Engineered (structural) debris-flow mitigation for all creeks with elements at risk and subject to debris flows is often outside of the financial capability of the regulating government, and heavy task-specific taxation may be politically undesirable. Structural debris-flow mitigation may only be achieved over long (decadal scale) time periods. Where immediate structural mitigation is cost-prohibitive, an interim solution can be identified to manage residual risk. This can be achieved by implementing a debris-flow warning system that enables residents to reduce their personal risk for loss of life through timely evacuation. This paper describes Canada's first real-time debris-flow warning system which has been operated for 2 years for the District of North Vancouver. The system was developed based on discriminant function analyses of 20 hydrometric input variables consisting of antecedent rainfall and storm rainfall intensities for a total of 63 storms. Of these 27 resulted in shallow landslides and subsequent debris flows, while 36 storms were sampled that did not reportedly result in debris flows. The discriminant function analysis identified as the three most significant variables: the 4-week antecedent rainfall, the 2-day antecedent rainfall, and the 48-h rainfall intensity during the landslide-triggering storm. Discriminant functions were developed and tested for robustness against a nearby rain gauge dataset. The resulting classification functions provide a measure for the likelihood of debris-flow initiation. Several system complexities were added to render the classification functions into a usable and defensible warning system. This involved the addition of various functionality criteria such as not skipping warning levels, providing sufficient warning time before debris flows would occur, and hourly adjustment of actual rainfall vs. predicted rainfall since predicted rainfall is not error-free. After numerous iterations that involved warning threshold and cancelation refinements and further model calibrations, an optimal solution was found that best matches the actual debris-flow data record. Back-calculation of the model's 21-year record confirmed that 76% of all debris flows would have occurred during warning or severe warning levels. Adding the past 2 years of system operation, this percentage increases marginally to 77%. With respect to the District of North Vancouver boundaries, all debris flows occur during Warning and Severe Warnings emphasizing the validity of the system to the area for which it was intended. To operate the system, real-time rainfall data are obtained from a rain gauge in the District of North Vancouver. Antecedent rainfall is automatically calculated as a sliding time window for the 4-week and 2-day periods every hour. The predicted 48-h storm rainfall data are provided by the Geophysical Disaster Computational Fluid Dynamics Centre at the Earth and Ocean Science Department at the University of British Columbia and is updated every hour as rainfall is recorded during a given st...

SUMMARYTwo test methods for measuring the heat release rate, HRR have been compared on fabric composites used for aircraft interior materials as side-wall panels. These methods are based on the principles of direct measurement of the convective and radiant heat by thermopiles using an Ohio State University (OSU) calorimeter, and oxygen consumption using a cone calorimeter. It has been observed when tested by standard procedures, cone results at 35 kW/m 2 incident heat flux do not correlate with OSU results at the same heat flux. This is because in the cone calorimeter, the sample is mounted horizontally whereas the OSU calorimetric method requires vertical sampling with exposure to a vertical radiant panel. A further difference between the two techniques is the ignition source}in the cone it is spark ignition, whereas in the OSU it is flame ignition; hence, samples in the OSU calorimeter ignite more easily compared to those in the cone under the same incident heat fluxes. However, in this paper we demonstrate that cone calorimetric exposure at 50 kW/m 2 heat flux gives similar peak heat release results as the 35 kW/m 2 heat flux of OSU calorimeter, but significantly different average and total heat release values over a 2 min period. The performance differences associated with these two techniques are also discussed. Moreover, the effects of structure, i.e. type of fibres used in warp/weft direction and design of fabric are also analysed with respect to heat release behaviour and their correlation discussed.

Enhanced surveillance of adverse events following illicit drug use, possibly targeting known 'hot-spots', should be considered for future mass events. Advance preparation of preventive strategies, such as 'party-safe' messages, will enable rapid response to unusual patterns of illicit drug-related harm during future mass events.

In tro duc tionAnti-reductionist so cial the ory is a rel a tively 'new' but me thod i cally eclec tic body of the ory which anal y ses the com plex ity of the tri par tite the ory, pol icy and prac tice. The work of Roger Sibeon (1996, 1999 and 2004) has con trib uted to a sensi tis ing frame work in re gard to a so ci ol ogy of knowl edge: gen er at ing epistemic nar ra tives for the o ret i cal con struc tion and re-con struc tion, con trast ing to a sub stan tive so ci ology for knowl edge based upon meth od olog i cal gen er ali sa tions for em pir i cal or prac ti cal use: al though the of/for dis tinc tion is not in flex i ble as there are cir cumstances when they form a pro cess of what Powell and Longino (2001) call 'ar tic u lation': a united or con nected anal y sis of/for theo ris ing and prac tice.

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