The West Antarctic Peninsula (WAP) and adjacent Scotia Sea support abundant wildlife populations, many of which were nearly extirpated by humans. This region is also among the fastestwarming areas on the planet, with 5-6°C increases in mean winter air temperatures and associated decreases in winter sea-ice cover. These biological and physical perturbations have affected the ecosystem profoundly. One hypothesis guiding ecological interpretations of changes in top predator populations in this region, the "sea-ice hypothesis," proposes that reductions in winter sea ice have led directly to declines in "ice-loving" species by decreasing their winter habitat, while populations of "ice-avoiding" species have increased. However, 30 y of field studies and recent surveys of penguins throughout the WAP and Scotia Sea demonstrate this mechanism is not controlling penguin populations; populations of both ice-loving Adélie and ice-avoiding chinstrap penguins have declined significantly. We argue in favor of an alternative, more robust hypothesis that attributes both increases and decreases in penguin populations to changes in the abundance of their main prey, Antarctic krill. Unlike many other predators in this region, Adélie and chinstrap penguins were never directly harvested by man; thus, their population trajectories track the impacts of biological and environmental changes in this ecosystem. Linking trends in penguin abundance with trends in krill biomass explains why populations of Adélie and chinstrap penguins increased after competitors (fur seals, baleen whales, and some fishes) were nearly extirpated in the 19th to mid-20th centuries and currently are decreasing in response to climate change.S ea ice plays a critical role in structuring ecosystem dynamics throughout the West Antarctic Peninsula (WAP) and Scotia Sea, and variations in sea-ice extent are hypothesized to affect penguin populations directly. As seasonal sea-ice extent and duration declines in this region, the Adélie penguin (Pygoscelis adeliae), which favors pack-ice habitat in winter, should decline in population size, whereas the closely related chinstrap penguin (Pygoscelis antarctica), which forages in ice-free water during winter, should increase (1-5). The foundation for this hypothesis is based on a short (7-y) series of simultaneously observed decreases in nesting populations of Adélie penguins and increases in chinstrap penguins following winters with low sea ice in the South Shetland Islands during the 1970s and 1980s (1). However there now is overwhelming evidence that, in contrast to expectations, both Adélie and chinstrap penguin populations are declining throughout the WAP and broader Scotia Sea region. Results and DiscussionAdélie and chinstrap penguin populations have declined more than 50% during the last 30 y at study colonies in the South Shetland Islands (Fig. 1A). Moreover, since 1987, interannual changes in Adélie and chinstrap breeding populations have been positively correlated (Pearson's r = 0.7; P < 0.001; n = 21; Fig. 1B). T...
Ecological segregation among Adelie, Gentoo, and Chinstrap penguins during summer results from differences in breeding chronology, foraging behaviors, and life history tactics. To determine the importance of these factors in segregating the niches of the three species, we collected data on their population size, breeding success, breeding chronology, feeding frequency, and foraging range. Gentoo Penguins feed inshore and are deep divers. Their small populations probably reflect the comparatively large amount of food they need to rear chicks and the small foraging range that is dictated by short nest relief schedules and nonfasting behaviors. Their deep diving ability enables them to exploit a niche that is unavailable to their more abundant congeners. Adelie and Chinstrap penguins are shallow—diving, offshore foragers that avoid competition by differences in breeding chronology, prebreeder behaviors, and molting strategies. Adelie chicks fledge just as Chinstrap chicks reach creche age. Different migration times and molting locations further reduce niche overlap. The ultimate factors responsible for this tropic segregation may be unrelated to these proximate factors, however. Nonmigratory behavior, short nest reliefs, nonfasting, and slow growth of chicks may be adaptations to the mild conditions experienced by Gentoo Penguins in their sub—Antarctic range. The differences in Adelie and Chinstrap breeding time may reflect adaptation of Adelies to early breeding in the harsh, short summer of the continental Antarctic, and adaptation of Chinstraps to later breeding in the milder Maritime Antarctic. We found no evidence to suggest that the niches of the Pygoscelis penguins were influenced by competition for food, and suggest that adaptation to conditions in the center of their respective distributions is the primary cause affecting ecological segregation in areas of sympatry.
