Purpose Cytokines are major mediators of COVID-19 pathogenesis and several of them are already being regarded as predictive markers for the clinical course and outcome of COVID-19 cases. A major pitfall of many COVID-19 cytokine studies is the lack of a benchmark sampling timing. Since cytokines and their relative change during an infectious disease course is quite dynamic, we evaluated the predictive value of serially measured cytokines for COVID-19 cases. Methods In this single-center, prospective study, a broad spectrum of cytokines were determined by multiplex ELISA assay in samples collected at admission and at the third day of hospitalization. Appropriateness of cytokine levels in predicting mortality were assessed by receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analyses for both sampling times in paralel to conventional biomarkers. Results At both sampling points, higher levels of IL-6, IL-7, IL-10, IL-15, IL-27 IP-10, MCP-1, and GCSF were found to be more predictive for mortality (p<0.05). Some of these cytokines, such as IL-6, IL-10, IL-7 and GCSF, had higher sensitivity and specificity in predicting mortality. AUC values of IL-6, IL-10, IL-7 and GCSF were 0.85 (0.65 to 0.92), 0.88 (0.73 to 0.96), 0.80 (0.63 to 0.91) and 0.86 (0.70 to 0.95), respectively at hospital admission. Compared to hospital admission, on the 3rd day of hospitalization serum levels of IL-6 and, IL-10 decreased significantly in the survivor group, unlike the non-survivor group (IL-6, p = 0.015, and IL-10, p = 0.016). Conclusion Our study results suggest that single-sample-based cytokine analyzes can be misleading and that cytokine levels measured serially at different sampling times provide a more precise and accurate estimate for the outcome of COVID-19 patients.

Angiogenesis is important for the proliferation and metastasis of most malignant neoplasms including multiple myeloma (MM). The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of bone marrow angiogenesis and angiogenic cytokines in patients with MM prior to and after autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT). Twenty-nine patients with MM who underwent ASCT had serial samples of serum and bone marrow biopsies at diagnosis, prior to ASCT, and at the 3rd and 6th months post-transplant. Besides bone marrow microvessel density (MVD), serum angiogenic cytokines including vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and fibroblast growth factor (FGF) and markers of disease activity such as interleukin-6 (IL-6), IL-1β, C-reactive protein (CRP), β(2)-microglobulin, and bone marrow plasma cells (BMPCs) were also determined. Bone marrow MVD, serum levels of IL-6, CRP, and β(2)-microglobulin, and BMPCs decreased significantly from diagnosis to the 6th month post-transplant (p < 0.05). Serum FGF and IL-1β levels decreased significantly until 3 months post-transplant, however lost this significance at the 6th month. Serum VEGF levels did not vary significantly during follow-up. MVD, serum angiogenic cytokine levels, and parameters reflecting disease activity were similar in responders and non-responders to induction chemotherapy. Cytokines and MVD both at diagnosis and prior to transplant did not show any correlation with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) after a median follow-up of 55 months after transplant (p > 0.05). Our findings suggest that bone marrow MVD decreases significantly with ASCT in MM, however without an impact on OS and PFS.

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