The scientific article explores the issues of managing the risks of emergencies in order to improve the readiness and efficiency of the functioning of a single state civil protection system.When calculating the risks, the basic quantitative criteria take into account the probability of emergencies and the magnitude of the damage from these situations.The article presents a method for calculating the joint probability of the action of several emergency factors, taking into account the effect of accumulation of damage.
The research article examines the issues of increasing the readiness and efficiency of the functioning of a single state civil protection system (SSСPS). Ensuring implementation of state policy in the field of civil protection is carried out by the SSСPS. The main objective of the SSСPS is to ensure the readiness of the central and local executive authorities, the forces and means subordinated to them for actions aimed at preventing and responding to man-made, natural, social and military emergencies. The most difficult regime of the functioning of the SSСPS - the regime of martial law (special period) is established in the event of armed aggression or the threat of an attack on the state. A feature of this mode is in a volume that sharply grows amount of emergencies, human and material losses. The article defines the quantitative criterion (indicator) of the level of functioning of the SSСPS, which enables to evaluate the functioning of the SSСPS with the given forces, means and time of the assessment of functioning. Mathematical model allows you to calculate how much and who should formations and units in order to provide a level of performance sufficient SSСPS (adopted) level for a given time and that should be performance units to ensure recovery operation SSСPS to a specified level.
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