Background Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine uptake among US adolescents is primarily dependent on the intent of their parents. To the best of our knowledge, an analysis quantifying parental intent to initiate and complete the HPV vaccine series in the USA at both the national and state level has not been done. We aim to estimate parental intent to initiate and complete the HPV vaccine series at the national-level and state-level and to identify reasons for lack of intent to initiate and complete the vaccine series.Methods This cross-sectional study uses data from the adolescent component of the 2017-18 National Immunization Survey (NIS-Teen). Study participants were parents or caregivers of US adolescents aged 13-17 years, who were most knowledgeable about the immunisation status of the adolescents. The primary outcome was parental intent to vaccinate the adolescent in the next 12 months. The secondary outcomes were (1) the prevalence of reasons given for lack of intent to initiate and complete the HPV vaccine series, and (2) the relationship between receiving a recommendation from a health-care provider to vaccinate and intent to initiate the vaccination series. We computed national-level and state-level estimates for parental lack of intent to initiate and to complete the vaccine series; population-level estimates were derived using survey weights. A survey design-adjusted Wald F test was used for bivariate analysis. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to examine the association between health-care provider recommendation and parental intent to initiate the series. Analyses were stratified by history of health-care provider recommendation to initiate the HPV vaccine series. FindingsIn 2017-18, the parent or caregiver of 82 297 US adolescents aged 13-17 years completed the NIS-Teen survey. 30 558 (37•1%) were unvaccinated and 9073 (10•8%) received only one HPV vaccine dose. Parents of 58•0% (17 171/29 086) of unvaccinated adolescents with data available on parental intent had no intention to initiate the HPV vaccine series. More than 65% of parents of unvaccinated adolescents in Idaho,

IMPORTANCECervical cancer screening rates are suboptimal in the US. Population-based assessment of reasons for not receiving screening is needed, particularly among women from historically underserved demographic groups. OBJECTIVE To estimate changes in US Preventive Service Task Force guideline-concordant cervical cancer screening over time and assess the reasons women do not receive up-to-date screening by sociodemographic factors. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This pooled population-based cross-sectional study used data from the US National Health Interview Survey from 2005 and 2019. A total of 20 557 women (weighted, 113.1 million women) aged 21 to 65 years without previous hysterectomy were included.

IMPORTANCE Oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) incidence is rising among men in the US. Comprehensive assessments of nationwide trends in OPC incidence and mortality by demographics, tumor characteristics at diagnosis, and geography are lacking.OBJECTIVE We examined secular trends in OPC incidence and mortality rates in all 50 US states and the District of Columbia (DC). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTSIn this cross-sectional study, we used the US Cancer Statistics data set to examine OPC incidence trends from 2001 through 2017. Observed and incidence-based mortality trends were evaluated using data from the National Center for Health Statistics and Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results program, respectively. Data analysis was conducted from January to April 2021.RESULTS Nationwide, 260 182 OPC cases were identified; 209 297 (80%) occurred in men, 168 674 (65%) with regional stage, and 142 068 (55%) in the Southeast and Midwest regions, during 2001 to 2017. Incidence of OPC increased nationally 2.7% per year among men, with a notable (over 3% per year) rise among non-Hispanic White men and in men aged 65 years and older. Overall, among women, the annual percentage change was 0.5% (95% CI, −0.28% to 1.22%). Among men, with a 3.1% per year rise (95% CI, 2.4% to 3.8%), regional-stage OPC incidence increased nearly 2-fold. Among women, regional-stage OPC incidence increased 1.0% per year (95% CI, 0.3% to 1.7%). Among men, OPC incidence increased in all states and regions except Alaska, DC, and Wyoming. Among men, the most pronounced increases (more than 3.5% per year) were clustered in the Southeast and Midwest regions. Among women, a rise of more than 2% per year was also concentrated in the Southeast and Midwest regions. Among men, OPC incidence-based mortality increased 2.1% per year (95% CI, 1.0% to 3.2%) overall in recent years (from 2006 to 2017). In contrast, among women, the annual percentage change in OPC incidence-based mortality was −1.2% (95% CI, −2.5% to 0.1%). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCEThe findings of this cross-sectional study suggest that the incidence of OPC has continued to increase nationally among men in the US, with rapid increases among the elderly population. The notable rise in regional-stage OPC and the concurrent recent rise in mortality among men is troubling and calls for urgent improvements in prevention. Distinct geographic patterns with notable rises in the Midwest and Southeast regions imply the need for improved and targeted prevention as well as future studies to understand etiological reasons for geographic disparities.

Key Points Question Does public sentiment of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine safety align with spontaneous HPV vaccine adverse event reporting data? Findings This cross-sectional analysis of the 2015 to 2018 National Immunization Survey indicates a 79.9% increase in the proportion of parents who refused the HPV vaccine for their adolescents due to safety concerns. In contrast, estimates from the national vaccine safety surveillance system found that the HPV vaccine adverse event reporting rate per 100 000 doses distributed decreased from 44.7 in 2015 to 29.4 in 2018. Meaning These findings suggest an urgent need to combat safety concerns about the HPV vaccine in the US.

