International audienceIn recent times it has become increasingly clear thatreleases of trace gases from human activity have a potentialfor causing change in the upper atmosphere. However,our knowledge of systematic changes and trends inthe temperature of the mesosphere and lower thermosphereis relatively limited compared to the Earths loweratmosphere, and not much effort has been made to synthesizethese results so far. In this article, a comprehensivereview of long-term trends in the temperature of the regionfrom 50 to 100 km is made on the basis of the availableup-to-date understanding of measurements and model calculations.An objective evaluation of the available datasets is attempted, and important uncertainly factors arediscussed. Some natural variability factors, which arelikely to play a role in modulating temperature trends,are also briefly touched upon. There are a growing numberof experimental results centered on, or consistent with,zero temperature trend in the mesopause region (80–100km). The most reliable data sets show no significant trendbut an uncertainty of at least 2 K/decade. On the otherhand, a majority of studies indicate negative trends inthe lower and middle mesosphere with an amplitude ofa few degrees (2–3 K) per decade. In tropical latitudesthe cooling trend increases in the upper mesosphere.The most recent general circulation models indicateincreased cooling closer to both poles in the middlemesosphere and a decrease in cooling toward the summerpole in the upper mesosphere. Quantitatively, thesimulated cooling trend in the middle mesosphere producedonly by CO2 increase is usually below the observedlevel. However, including other greenhouse gasesand taking into account a “thermal shrinking” of theupper atmosphere result in a cooling of a few degreesper decade. This is close to the lower limit of the observednonzero trends. In the mesopause region, recentmodel simulations produce trends, usually below 1 K/decade,that appear to be consistent with most observationsin this regio
An eight-member ensemble of ECHAM5-HAMMOZ simulations for a boreal summer season is analysed to study the transport of aerosols in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) during the Asian summer monsoon (ASM). The simulations show persistent maxima in black carbon, organic carbon, sulfate, and mineral dust aerosols within the anticyclone in the UTLS throughout the ASM (period from July to September), when convective activity over the Indian subcontinent is highest, indicating that boundary layer aerosol pollution is the source of this UTLS aerosol layer. The simulations identify deep convection and the associated heat-driven circulation over the southern flanks of the Himalayas as the dominant transport pathway of aerosols and water vapour into the tropical tropopause layer (TTL). Comparison of model simulations with and without aerosols indicates that anthropogenic aerosols are central to the formation of this transport pathway. Aerosols act to increase cloud ice, water vapour, and temperature in the model UTLS. Evidence of ASM transport of aerosols into the stratosphere is also found, in agreement with aerosol extinction measurements from the Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE) and Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) II. As suggested by the observations, aerosols are transported into the Southern Hemisphere around the tropical tropopause by large-scale mixing processes. Aerosol-induced circulation changes also include a weakening of the main branch of the Hadley circulation and a reduction of monsoon precipitation over India
This bottom‐up modeling study, supported by new population census 2011 data, simulates ozone (O3) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure on local to regional scales. It quantifies, present‐day premature mortalities associated with the exposure to near‐surface PM2.5 and O3 concentrations in India using a regional chemistry model. We estimate that PM2.5 exposure leads to about 570,000 (CI95: 320,000–730,000) premature mortalities in 2011. On a national scale, our estimate of mortality by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) due to O3 exposure is about 12,000 people. The Indo‐Gangetic region accounts for a large part (~42%) of the estimated mortalities. The associated lost life expectancy is calculated as 3.4 ± 1.1 years for all of India with highest values found for Delhi (6.3 ± 2.2 years). The economic cost of estimated premature mortalities associated with PM2.5 and O3 exposure is about 640 (350–800) billion USD in 2011, which is a factor of 10 higher than total expenditure on health by public and private expenditure.
on board Envisat, respectively, for the time period of 1996-2006 have been used to identify major NO 2 emission hot spots, trends, and seasonal cycle over different regions of India. Emission hot spots are observed over the locations of thermal power plants and over major urban and industrial regions. A multifunctional regression model has been used to analyze the trends and seasonal cycle over these emission hot spots. Increasing trends of $1.65 ± 0.52% a À1 have been observed for NO 2 over India. The fast growing industrial regions of Mumbai and Delhi show increasing trends of $2.1 ± 1.1 and $2.4 ± 1.2% a À1 , respectively. Seasonal variations of tropospheric NO 2 concentrations show a maximum during winter-summer (December-May) and a minimum during the monsoon seasons (June-September). The observed seasonal cycle in satellite-derived NO 2 agrees well with the surface-level observations of NO X .Citation: Ghude, S. D., S. Fadnavis, G. Beig, S. D. Polade, and R. J. van der A (2008), Detection of surface emission hot spots, trends, and seasonal cycle from satellite-retrieved NO 2 over India,
Abstract. The Asian summer monsoon anticyclone (ASMA) is a major meteorological system of the upper troposphere–lower stratosphere (UTLS) during boreal summer. It is known to contain enhanced tropospheric trace gases and aerosols, due to rapid lifting from the boundary layer by deep convection and subsequent horizontal confinement. Given its dynamical structure, the ASMA represents an efficient pathway for the transport of pollutants to the global stratosphere. A detailed understanding of the thermal structure and processes in the ASMA requires accurate in situ measurements. Within the StratoClim project we performed state-of-the-art balloon-borne measurements of temperature, water vapor, ozone and aerosol backscatter from two stations on the southern slopes of the Himalayas. In total, 63 balloon soundings were conducted during two extensive monsoon-season campaigns, in August 2016 in Nainital, India (29.4∘ N, 79.5∘ E), and in July–August 2017 in Dhulikhel, Nepal (27.6∘ N, 85.5∘ E); one shorter post-monsoon campaign was also carried out in November 2016 in Nainital. These measurements provide unprecedented insights into the UTLS thermal structure, the vertical distributions of water vapor, ozone and aerosols, cirrus cloud properties and interannual variability in the ASMA. Here we provide an overview of all of the data collected during the three campaign periods, with focus on the UTLS region and the monsoon season. We analyze the vertical structure of the ASMA in terms of significant levels and layers, identified from the temperature and potential temperature lapse rates and Lagrangian backward trajectories, which provides a framework for relating the measurements to local thermodynamic properties and the large-scale anticyclonic flow. Both the monsoon-season campaigns show evidence of deep convection and confinement extending up to 1.5–2 km above the cold-point tropopause (CPT), yielding a body of air with high water vapor and low ozone which is prone to being lifted further and mixed into the free stratosphere. Enhanced aerosol backscatter also reveals the signature of the Asian tropopause aerosol layer (ATAL) over the same region of altitudes. The Dhulikhel 2017 campaign was characterized by a 5 K colder CPT on average than in Nainital 2016 and a local water vapor maximum in the confined lower stratosphere, about 1 km above the CPT. Data assessment and modeling studies are currently ongoing with the aim of fully exploring this dataset and its implications with respect to stratospheric moistening via the ASMA system and related processes.
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