Globally accelerating trends in societal development and human environmental impacts since the mid-twentieth century are known as the Great Acceleration and have been discussed as a key indicator of the onset of the Anthropocene epoch . While reports on ecological responses (for example, changes in species range or local extinctions) to the Great Acceleration are multiplying , it is unknown whether such biotic responses are undergoing a similar acceleration over time. This knowledge gap stems from the limited availability of time series data on biodiversity changes across large temporal and geographical extents. Here we use a dataset of repeated plant surveys from 302 mountain summits across Europe, spanning 145 years of observation, to assess the temporal trajectory of mountain biodiversity changes as a globally coherent imprint of the Anthropocene. We find a continent-wide acceleration in the rate of increase in plant species richness, with five times as much species enrichment between 2007 and 2016 as fifty years ago, between 1957 and 1966. This acceleration is strikingly synchronized with accelerated global warming and is not linked to alternative global change drivers. The accelerating increases in species richness on mountain summits across this broad spatial extent demonstrate that acceleration in climate-induced biotic change is occurring even in remote places on Earth, with potentially far-ranging consequences not only for biodiversity, but also for ecosystem functioning and services.
Current interest and debate on pollen-assemblage richness as a proxy for past plant richness have prompted us to review recent developments in assessing whether modern pollen-assemblage richness reflects contemporary floristic richness. We present basic definitions and outline key terminology. We outline four basic needs in assessing pollen-plant richness relationships-modern pollen data, modern vegetation data, pollen-plant translation tables, and quantification of the co-variation between modern pollen and vegetation compositional data. We discuss three key estimates and one numerical tool-richness estimation, evenness estimation, diversity estimation, and statistical modelling. We consider the inherent problems and biases in assessing pollen-plant richness relationships-taxonomic precision, pollen-sample:pollen-population ratios, pollen-representation bias, and underlying concepts of evenness and diversity. We summarise alternative approaches to studying pollen-plant richness relationships. We show that almost all studies which have compared modern pollen richness with contemporary site-specific plant richness reveal good relationships between palynological richness and plant richness. We outline future challenges and research opportunitiesinterpreting past pollen-richness patterns, estimating richness from macrofossils, studying pollen richness at different scales, partitioning diversity and estimating beta diversity, estimating false, hidden, and dark richness, and considering past functional and phylogenetic diversity from pollen data. We conclude with an assessment of the current state-of-knowledge about whether pollen richness reflects floristic richness and explore what is known and unknown in our understanding of pollen-plant richness relationships.
The relationships between modern pollen and floristic plant richness, diversity and evenness are assessed using pollen assemblages and associated vegetation data from 52 lakes along an elevational and vegetational gradient in the Setesdal valley of south-central Norway. Various data transformations were applied to minimise bias in the vegetation and pollen datasets. Plant species were transformed to their pollen or spore equivalents to reduce taxonomic biases. Pollen counts were transformed using Andersen’s general pollen-representation values for northern European trees and shrubs and the Regional Estimates of Vegetation Abundance from Large Sites (REVEALS) model with pollen-productivity estimates (PPEs) appropriate for Setesdal to minimise pollen-representation bias. Pollen count-size bias (before or after transformation) was eliminated by rarefaction analysis based on bootstrap resampling. Richness and diversity were quantified using Hill numbers ( N0, N1, N2), and evenness was estimated as the ratios of N0, N1 and N2. Diversity partitioning was used to estimate β diversity. The strongest correlations between pollen and plant richness and diversity are with pollen counts transformed using Andersen’s representation values and rarefied to a common count size and with plants transformed to their pollen equivalents. However, if sites from the low-alpine zone are excluded where there are high values of far-transported tree pollen, the richness and diversity relationships are also statistically significant for untransformed pollen data and plants transformed into their pollen equivalents. The effects of data transformation on diversity partitioning and estimates of β diversity are explored. We demonstrate that there are statistically significant positive relationships between pollen and plant richness and diversity along the entire elevational gradient after transforming the datasets to minimise biases due to taxonomic differences, differential pollen representation, and pollen-count size, and similar significant positive relationships along the forested parts of the gradient (nemoral, boreonemoral, southern boreal, middle boreal) after transforming the datasets to minimise biases due to taxonomic differences and pollen-count size.
