Differing views on the north‐eastern Indian plate subduction and its seismic potential place the subduction process as relict, ceased, creeping, or fully locked, challenging the seismic hazard uncertainty estimates of Indo‐Burmese Arc (IBA) at either extreme. To clear some of these contentions, we re‐examine the state of the IBA stress field using available earthquake faulting mechanism solutions. Our stress inversion results underline the tectonic complexity and emphasize that the stress of this subduction is primarily driven by the northward oblique motion of the Indian Plate. Models highlight the presence of the least compressive stresses as the margin‐normal component, all along the shallow sinking slab. Furthermore, solutions link the shallow strike‐slip earthquakes with the lateral slab shear due to oblique slip‐partitioning. Spatial variations in the Indian slab stress field indicate higher margin parallel compression at the Naga versus the Chin and Rakhine‐Arakan segments, implying resistance to the northward motion of India, illuminating the buttressing effects on the IBA. Models also depict active ∼E‐W shortening across the Kabaw Fault. Inversion solutions bring out a higher compressional environment toward the south, along the Sagaing Fault. Finally, based on the overall stress field variations, we speculate that the Rakhine‐Bangladesh Megathrust could be a low‐stress forearc, as across the arc interacting stress fields are weak, capable of generating megathrust ruptures. Being weak, the stress replenishment times could be longer than the mechanically strong subduction zones. Due to the spatial stress field variations and buttressing effects, the interface may exhibit a variable rupture mode.
Unlike the other Himalayan plate boundary segments, the eastern Nepal to Bhutan Himalayan region is not known to have generated prominent shallow thrust faulting earthquakes, typical of the ongoing convergence. This region features strike‐slip earthquakes over the depth ranges of 40–120 km, indicating intraslab deformation. Here we present for the first time a slip distribution model for the largest recorded intraslab strike‐slip earthquake in this region, the Mw 6.9 Sikkim event that occurred on 18 September 2011. Relying on kinematic source process modeling, our results indicate a NE‐SW trending, steeply dipping sinistral source zone within the underthrusting Indian slab. The rupture propagated radially, with a low rupture velocity of 1.7 km/s, breaking a large asperity of 20 × 20 km2 with a maximum slip of 1.6 m. The rupture nucleated at a depth of 45 km and reached upper mantle depths. The computed coseismic stress drop value is 13.6 MPa. We suggest that most of the aftershocks occurred on the conjugate plane, possibly due to stress triggering. Stress inversion of focal mechanisms indicates a transpressive stress regime throughout the crust and pure strike‐slip regime in the upper mantle. We observed a unimodal distribution of earthquakes beneath the Higher Himalaya. This indicates a strong, brittle Indian slab and unravels a scenario of an eventual breakup of the lithosphere; the key trigger might be variation in the convergence rates along the Himalayan arc.
High-quality data recorded by a dense network of 53 seismic stations in the Garhwal–Kumaun Himalaya between February 2017 and December 2021 is analyzed. A total of 813 local earthquakes are relocated using a newly developed regional 1D velocity model incorporating station corrections. In addition, focal mechanism solutions of M ≥ 3.8 events are estimated using waveform inversion. The relocated seismicity patterns along with the focal mechanism solutions are utilized to present a seismotectonic scenario of the region. Almost 95% of the relocated seismicity is found to be clustered along the Himalayan seismic belt (HSB), down to ∼24 km depth. Seismicity in this belt is interpreted to be caused due to interseismic stress loading associated with the ongoing India–Eurasia collision tectonics. A few scattered hypocenters in the deeper crust between 30 and 50 km depth attest the strength of the downgoing Indian plate. Focal mechanisms in the seismogenic upper crust reveal thrusting of the Indian plate beneath the Lesser Himalaya, with compression normal to the strike of the Main Central Thrust (MCT). The north-dipping thrust mechanisms can be associated with a near-horizontal Main Himalayan Thrust (MHT). In addition, more steeply dipping faults above it define the Lesser Himalayan duplex systems, similar to those in western and Nepal Himalaya. A prominent ∼50 km wide seismicity gap region observed within the HSB is probably due to (1) a locally varying locking width of the MHT; (2) an unruptured, ductile segment at the eastern end of the rupture zone of the great 1803 earthquake (Mw 7.8 ± 0.2); and (3) a slab tear in the MHT, similar to those in subduction zones.
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