The first cell fate decisions in the developing fly embryo are made very rapidly : hunchback genes decide in a few minutes whether a given nucleus follows the anterior or the posterior developmental blueprint by reading out the positional information encoded in the Bicoid morphogen. This developmental system constitutes a prototypical instance of the broad spectrum of regulatory decision processes that combine speed and accuracy. Traditional arguments based on fixed-time sampling of Bicoid concentration indicate that an accurate readout is not possible within the short times observed experimentally. This raises the general issue of how speed-accuracy tradeoffs are achieved. Here, we compare fixed-time sampling strategies to decisions made on-the-fly, which are based on updating and comparing the likelihoods of being at an anterior or a posterior location. We found that these more efficient schemes can complete reliable cell fate decisions even within the very short embryological timescales. We discuss the influence of promoter architectures on the mean decision time and decision error rate and present concrete promoter architectures that allow for the fast readout of the morphogen. Lastly, we formulate explicit predictions for new experiments involving Bicoid mutants.
The simultaneous expression of the hunchback gene in the multiple nuclei of the developing fly embryo gives us a unique opportunity to study how transcription is regulated in functional organisms. A recently developed MS2-MCP technique for imaging transcription in living Drosophila embryos allows us to quantify the dynamics of the developmental transcription process. The initial measurement of the morphogens by the hunchback promoter takes place during very short cell cycles, not only giving each nucleus little time for a precise readout, but also resulting in short time traces. Additionally, the relationship between the measured signal and the promoter state depends on the molecular design of the reporting probe. We develop an analysis approach based on tailor made autocorrelation functions that overcomes the short trace problems and quantifies the dynamics of transcription initiation. Based on life imaging data, we identify signatures of bursty transcription initiation from the hunchback promoter. We show that the precision of the expression of the hunchback gene to measure its position along the anterior-posterior axis is low both at the boundary and in the anterior even at cycle 13, suggesting additional post-translational averaging mechanisms to provide the precision observed in fixed material.
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