Background The clinical significance of circulating tumour cells (CTCs) in limited-stage small-cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC) is not well defined. We report a planned exploratory analysis of the prevalence and prognostic value of CTCs in LS-SCLC patients enrolled within the phase III randomised CONVERT (concurrent once-daily versus twice-daily chemoradiotherapy) trial. Patients and methods Baseline blood samples were enumerated for CTCs using CellSearch in 75 patients with LS-SCLC who were enrolled in the CONVERT trial and randomised between twice- and once-daily concurrent chemoradiation. Standard statistical methods were used for correlations of CTCs with clinical factors. Log-rank test and Cox regression analyses were applied to establish the associations of 2, 15 and 50 CTC thresholds with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). An optimal CTC count threshold for LS-SCLC was established. Results CTCs were detected in 60% (45/75) of patients (range 0–3750). CTC count thresholds of 2, 15 and 50 CTCs all significantly correlate with PFS and OS. An optimal CTC count threshold in LS-SCLC was established at 15 CTCs, defining ‘favourable’ and ‘unfavourable’ prognostic risk groups. The median OS in <15 versus ≥15 CTCs was 26.7 versus 5.9 m ( P = 0.001). The presence of ≥15 CTCs at baseline independently predicted ≤1 year survival in 70% and ≤2 years survival in 100% of patients. Conclusion We report the prognostic value of baseline CTC count in an exclusive LS-SCLC population at thresholds of 2, 15 and 50 CTCs. Specific to LS-SCLC, ≥15 CTCs was associated with worse PFS and OS independent of all other factors and predicted ≤2 years survival. These results may improve disease stratification in future clinical trial designs and aid clinical decision making. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00433563.

Introduction: SCLC accounts for approximately 250,000 deaths worldwide each year. Acquisition of adequate tumor biopsy samples is challenging, and liquid biopsies present an alternative option for patient stratification and response monitoring. Methods: We applied whole genome next-generation sequencing to circulating free DNA (cfDNA) from 39 patients with limited-stage (LS) SCLC and 30 patients with extensive-stage SCLC to establish genome-wide copy number aberrations and also performed targeted mutation analysis of 110 SCLC associated genes. Quantitative metrics were calculated for copy number aberrations, including percent genome amplified (PGA [the percentage of genomic regions amplified]), Z-score (a measure of standard deviation), and Moran's I (a measure of spatial autocorrelation). In addition CellSearch, an epitopedependent enrichment platform, was used to enumerate circulating tumor cells (CTCs) from a parallel blood sample. Results: Genome-wide and targeted cfDNA sequencing data identified tumor-related changes in 94% of patients with LS SCLC and 100% of patients with extensive-stage SCLC. Parallel analysis of CTCs based on at least 1 CTC/7.5 mL of blood increased tumor detection frequencies to 95% for LS SCLC. Both CTC counts and cfDNA readouts correlated with disease stage and overall survival. Conclusions: We demonstrate that a simple cfDNA genomewide copy number approach provides an effective means of monitoring patients through treatment and show that targeted cfDNA sequencing identifies potential therapeutic targets in more than 50% of patients. We are now incorporating this approach into additional studies and trials of targeted therapies.

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is characterized by morphologic, epigenetic and transcriptomic heterogeneity. Subtypes based upon predominant transcription factor expression have been defined that, in mouse models and cell lines, exhibit potential differential therapeutic vulnerabilities, with epigenetically distinct SCLC subtypes also described. The clinical relevance of these subtypes is unclear, due in part to challenges in obtaining tumor biopsies for reliable profiling. Here we describe a robust workflow for genome-wide DNA methylation profiling applied to both patient-derived models and to patients’ circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA). Tumor-specific methylation patterns were readily detected in cfDNA samples from patients with SCLC and were correlated with survival outcomes. cfDNA methylation also discriminated between the transcription factor SCLC subtypes, a precedent for a liquid biopsy cfDNA-methylation approach to molecularly subtype SCLC. Our data reveal the potential clinical utility of cfDNA methylation profiling as a universally applicable liquid biopsy approach for the sensitive detection, monitoring and molecular subtyping of patients with SCLC.