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The goal of this paper was to evaluate heat loss and the demand of district heating (DH) in the context of the fourth generation DH concept using a data-driven approach. The heat loss profile was calculated with GIS Zulu© (software (8.0.0.7539, Politerm, LLC, St.Petersburg, Russia) using eight various states of insulation, detailed information on thermal conductivity, internal heat transfer coefficient, and geometry of the concrete trench. There is a strong correlation between the heat sold and the average annual outdoor temperatures. The outstanding episodes are extremely rare, and the difference in the overall pattern is elusive. The results of the annual heat production and annual heat loss analyses were compared using three different estimation methods. The new method was the only one that showed a positive effect after the complete modernization of thermal insulation. The actual proportion of heat loss is much higher at 16%, while the actual heat delivery is less than anticipated at 85–86% only. The trend of the normative approach is correct but cannot determine changes in network heat loss due to aging. The method focuses on the effects of the state of insulation and actual supply temperature levels. The transition to smart energy systems includes strategic and progressive energy planning, as well as new pricing rules and tariffs. Thus, the method presented is the first step in the transition towards the fourth generation DH networks.

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Over the past decades, combined heat and power production (CHP) has proven itself to be an efficient means of meeting both heat and power demands. However, high efficiency can be achieved with CHP plants when the heat load is sufficient, while lower-priority CHP plants must deal with the excess heat associated with power generation. This excess heat can be used for district cooling with absorption chillers. Although the absorption chiller is an efficient technology for using excess heat for cooling generation, its efficiency is very sensitive to driving hot water temperature. This paper provides a detailed analysis of how cooling generation in CHP plants using absorption chillers affects power generation and primary energy consumption. This study is based on the operational parameters of the Mustamäe CHP plant (Tallinn, Estonia) and the cooling demand of the Tehnopol science and business campus and proposes a sufficient cooling production capacity based on the estimation of the campus’ cooling demand. Additional cooling production opportunities to meet district cooling demand are discussed and compared in this paper in terms of primary energy savings and economic profit. The study finds that for the effective use of CHP excess heat and efficient cooling production, the use of an 0.8 MW absorption cooler and 11.6 MW heat pumps is recommended. This system would use 1.9 times less primary energy for cooling generation than local cooling.