Interactions between oscillators can be investigated with standard tools of time series analysis. However, these methods are insensitive to the directionality of the coupling, i.e., the asymmetry of the interactions. An elegant alternative was proposed by Rosenblum and collaborators [M. G. Rosenblum, L. Cimponeriu, A. Bezerianos, A. Patzak, and R. Mrowka, Phys. Rev. E 65, 041909 (2002); M. G. Rosenblum and A. S. Pikovsky, Phys. Rev. E 64, 045202 (2001)] which consists in fitting the empirical phases to a generic model of two weakly coupled phase oscillators. This allows one to obtain the interaction functions defining the coupling and its directionality. A limitation of this approach is that a solution always exists in the least-squares sense, even in the absence of coupling. To preclude spurious results, we propose a three-step protocol: (1) Determine if a statistical dependency exists in the data by evaluating the mutual information of the phases; (2) if so, compute the interaction functions of the oscillators; and (3) validate the empirical oscillator model by comparing the joint probability of the phases obtained from simulating the model with that of the empirical phases. We apply this protocol to a model of two coupled Stuart-Landau oscillators and show that it reliably detects genuine coupling. We also apply this protocol to investigate cardiorespiratory coupling in anesthetized rats. We observe reciprocal coupling between respiration and heartbeat and that the influence of respiration on the heartbeat is generally much stronger than vice versa. In addition, we find that the vagus nerve mediates coupling in both directions.

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Human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated cancer burden is rising in the United States. Trends in the incidence by county-level income and smoking prevalence remain undescribed. We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 21 database to ascertain HPV-associated cancers during 2000-2018. Trends were estimated by county-level income and smoking prevalence quartiles. Anal and vulvar cancer incidence among women and anal cancer incidence among men increased markedly in the lowest-income counties, whereas the increases were slower in the highest-income counties (eg, for vulvar cancer, incidence increased 1.9% per year, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.9% to 2.9%, in the lowest-income counties vs 0.8% per year, 95% CI = 0.6% to 1.1%, in the highest-income counties). In recent years, cervical cancer incidence plateaued (0.0% per year [95% CI = −0.5% to 0.5%]) in the highest-income counties; in the lowest-income counties, the annual percentage change was 1.6% per year (95% CI = −0.7% to 4.0%). Counties with high smoking prevalence had marked increases in incidence compared with their counterparts (eg, anal cancer among men increased 4.4% per year [95% CI = 2.7% to 6.0%] for those living in counties with the highest smoking prevalence vs 1.2% per year [95% CI = 0.7% to 1.7%] for those living in counties with the lowest smoking prevalence). Improved and targeted prevention is needed to combat the widening disparities.

IMPORTANCE Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are at high risk for cardiovascular (CV) mortality, attributed to chronic inflammation coupled with elevated circulatory homocysteine levels. Increasing the serum folate level reduces homocysteine, but the association of serum folate concentration with CV mortality in patients with RA has not been previously examined. OBJECTIVE To examine the association of serum folate concentration and CV mortality risk among patients with RA. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS A cohort study of the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1988-1994) and 2011 Linked Mortality File was performed. Adults aged 18 years or older with self-reported physician-diagnosed RA were included. Data analysis was performed between April 2019 and June 2019. EXPOSURE Serum folate level. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES All-cause and CV mortality risk estimated using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for the complex survey design and patient characteristics, including demographic characteristics, body mass index, C-reactive protein level, smoking, RA medication use, and comorbid conditions. RESULTS A total of 683 patients with RA (mean [SE] age, 55.9 [1.0] years; 225 [30.2%] men; 478 [87.0%] white) were classified into tertiles based on serum folate levels, as follows: tertile 1, folate levels less than 4.3 ng/mL (n = 239); tertile 2, folate levels 4.3 ng/mL to 8.2 ng/mL (n = 234); and tertile 3, folate levels greater than 8.2 ng/mL (n = 210). During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 17.4 (10.0-19.4) years, a total of 392 all-cause deaths and 258 CV deaths occurred. Compared with tertile 1, patients in tertile 2 had lower all-cause mortality risk (hazard ratio [HR], 0.63; 95% CI, 0.47-0.85). The risk of CV mortality was lower among patients in tertile 2 (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.30-0.92) and tertile 3 (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.26-0.75) compared with those in tertile 1 (P for trend = .01). Findings for CV mortality were consistent in a sensitivity analysis that estimated 10-year risk; patients in tertile 2 (HR, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.17-0.57) and tertile 3 (HR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.22-0.69) had lower CV mortality risk compared with those in tertile 1 (P for trend = .04). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Among patients with RA, a serum folate level of at least 4.3 ng/mL was associated with lower CV mortality risk. Further research is needed to examine whether a causal relationship exists between serum folate and CV risk among patients with RA.