Phytosociological studies are an important tool to detect temporal vegetation changes in response to global climate change. In this study, we present the results of a resurvey of a plot-based phytosociological study from Sikkilsdalen, central Norway, originally executed between 1922 and 1932. By using a detailed phytosociological study we are able to investigate several aspects of elevational shifts in species ranges. Here we tested for upward and downward shifts in observed upper and lower distribution limits of species, as well as changes in species optima along an elevational gradient, and related the observed range shifts to species traits that could explain the observed trends. More species shifted upwards than downwards, independently of whether we were investigating shifts in species' upper or lower distribution ranges or in species optima. However, shifts in species upper range margins changed independently of their lower range margins. Linking different species traits to the magnitude of shifts we found that species with a higher preference for prolonged snow cover shifted upwards more in their upper elevational limits and in their optima than species that prefer a shorter snow cover, whereas no species traits were correlated with the magnitude of changes in lower limits. The observed change in species ranges concord both with studies on other mountains in the region and with studies from other alpine areas. Furthermore, our study indicates that different factors are influencing species ranges at the upper and lower range limits. Increased precipitation rates and increased temperatures are considered the most important factors for the observed changes, probably mainly through altering the pattern in snow cover dynamics in the area.
Global vegetation over the past 18,000 years has been transformed first by the climate changes that accompanied the last deglaciation and again by increasing human pressures; however, the magnitude and patterns of rates of vegetation change are poorly understood globally. Using a compilation of 1181 fossil pollen sequences and newly developed statistical methods, we detect a worldwide acceleration in the rates of vegetation compositional change beginning between 4.6 and 2.9 thousand years ago that is globally unprecedented over the past 18,000 years in both magnitude and extent. Late Holocene rates of change equal or exceed the deglacial rates for all continents, which suggests that the scale of human effects on terrestrial ecosystems exceeds even the climate-driven transformations of the last deglaciation. The acceleration of biodiversity change demonstrated in ecological datasets from the past century began millennia ago.
Islands are among the last regions on Earth settled and transformed by human activities, and they provide replicated model systems for analysis of how people affect ecological functions. By analyzing 27 representative fossil pollen sequences encompassing the past 5000 years from islands globally, we quantified the rates of vegetation compositional change before and after human arrival. After human arrival, rates of turnover accelerate by a median factor of 11, with faster rates on islands colonized in the past 1500 years than for those colonized earlier. This global anthropogenic acceleration in turnover suggests that islands are on trajectories of continuing change. Strategies for biodiversity conservation and ecosystem restoration must acknowledge the long duration of human impacts and the degree to which ecological changes today differ from prehuman dynamics.
There is a rapidly emerging interest in detecting and understanding biodiversity trends during the ‘Anthropocene’ in response to human stressors and climate change. Surprisingly few studies have, however, considered trends in biodiversity during the preceding Holocene. Here, we present general trends in terrestrial alpha- and beta-diversity and biomass for the four main ecological phases (protocratic, mesocratic, Homo sapiens, oligocratic) of the Holocene in north-west Europe based on palynological data at the meta-community scale. Alpha- and beta-diversity decreased in the protocratic, showed little change in the mesocratic, decreased in the oligocratic, and increased markedly in the Homo sapiens phase. Biomass was maximal in the mesocratic. Biodiversity changes in the last 200 years (‘Anthropocene’), as detected from palynological data, are small compared with the changes over the Holocene. There are minor decreases in α-diversity, spatial β-diversity and biomass and a slight increase in temporal β-diversity at sites on fertile soils. This analysis is designed to encourage ecologists and biogeographers interested in the ‘Anthropocene’ to extend the time-scale of their analyses and to consider whether ‘Anthropocene’ biodiversity trends are a simple continuation of trends in the late Holocene or whether recent ‘Anthropocene’ trends deviate from the long-term Holocene trends. Hopefully, it will also stimulate palaeoecologists to consider Holocene biodiversity trends in different geographical areas and different organism groups and ecological systems.
Reconstructing and interpreting past vegetation composition can be enhanced by studying modern pollen samples and contemporary vegetation. Here, we compare pollen in surface sediments from 52 medium-sized lakes with the surrounding vegetation along an elevational gradient covering six major vegetation zones in south-central Norway. The aims are to detect how well the vegetational composition and terrestrial pollen assemblages distinguish the major vegetation zones, whether the pollen composition in surface-sediment samples reflects the composition of the surrounding vegetation and whether aquatic pollen and spores reflect the major vegetation zones. We use multivariate classification trees, ordination and co-correspondence analysis to address these questions. We show that it is possible to separate the major zones using terrestrial pollen assemblages and using plant species in the vegetation reasonably well, whereas aquatic pollen and spores poorly reflect the zones. Surprisingly, the terrestrial pollen assemblages separate the zones better than vegetational composition does. The compositional match between the pollen assemblages and surrounding vegetation is consistent for sites along the elevational gradient within the forested zones, but deteriorates in increasingly open vegetation zones. Our results are consistent with other investigations of modern pollen–vegetation relationships. Careful interpretation of past vegetation from pollen assemblages is needed when the vegetation is treeless because of a larger potential pollen-source area and hence a higher proportion of long-distance dispersed pollen in open areas.
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