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In the course of infecting their hosts, pathogenic bacteria secrete numerous effectors, namely, bacterial proteins that pervert host cell biology. Many Gram-negative bacteria, including context-dependent human pathogens, use a type IV secretion system (T4SS) to translocate effectors directly into the cytosol of host cells. Various type IV secreted effectors (T4SEs) have been experimentally validated to play crucial roles in virulence by manipulating host cell gene expression and other processes. Consequently, the identification of novel effector proteins is an important step in increasing our understanding of host-pathogen interactions and bacterial pathogenesis. Here, we train and compare six machine learning models, namely, Naïve Bayes (NB), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machines (SVMs) and multilayer perceptron (MLP), for the identification of T4SEs using 10 types of selected features and 5-fold cross-validation. Our study shows that: (1) including different but complementary features generally enhance the predictive performance of T4SEs; (2) ensemble models, obtained by integrating individual single-feature models, exhibit a significantly improved predictive performance and (3) the 'majority voting strategy' led to a more stable and accurate classification performance when applied to predicting an ensemble learning model with distinct single features. We further developed a new method to effectively predict T4SEs, Bastion4 (Bacterial secretion effector predictor for T4SS), and we show our ensemble classifier clearly outperforms two recent prediction tools. In summary, we developed a state-of-the-art T4SE predictor by conducting a comprehensive performance evaluation of different machine learning algorithms along with a detailed analysis of single- and multi-feature selections.

Bacterial effector proteins secreted by various protein secretion systems play crucial roles in host-pathogen interactions. In this context, computational tools capable of accurately predicting effector proteins of the various types of bacterial secretion systems are highly desirable. Existing computational approaches use different machine learning (ML) techniques and heterogeneous features derived from protein sequences and/or structural information. These predictors differ not only in terms of the used ML methods but also with respect to the used curated data sets, the features selection and their prediction performance. Here, we provide a comprehensive survey and benchmarking of currently available tools for the prediction of effector proteins of bacterial types III, IV and VI secretion systems (T3SS, T4SS and T6SS, respectively). We review core algorithms, feature selection techniques, tool availability and applicability and evaluate the prediction performance based on carefully curated independent test data sets. In an effort to improve predictive performance, we constructed three ensemble models based on ML algorithms by integrating the output of all individual predictors reviewed. Our benchmarks demonstrate that these ensemble models outperform all the reviewed tools for the prediction of effector proteins of T3SS and T4SS. The webserver of the proposed ensemble methods for T3SS and T4SS effector protein prediction is freely available at http://tbooster.erc.monash.edu/index.jsp. We anticipate that this survey will serve as a useful guide for interested users and that the new ensemble predictors will stimulate research into host-pathogen relationships and inspiration for the development of new bioinformatics tools for predicting effector proteins of T3SS, T4SS and T6SS.

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