Personalized predictive medicine necessitates the modeling of patient illness and care processes, which inherently have long-term temporal dependencies. Healthcare observations, stored in electronic medical records are episodic and irregular in time. We introduce DeepCare, an end-to-end deep dynamic neural network that reads medical records, stores previous illness history, infers current illness states and predicts future medical outcomes. At the data level, DeepCare represents care episodes as vectors and models patient health state trajectories by the memory of historical records. Built on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), DeepCare introduces methods to handle irregularly timed events by moderating the forgetting and consolidation of memory. DeepCare also explicitly models medical interventions that change the course of illness and shape future medical risk. Moving up to the health state level, historical and present health states are then aggregated through multiscale temporal pooling, before passing through a neural network that estimates future outcomes. We demonstrate the efficacy of DeepCare for disease progression modeling, intervention recommendation, and future risk prediction. On two important cohorts with heavy social and economic burden - diabetes and mental health - the results show improved prediction accuracy.

Personalized predictive medicine necessitates the modeling of patient illness and care processes, which inherently have long-term temporal dependencies. Healthcare observations, recorded in electronic medical records, are episodic and irregular in time. We introduce DeepCare, an end-toend deep dynamic neural network that reads medical records, stores previous illness history, infers current illness states and predicts future medical outcomes. At the data level, DeepCare represents care episodes as vectors in space, models patient health state trajectories through explicit memory of historical records. Built on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), DeepCare introduces time parameterizations to handle irregular timed events by moderating the forgetting and consolidation of memory cells. DeepCare also incorporates medical interventions that change the course of illness and shape future medical risk. Moving up to the health state level, historical and present health states are then aggregated through multiscale temporal pooling, before passing through a neural network that estimates future outcomes. We demonstrate the efficacy of DeepCare for disease progression modeling, intervention recommendation, and future risk prediction. On two important cohorts with heavy social and economic burden -diabetes and mental health -the results show improved modeling and risk prediction accuracy.

Although there has been substantial research in software analytics for effort estimation in traditional software projects, little work has been done for estimation in agile projects, especially estimating user stories or issues. Story points are the most common unit of measure used for estimating the effort involved in implementing a user story or resolving an issue. In this paper, we offer for the first time a comprehensive dataset for story points-based estimation that contains 23,313 issues from 16 open source projects. We also propose a prediction model for estimating story points based on a novel combination of two powerful deep learning architectures: long short-term memory and recurrent highway network. Our prediction system is endto-end trainable from raw input data to prediction outcomes without any manual feature engineering. An empirical evaluation demonstrates that our approach consistently outperforms three common effort estimation baselines and two alternatives in both Mean Absolute Error and the Standardized Accuracy.

Defects are common in software systems and can potentially cause various problems to software users. Different methods have been developed to quickly predict the most likely locations of defects in large code bases. Most of them focus on designing features (e.g. complexity metrics) that correlate with potentially defective code. Those approaches however do not sufficiently capture the syntax and different levels of semantics of source code, an important capability for building accurate prediction models. In this paper, we develop a novel prediction model which is capable of automatically learning features for representing source code and using them for defect prediction. Our prediction system is built upon the powerful deep learning, tree-structured Long Short Term Memory network which directly matches with the Abstract Syntax Tree representation of source code. An evaluation on two datasets, one from open source projects contributed by Samsung and the other from the public PROMISE repository, demonstrates the effectiveness of our approach for both within-project and cross-project predictions. CCS CONCEPTS• Software and its engineering → Software creation and management; KEYWORDSSoftware engineering, software analytics, defect prediction ACM Reference Format:

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To achieve sustainability, the circular economy (CE) concept is challenging traditional linear enterprise models due to the need to manage geographically distributed product life cycle and value chains. Concurrently, Industry 4.0 is being used to bring productivity to higher levels by reducing waste and improving the efficiency of production processes via more precise real-time planning. There is significant potential to combine these two frameworks to enhance the sustainability of manufacturing sectors. This paper discusses the fundamental concepts of Industry 4.0 and explores the influential factors of Industry 4.0 that accelerate the sharing economy in the CE context via a case of electric scooters in Taiwan. The result shows Industry 4.0 can provide an enabling framework for the sharing economy in CE implementation.

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Molecular activity prediction is critical in drug design. Machine learning techniques such as kernel methods and random forests have been successful for this task. These models require fixed-size feature vectors as input while the molecules are variable in size and structure. As a result, fixed-size fingerprint representation is poor in handling substructures for large molecules. Here we approach the problem through deep neural networks as they are flexible in modeling structured data such as grids, sequences and graphs. We train multiple BioAssays using a multi-task learning framework, which combines information from multiple sources to improve the performance of prediction, especially on small datasets. We propose Graph Memory Network (GraphMem), a memory-augmented neural network to model the graph structure in molecules. GraphMem consists of a recurrent controller coupled with an external memory whose cells dynamically interact and change through a multi-hop reasoning process. Applied to the molecules, the dynamic interactions enable an iterative refinement of the representation of molecular graphs with multiple bond types. GraphMem is capable of jointly training on multiple datasets by using a specific-task query fed to the controller as an input. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model for separately and jointly training on more than 100K measurements, spanning across 9 BioAssay activity tests.