intake during pregnancy was 1.38 (95% CI: 1.10, 1.73). Linear dose-response analysis showed that every additional 100 mg of caffeine intake (1 cup of coffee or 2 cups of tea) per day during pregnancy was associated with a 3.0% increase in OR for LBW. There was a moderate level of overall heterogeneity with an I-squared value of 55% (95% CI: 13, 76%), and no evidence of publication bias based on Egger’s test (P = 0.20) and the funnel plot. Thus, high caffeine intake during pregnancy is associated with a significant increase in the risk of LBW, and this risk appears to increase linearly as caffeine intake increases.
A partitioned survival cost-effectiveness model informed by the final analyses from KEYNOTE-052 predicted long-term health and cost outcomes for cisplatin-ineligible patients with urothelial cancer with programmed death-ligand 1-positive tumors receiving either pembrolizumab or carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Over 20 years, treatment with pembrolizumab resulted in a mean gain of 2.58 life years and was shown to be cost-effective over carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Introduction: Pembrolizumab has been approved in the United States (US) for the first-line treatment of patients with advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma, who are ineligible for cisplatin-containing chemotherapy and with tumors expressing programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) (Combined Positive Score ! 10), or ineligible for any platinumcontaining chemotherapy regardless of PD-L1 status. Long-term KEYNOTE-052 data continue to demonstrate pembrolizumab's meaningful, durable, and well-tolerated antitumor activity. This study evaluates the costeffectiveness of pembrolizumab versus carboplatin plus gemcitabine as first-line treatment for cisplatin-ineligible patients who have PD-L1epositive tumors from a US third-party healthcare payer's perspective. Patients and Methods: A partitioned survival model containing 3 health states (progression-free, progressed, and death) was developed. A simulated treatment comparison and a network meta-analysis were conducted to estimate the comparative efficacy of pembrolizumab versus carboplatin-based chemotherapy. Overall survival, progression-free survival, time on treatment, adverse events, and utilities were modeled using the final analyses of the KEYNOTE-052 trial and 4 studies for carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Cost data were estimated using US standard sources and real-world data. Deterministic, probabilistic, and scenario analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the results. Results: Over 20 years, pembrolizumab resulted in a mean gain of 2.58 life-years, 2.01 quality-adjusted life-years, and additional costs of $158,561, leading to an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $78,925/qualityadjusted life-year compared with carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Conclusion: This study suggests that pembrolizumab is cost-effective compared with carboplatin plus gemcitabine as a first-line therapy for patients with advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma who are PD-L1epositive.
RVS-RFA is a dominant strategy for patients with small HCC unidentifiable in B-mode US, in terms of cost savings and QALYs gained, relative to the conventional US-guided method.
93 Background: Pembrolizumab is indicated as first-line therapy for cisplatin-ineligible patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) whose tumors express PD-L1 with a combined positive score (CPS) ≥ 10. This study aims to evaluate the cost‐effectiveness of pembrolizumab versus carboplatin plus gemcitabine in this setting from the US payer perspective. Methods: A partitioned-survival model was developed to measure the costs and effectiveness over a 20-year time horizon with an annual discount of 3%. Clinical outcomes of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival, safety outcomes and time on treatment were modeled using data from the KEYNOTE-052 clinical trial for pembrolizumab and four clinical trials for carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Because clinical trials directly comparing these treatment strategies are not available, a simulation treatment comparison and a network meta-analysis were conducted to estimate comparative efficacy. Quality of life data extracted from EQ-5D questionnaires administered in KEYNOTE-052 were used to estimate utility, while cost data were estimated using US pricing lists and real-world data. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the results. Pembrolizumab was also compared with gemcitabine monotherapy in the scenario analyses. Results: Pembrolizumab was associated with a survival gain of 2.47 years and 1.90 quality adjusted life years (QALY), an incremental cost of $155,238, and an incremental cost per QALY gained of $81,493 versus carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Results were most sensitive to the time horizon, discount rate, pembrolizumab dosing intensity and OS hazard ratio. Pembrolizumab had 87% or 100% probability of being cost-effective vs. chemotherapy at a $100,000 or $150,000 willingness-to-pay threshold, respectively. Conclusions: Pembrolizumab appears cost-effective versus carboplatin plus gemcitabine as first-line treatment of cisplatin-ineligible and PD-L1 positive mUC patients in the US. The comparison of pembrolizumab with gemcitabine monotherapy yields similar conclusions.
