Although there has been substantial research in software analytics for effort estimation in traditional software projects, little work has been done for estimation in agile projects, especially estimating user stories or issues. Story points are the most common unit of measure used for estimating the effort involved in implementing a user story or resolving an issue. In this paper, we offer for the first time a comprehensive dataset for story points-based estimation that contains 23,313 issues from 16 open source projects. We also propose a prediction model for estimating story points based on a novel combination of two powerful deep learning architectures: long short-term memory and recurrent highway network. Our prediction system is endto-end trainable from raw input data to prediction outcomes without any manual feature engineering. An empirical evaluation demonstrates that our approach consistently outperforms three common effort estimation baselines and two alternatives in both Mean Absolute Error and the Standardized Accuracy.

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Defects are common in software systems and can potentially cause various problems to software users. Different methods have been developed to quickly predict the most likely locations of defects in large code bases. Most of them focus on designing features (e.g. complexity metrics) that correlate with potentially defective code. Those approaches however do not sufficiently capture the syntax and different levels of semantics of source code, an important capability for building accurate prediction models. In this paper, we develop a novel prediction model which is capable of automatically learning features for representing source code and using them for defect prediction. Our prediction system is built upon the powerful deep learning, tree-structured Long Short Term Memory network which directly matches with the Abstract Syntax Tree representation of source code. An evaluation on two datasets, one from open source projects contributed by Samsung and the other from the public PROMISE repository, demonstrates the effectiveness of our approach for both within-project and cross-project predictions. CCS CONCEPTS• Software and its engineering → Software creation and management; KEYWORDSSoftware engineering, software analytics, defect prediction ACM Reference Format:

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Software analytics has been the subject of considerable recent attention but is yet to receive significant industry traction. One of the key reasons is that software practitioners are reluctant to trust predictions produced by the analytics machinery without understanding the rationale for those predictions. While complex models such as deep learning and ensemble methods improve predictive performance, they have limited explainability. In this paper, we argue that making software analytics models explainable to software practitioners is as important as achieving accurate predictions. Explainability should therefore be a key measure for evaluating software analytics models. We envision that explainability will be a key driver for developing software analytics models that are useful in practice. We outline a research roadmap for this space, building on social science, explainable artificial intelligence and software engineering.