The MW (moment magnitude) 7.9 Denali fault earthquake on 3 November 2002 was associated with 340 kilometers of surface rupture and was the largest strike-slip earthquake in North America in almost 150 years. It illuminates earthquake mechanics and hazards of large strike-slip faults. It began with thrusting on the previously unrecognized Susitna Glacier fault, continued with right-slip on the Denali fault, then took a right step and continued with right-slip on the Totschunda fault. There is good correlation between geologically observed and geophysically inferred moment release. The earthquake produced unusually strong distal effects in the rupture propagation direction, including triggered seismicity.
The question of whether structural segment boundaries along multisegment normal faults such as the Wasatch fault zone (WFZ) act as persistent barriers to rupture is critical to seismic hazard analyses. We synthesized late Holocene paleoseismic data from 20 trench sites along the central WFZ to evaluate earthquake rupture length and fault segmentation. For the youngest (<3 ka) and best‐constrained earthquakes, differences in earthquake timing across prominent primary segment boundaries, especially for the most recent earthquakes on the north‐central WFZ, are consistent with segment‐controlled ruptures. However, broadly constrained earthquake times, dissimilar event times along the segments, the presence of smaller‐scale (subsegment) boundaries, and areas of complex faulting permit partial‐segment and multisegment (e.g., spillover) ruptures that are shorter (~20–40 km) or longer (~60–100 km) than the primary segment lengths (35–59 km). We report a segmented WFZ model that includes 24 earthquakes since ~7 ka and yields mean estimates of recurrence (1.1–1.3 kyr) and vertical slip rate (1.3–2.0 mm/yr) for the segments. However, additional rupture scenarios that include segment boundary spatial uncertainties, floating earthquakes, and multisegment ruptures are necessary to fully address epistemic uncertainties in rupture length. We compare the central WFZ to paleoseismic and historical surface ruptures in the Basin and Range Province and central Italian Apennines and conclude that displacement profiles have limited value for assessing the persistence of segment boundaries but can aid in interpreting prehistoric spillover ruptures. Our comparison also suggests that the probabilities of shorter and longer ruptures on the WFZ need to be investigated.
Documentation of a latest Pleistocene/earliest Holocene episode of strath formation and fluvial aggradation in the Oregon Coast Range provides a datum from which long‐term bedrock stream incision rates are determined. Variations in long‐term incision rates probably reflect cumulative differential uplift in the forearc of the Cascadia subduction zone, although factors such as bedrock and climatic controls and isostatic adjustments to erosion obscure the precise relationship between surface uplift and stream incision. Patterns of differential incision are most striking near the latitude of Newport, where a steep gradient divides a region of higher rates (∼0.6–0.9 mm/yr) in the northern Coast Range from a region of lower rates (∼0.1–0.3 mm/yr) in the central Coast Range. The steep incision gradient is nearly coincident with abrupt changes in marine terrace (∼80–125 kyr) uplift rates, the locations of Quaternary faults, and the southern flank of a saddle of low historic (∼40–70 years) uplift. The exact causes of these variable patterns of incision/uplift are unknown. Analogies with uplift patterns in other subduction zones and comparisons with other neotectonic data in the region indicate that patterns of differential incision probably are caused by variations in permanent strain accumulation along the Cascadia subduction zone. Such variations may be related to differences in seismic moment release during individual earthquakes, to changes in plate geometry or rates of wedge accretion, to segmentation of earthquake ruptures, and/or to deformation on active structures in the North American plate and accretionary wedge.
Earthquake prehistory of the southern Puget Lowland, in the north-south compressive regime of the migrating Cascadia forearc, refl ects diverse earthquake rupture modes with variable recurrence. Stratigraphy and Bayesian analyses of previously reported and new 14 C ages in trenches and cores along backthrust scarps in the Seattle fault zone restrict a large earthquake to 1040-910 cal yr B.P. (2σ), an interval that includes the time of the M 7-7.5 Restoration Point earthquake. A newly identifi ed surface-rupturing earthquake along the Waterman Point backthrust dates to 940-380 cal yr B.P., bringing the number of earthquakes in the Seattle fault zone in the past 3500 yr to 4 or 5. Whether scarps record earthquakes of moderate (M 5.5-6.0) or large (M 6.5-7.0) magnitude, backthrusts of the Seattle fault zone may slip during moderate to large earthquakes every few hundred years for periods of 1000-2000 yr, and then not slip for periods of at least several thousands of years. Four new fault scarp trenches in the Tacoma fault zone show evidence of late Holocene folding and faulting about the time of a large earthquake or earthquakes inferred from widespread coseismic subsidence ca. 1000 cal yr B.P.; 12 ages from 8 sites in the Tacoma fault zone limit the earthquakes to 1050-980 cal yr B.P. Evidence is too sparse to determine whether a large earthquake was closely predated or postdated by other earthquakes in the Tacoma basin, but the scarp of the Tacoma fault was formed by multiple earthquakes. In the northeast-striking Saddle Mountain deformation zone, along the western limit of the Seattle and Tacoma fault zones, analysis of previous ages limits earthquakes to 1200-310 cal yr B.P. The prehistory clarifi es earthquake clustering in the central Puget Lowland, but cannot resolve potential structural links among the three Holocene fault zones.
The 1983 Mw 6.9 Borah Peak earthquake generated ∼36 km of surface rupture along the Thousand Springs and Warm Springs sections of the Lost River fault zone (LRFZ, Idaho, USA). Although the rupture is a well-studied example of multisegment surface faulting, ambiguity remains regarding the degree to which a bedrock ridge and branch fault at the Willow Creek Hills influenced rupture progress. To explore the 1983 rupture in the context of the structural complexity, we reconstruct the spatial distribution of surface displacements for the northern 16 km of the 1983 rupture and prehistoric ruptures in the same reach of the LRFZ using 252 vertical-separation measurements made from high-resolution (5–10-cm-pixel) digital surface models. Our results suggest the 1983 Warm Springs rupture had an average vertical displacement of ∼0.3–0.4 m and released ∼6% of the seismic moment estimated for the Borah Peak earthquake and <12% of the moment accumulated on the Warm Springs section since its last prehistoric earthquake. The 1983 Warm Springs rupture is best described as the moderate-displacement continuation of primary rupture from the Thousand Springs section into and through a zone of structural complexity. Historical and prehistoric displacements show that the Willow Creek Hills have impeded some, but not all ruptures. We speculate that rupture termination or penetration is controlled by the history of LRFZ moment release, displacement, and rupture direction. Our results inform the interpretation of paleoseismic data from near zones of normal-fault structural complexity and demonstrate that these zones may modulate rather than impede rupture displacement.
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