Many modern applications collect data that comes in federated spirit, with data kept locally and undisclosed. Till date, most insight into the causal inference requires data to be stored in a central repository. We present a novel framework for causal inference with federated data sources. We assess and integrate local causal effects from different private data sources without centralizing them. Then, the treatment effects on subjects from observational data using a non-parametric reformulation of the classical potential outcomes framework is estimated. We model the potential outcomes as a random function distributed by Gaussian processes, whose defining parameters can be efficiently learned from multiple data sources, respecting privacy constraints. We demonstrate the promise and efficiency of the proposed approach through a set of simulated and real-world benchmark examples. * This work has been done when Nghia Hoang was with the MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab.
This paper proposes an inference framework based on the Z-transform for a specific class of non-homogeneous point processes. This framework gives an alternative method to maximum likelihood estimation which is omnipresent in the field of point processes. The inference strategy is to couple or match the theoretical Z-transform with its empirical counterpart from the observed samples. This procedure fully characterizes the distribution of the point process since there exists a one-to-one mapping with the Z-transform. We illustrate how to use the methodology to estimate a point process whose intensity is driven by a general neural network.
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