733 Background: VHL disease is a rare hereditary condition that causes abnormal tumor growth in multiple organs, including renal cell carcinoma (RCC), central nervous system (CNS) hemangioblastomas (Hb), pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (pNET), and other tumors. Repeated surgeries are often required due to ongoing tumor recurrences and can lead to complications such as chronic kidney disease, pancreatic insufficiency, and neurological deficit. Belzutifan is a hypoxia-inducible factor inhibitor approved in the US for the treatment of VHL-associated RCC, CNS Hb, or pNET not requiring immediate surgery. This study aimed to quantify the annual rate and costs of VHL-related surgeries and surgical complications before and after belzutifan initiation. Methods: Surgeries were observed during the periods before and after belzutifan initiation in the single-arm phase 2 LITESPARK-004 trial (NCT03401788) among adults with VHL-RCC. Rates of RCC surgeries were obtained by fitting exponential survival models to: time from treatment initiation to the next renal surgery; and time (looking backward) from treatment initiation to the most recent renal surgery before treatment. Rates of surgeries related to other VHL manifestations were calculated as number of surgeries divided by person-years at risk, using all available post-treatment follow up (151 person-years; median [range] per patient: 29.2 [4.2-37.5] months) and equivalent person-years in the pre-treatment period. Complication risks per surgery and unit costs of surgeries and complications were obtained from a retrospective study on VHL within the Optum Clinformatics Data Mart (2000-2020). Annual per-patient costs of surgeries and complications were estimated in 2020 US dollars over the pre- and post-treatment periods from a US third-party payer perspective. Results: Among trial participants (N=61), the rate of RCC surgeries (surgeries/person-year) decreased 87% (0.108 to 0.014) after belzutifan initiation. The rate of other surgeries decreased 98% (0.265 to 0.007), with CNS Hb surgeries decreasing from 0.185 to 0.007, pNET surgeries from 0.013 to 0, adrenal lesion surgeries from 0.007 to 0, and retinal Hb surgeries from 0.060 to 0. Belzutifan was accordingly estimated to reduce per-patient average annual costs of surgeries and complications from $57,259 to $2,536. Conclusions: Healthcare costs of surgeries and surgical complications are substantial among patients with VHL-RCC. In a trial-based cost-consequence analysis, belzutifan was estimated to decrease annual surgery and complication costs by 96%, based on observed reductions in VHL-related surgeries. [Table: see text]
e16010 Background: Pembrolizumab is approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) following platinum-based chemotherapy, based on results from KEYNOTE-045. In this randomized phase 3 trial, pembrolizumab significantly prolonged overall survival (OS) vs. chemotherapy in mUC patients (cut-off: Oct 26, 2017). The current analysis evaluates the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab vs. standard-of-care chemotherapy (docetaxel or paclitaxel) as second-line (2L) treatment for mUC, from a US payer perspective. Methods: We developed a partitioned-survival model to measure the costs and effectiveness over a 20-year time horizon to capture long-term costs and benefits from the treatments. Clinical efficacy, time on treatment, safety and utility data were derived from KEYNOTE-045. OS and progression-free survival were extrapolated beyond the trial period using piecewise models, i.e., Kaplan-Meier data followed by parametric function. Costs (in 2018 $US) for drug acquisition/administration, disease monitoring, adverse events management and terminal care were included. Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3% per year. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the results. Results: Pembrolizumab resulted in a mean gain of 1.33 life years (LYs) and 1.14 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) at an incremental cost of $103,861 vs. chemotherapy. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were $91,103/QALY and $78,254/LY. Key drivers of cost-effectiveness were extrapolation methods for OS data, time horizon and utility values. Pembrolizumab had a 72% or 100% probability of being cost-effective vs. chemotherapy at a $100,000 or $150,000 willingness-to-pay threshold, respectively. Conclusions: Pembrolizumab appears to be cost-effective vs. docetaxel or paclitaxel monotherapy as 2L mUC therapy when accounting for durable survival seen in a subset of patients receiving pembrolizumab. The model was established based on robust estimates, with key clinical endpoints directly drawn or derived from patient level data in KEYNOTE-045.
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