The study analyses the energy development of Ukraine in terms of energy integration into the EU single energy market within the framework of the concept of sustainable development. For the Ukrainian energy industry, problems have been identified that prevent it from reaching the modern level of requirements for sustainable energy development. The dynamics of changes in indicators that characterize the level of development of modern energy in the EU-Ukraine relationship to ensure the guarantee of the level of energy security are analysed. The key factors in the development of the integration processes between Ukraine and the EU are noted, which relate to the political aspect, technical norms and requirements, as well as international economic activity. A mathematical calculation of the level of risks of energy integration processes between the EU and Ukraine during the period of military operations on the territory of Ukraine was carried out. It was noted that there is a high probability of the threat of termination of the existing integration processes due to the stochasticity of events of a military and political nature.
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