Liquidity risk management is today a major focus for regulators, due to increasing complexity of financial markets and concerns related to inadequate identification and managing liquidity risk, exacerbated by the financial crisis. Because the financial market is increasingly interconnected, a liquidity shortfall at a single institution can have system-wide consequences.This paper aims to provide analytical explanations of how important decisions made by bank managers can influence the capability of an institution to finance increases in assets and meet their commitments without impairing cash flow. Banks are particularly susceptible to liquidity risk because the maturity transformation from short-term deposits into long-term loans is one of their key business activity. Further, there can be uncertainties in cash-flow in the external occurrences and agents' behavior. Skillful liquidity risk management is essential, and the present work analyses impact of some management strategies on Basel III liquidity ratios.
In 2008 the European Central Bank added a new quantitative policy strategy to its traditional control of the interest rates. This new policy, sometimes called “enhanced credit support”, consists of fully satisfying the demand for liquidity of banks, with the European Central Bank deciding only the timing and characteristics of its interventions. This study analyses the market conditions in which these measures have been taken and their consistency with the demand for liquidity by the banking system. Measures in favour of the sovereign debt of PIIGS countries are also considered.
We use a large sample of US banks to construct a new indicator of managerial beliefs based on bank provisioning. This indicator does not only anticipate a future charge-off but also explains future loan growth and other variables. In particular, the indicator shows that an increase in managerial optimism (pessimism) leads to expanded (tight) lending, leverage, and a riskier (less risky) portfolio. Our findings confirm that widespread managerial optimism (pessimism) prevailed before (during) the 2007-2008 financial crisis and that changes in managerial beliefs played an important role in the lending and leverage cycles.
This paper contributes to understanding liquidity risk and its role in systemic financial crises. It focuses on the new banking regulation Basel III, in particularly on the Liquidity risk ratio that measures long-term liquidity positions of European banks. It emphasizes the importance and the issues relating to the Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) which will become a minimum standard by 1 January 2018. Application at a level of 100% to credit institutions and systemic investment firms is not however expected before 2020, two years after the date of entry into force of the proposed Regulation. The paper aims to analyze the relationship between NSFR and banking stability, financial markets factors and central bank operations, in order to understand the potential impact of the key components of the new Basel global regulatory framework.
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