This study examines the relationship between Laos's GDP, Thailand's direct investment to Laos and Laos's export to Thailand by using 44 quarters of data from 2005 Q1 to 2015 Q4. All relationships were studied using the vector error correction model (VECM). The results presented long run relationship from Laos' GDP and Laos' export to Thailand as well as from Thailand's direct investment to Laos's GDP and Laos's export to Thailand. In the short run, there was only unidirectional relationship from Laos's GDP to Laos's exports to Thailand. This study indicates that Laos's exporters receive benefits from Thailand's direct investment contribution to accelerate economic growth in the short term. Therefore, Laos's government should distribute income from the exporters to other economy sectors or spread the types of export goods into a larger range. AbstractThis study examines the relationship between Laos's GDP, Thailand's direct investment to Laos and Laos's export to Thailand by using 44 quarters of data from 2005 Q1 to 2015 Q4. All relationships were studied using the vector error correction model (VECM). The results presented long run relationship from Laos' GDP and Laos' export to Thailand as well as from Thailand's direct investment to Laos's GDP and Laos's export to Thailand. In the short run, there was only unidirectional relationship from Laos's GDP to Laos's exports to Thailand. This study indicates that Laos's exporters receive benefits from Thailand's direct investment contribution to accelerate economic growth in the short term. Therefore, Laos's government should distribute income from the exporters to other economy sectors or spread the types of export goods into a larger range.JEL Classification: F63, F40, O53
This study aims to explore the factors influence the competitiveness of Thailand’s processed pineapple exports as well as the impact size of these factors by focusing on canned pineapple (HS 200820) and pineapple juice (HS 200949). This study also determine the competitiveness and market share effects for both products in each market in each Thailand major partner countries. The average price of processed pineapple, GDP per capita and exchange rate were the explanatory variables. The panel data from 2013 to 2017 of 10 partners were used in a panel regression model with pooled OLS, fixed effect and random effect models. The empirical results show that the fixed effect model is the most suitable and that price significantly negatively affected the market share of both products. Moreover, there is a positive effect from GDP per capita on market share for pineapple and the exchange rate positively affected market share for canned pineapple. In addition, Thailand’s pineapple juice market share is less price sensitive than the canned pineapple market. The stable and competitive price are necessary conditions to enhance sustainable export competitiveness under current intense competition. The implementation of effective exchange rate management to prevent massive fluctuation is a crucial supporting mechanism to achieve this target. Moreover, the appropriate devaluation is other essential policy to enhance sustainable price competition under the tension competitive environment leads to accelerate the continue market shares in important markets.
Contribution/Originality: This study is one of very few studies which have investigated the tobacco demand in nine markets, which classified by type of product and age of customer among each age range based on a simultaneous equation analysis. BACKGROUND AND SIGNIFICANCETobacco products are harmful to the health of consumers and people who are in contact with second-hand smoke. Moreover, smoking affects society because it is one of the main causes that degrades people's quality of life, which might indirectly lead to an economic impact (Nonthapot & Watchalaanun, 2018).For this reason, tobacco products are controlled by the government. In Thailand, they are indirectly controlled under tax and non-tax measures, such as the labeling of tobacco packaging with shocking images, restricted smoking areas, and age restrictions for cigarette buyers. In addition, setting the tax rate and structure for each type of tobacco product by raising the price is one of the tax measures that can indirectly control tobacco consumption.
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected economic sectors and investment and has particularly affected the stock pricing factors for the transport sector (TRANS). This study compares the relationship of the different factors, i.e., the volume, exchange rate (EXR), consumer price index (CPI), and the oil price on the stock prices of the TRANS on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) between the pre-COVID-19 and during COVID-19 periods. Time series data between January 2017 and December 2019 were used for the pre-COVID-19 period, and data between January 2020 and September 2022 were used for the during COVID-19 period. The effects of the independent variables were considered by estimating the long-run relationship using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and Granger causality from those variables to each stock price. The results found that the COVID-19 pandemic caused different effects on the volume, EX, CPI, and the oil price on the stock prices of the transport sector in the SET. Thus, investors should closely monitor the situations caused by natural disasters and the change of the EXR and oil price to reduce any problems that may arise.
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