Purpose:to test experimentally influence of aerobic trainings (cross country training and basic aerobic) on students' special endurance in sport oriented groups (sport circles, ping pong).
Material:106 first year students (n=53 -control group and n=53 -experimental) participated in experiment. For determination of temporal series' trends R-S analysis was used. Prognostication of mistakes' quantity per one set was fulfilled with the help of exponential smoothing method.
Results:it was shown that exponential smoothing method permits to prognosticate by one set ahead with rather high accuracy. As initial predictor we found mean quantity of mistakes in all sets. It permits to average all internal and external factors, which influence on the next predicting indicators. Such approach increases confidence of mistakes' calculation in prognostication. Criteria of prognostication methodic for possible indicators' values were also determined.
Conclusions:the recommended time distribution in program is as follows: ping pong − 75%; cross country training and basic aerobic -25%.
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