We measured P300, an event-related potential, in subjects with at-risk mental states (ARMS) and aimed to determine whether P300 parameter can predict progression to overt schizophrenia. Thirty-three subjects with ARMS, 39 with schizophrenia, and 28 healthy controls participated in the study. All subjects were antipsychotic-free. Subjects with ARMS were followed-up for more than two years. Cognitive function was measured by the Brief assessment of Cognition in Schizophrenia (BACS) and Schizophrenia Cognition Rating Scale (SCoRS), while the modified Global Assessment of Functioning (mGAF) was used to assess global function. Patients with schizophrenia showed smaller P300 amplitudes and prolonged latency at Pz compared to those of healthy controls and subjects with ARMS. During the follow-up period, eight out of 33 subjects with ARMS developed overt psychosis (ARMS-P) while 25 did not (ARMS-NP). P300 latency of ARMS-P was significantly longer than that of ARMS-NP. At baseline, ARMS-P elicited worse cognitive functions, as measured by the BACS and SCoRS compared to ARMS-NP. We also detected a significant relationship between P300 amplitudes and mGAF scores in ARMS subjects. Our results suggest the usefulness of prolonged P300 latency and cognitive impairment as a predictive marker of later development of schizophrenia in vulnerable individuals.

Reduced amplitude of duration mismatch negativity (dMMN) has been reported in psychotic disorders and at-risk mental state (ARMS); however, few longitudinal MMN studies have examined the amplitude changes during the course of psychosis. We compared dMMN amplitude between ARMS individuals with later psychosis onset and those without, and we longitudinally examined potential dMMN changes around psychosis onset. Thirty-nine ARMS subjects and 22 healthy controls participated in this study. Of the 39 ARMS subjects, 11 transitioned to psychosis (at-risk mental state with later psychosis onset [ARMS-P]) during follow-up and 28 did not (at-risk mental state without later psychosis onset [ARMS-NP]). dMMN was measured twice using an auditory oddball paradigm with a mean interval of 2 years. Follow-up dMMN data were available for all but four ARMS-P subjects. dMMN amplitude at baseline was smaller in ARMS-P subjects compared with control and ARMS-NP subjects. Additionally, ARMS-P subjects displayed a longitudinal decline in dMMN amplitude, which was not present in control and ARMS-P subjects. We also observed a progressive decline in dMMN amplitude during the transition period, suggesting dynamic brain changes associated with the psychosis onset. Our findings implicate dMMN amplitude as a biological predictor of future psychosis onset in high-risk individuals, which may be used for early detection and intervention of psychosis.

Objective: Remission in schizophrenia patients is associated with neurocognitive, social, and role functioning during both the early and chronic stages of schizophrenia. It is well-established that the amplitudes of duration mismatch negativity (dMMN) and frequency MMN (fMMN) are reduced in schizophrenia patients. However, the potential link between MMN and remission has not been established. In this study, we investigated the relationship between MMNs and remission in first-episode schizophrenia (FES) and their association with neurocognitive and social functioning.Method: dMMN and fMMN were measured in 30 patients with FES and 22 healthy controls at baseline and after a mean of 3 years. Clinical symptoms and cognitive and social functioning in the patients were assessed at the time of MMN measurements by using the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS), modified Global Assessment of Functioning (mGAF), Schizophrenia Cognition Rating Scale (SCoRS), and the Brief Assessment of Cognition in Schizophrenia (BACS). Remission of the patients was defined using the criteria by the Remission in Schizophrenia Working Group; of the 30 patients with FES, 14 achieved remission and 16 did not.Results: Baseline dMMN amplitude was reduced in FES compared to healthy controls. Further, baseline dMMN in the non-remitters had decreased amplitude and prolonged latency compared to the remitters. MMN did not change during follow-up period regardless of parameters, diagnosis, or remission status. Baseline dMMN amplitude in FES was correlated with future SCoRS and PANSS total scores. Logistic regression analysis revealed that dMMN amplitude at baseline was a significant predictor of remission.Conclusions: Our findings suggest that dMMN amplitude may be a useful biomarker for predicting symptomatic remission and improvement of cognitive and social functions in FES.

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