These datasets and accompanying syntheses provide a greater understanding of fundamental ecosystem processes in the Southern Ocean, support modelling of predator distributions under future climate scenarios and create inputs that can be incorporated into decision making processes by management authorities. In this data paper, we present the compiled tracking data from research groups that have worked in the Antarctic since the 1990s. The data are publicly available through biodiversity.aq and the Ocean Biogeographic Information System. The archive includes tracking data from over 70 contributors across 12 national Antarctic programs, and includes data from 17 predator species, 4060 individual animals, and over 2.9 million observed locations.Scientific Data | (2020) 7:94 | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-0406-x www.nature.com/scientificdata www.nature.com/scientificdata/ circum-Antarctic synthesis yet exists that crosses species boundaries. This deficiency prompted the Expert Group on Birds and Marine Mammals (EG-BAMM) and the Expert Group on Antarctic Biodiversity Informatics (EGABI) of the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research (SCAR; www.scar.org) to initiate in 2010 the Retrospective Analysis of Antarctic Tracking Data (RAATD). RAATD aims to advance our understanding of fundamental and applied questions in a data-driven way, matching research priorities already identified by the SCAR Horizon Scan 9,21 and key questions in animal movement ecology 22 . For these reasons, we worked on the collation, validation and preparation of tracking data collected south of 45 °S. Data from over seventy contributors (Data Contacts and Citations 23 ) were collated. This database includes information from seventeen predator species, 4,060 individuals and over 2.9 million at-sea locations. To exploit this unique dataset, RAATD is undertaking a multi-species assessment of habitat use for higher predators in the Southern Ocean 24 .RAATD will provide a greater understanding of predator distributions under varying climate regimes, and provide outputs that can inform spatial management and planning decisions by management authorities such as the Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR; www.ccamlr.org). Our synopsis and analysis of multi-predator tracking data will also highlight regional or seasonal data-gaps.Scientific Data | (2020) 7:94 | https://doi.
The responses of predators to environmental variability in the Antarctic Peninsula region have exhibited divergent patterns owing to variation in the geographic settings of colonies and predator life-history strategies. Five breeding colonies of Pygoscelis penguins from King George Island and Livingston Island, South Shetland Islands, Antarctica, were examined to (1) compare the responses of sympatric congeners to recent changes in their Antarctic ecosystem and (2) assess underlying causes for such responses. We used linear regression and correlation analyses to compare indices of abundance, recruitment, and summer breeding performance of the Adélie (P. adeliae), gentoo (P. papua), and chinstrap penguins (P. antarctica). Breeding colonies of Adélie and chinstrap penguins have declined by roughly 50% since the mid-1970s, and recruitment indices of Adélie penguins have declined by roughly 80%, but no such patterns are evident for gentoo penguins. Fledging success, however, has remained stable at all breeding colonies. The different trends in abundance and recruitment indices for each species, despite generally similar indices of summer performance, suggest that winter conditions contribute to the divergent responses among the penguins. In particular, strong correlations between indices of penguin and krill recruitment suggest that penguins in the South Shetland Islands may live under an increasingly krill-limited system that has disproportionate effects on the survival of juvenile birds.
Palabras Clave: captura accesoria, competencia por recursos, contaminación marina, degradación de hábitat, sobrepesca
Mitigating direct and indirect interactions between marine predators and fisheries is a motivating factor for ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM), especially where predators and fisheries compete for a shared resource. One difficulty in advancing EBFM is parameterizing clear functional responses of predators to indices of prey availability. Alternative characterizations of fishery-predator interactions may therefore benefit the implementation of EBFM. Telemetry data identify foraging areas used by predators and, therefore, represent critical information to mitigate potential competition between predators and fisheries. We analyzed six years (2009–2014) of telemetry data collected at Cape Shirreff, Livingston Island and Admiralty Bay, King George Island, Antarctica, on three species of Pygoscelid penguins and female Antarctic fur seals. In this region, all four species are primarily dependent on Antarctic krill. The tracking data demonstrate local movements near breeding colonies during the austral summer and dispersal from breeding colonies during the winter. We then assessed overlap between predators and the Antarctic krill fishery on a suite of spatiotemporal scales to examine how different data aggregations affect the extent and location of overlap. Concurrent overlap was observed on all spatiotemporal scales considered throughout the Antarctic Peninsula and South Orkney Islands region, including near tagging locations and in distant areas where recent fishing activity has concentrated. Overlap occurred at depths where mean krill densities were relatively high. Our results demonstrate that direct overlap of krill-dependent predators with the krill fishery on small spatiotemporal scales is relatively common throughout the Antarctic Peninsula region. As the krill fishery continues to develop and efforts to implement ecosystem-based management mature, indices of overlap may provide a useful metric for indicating where the risks of fishing are highest. A precautionary approach to allocating krill catches in space would be to avoid large increases in catch where overlap on small spatiotemporal scales is common.
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