We present a new measure of liquidity known as ''latent liquidity'' and apply it to a unique corporate bond database. Latent liquidity is defined as the weighted average turnover of investors who hold a bond, in which the weights are the fractional investor holdings. It can be used to measure liquidity in markets with sparse transactions data. For bonds that trade frequently, our measure has predictive power for both transaction costs and the price impact of trading, over and above trading activity and bond-specific characteristics thought to be related to liquidity. Additionally, this measure exhibits relationships with bond characteristics similar to those of other trade-based measures. r
The recent credit crisis has highlighted the importance of market liquidity and its interaction with the price of credit risk. We investigate this interaction by relating the liquidity of corporate bonds to the basis between the credit default swap (CDS) spread of the issuer and the par-equivalent bond yield spread. The liquidity of a bond is measured using a recently developed measure called latent liquidity, which is defined as the weighted average turnover of funds holding the bond, where the weights are their fractional holdings of the bond. We find that bonds with higher latent liquidity are more expensive relative to their CDS contracts, after controlling for other realized measures of liquidity. Analysis of interaction effects shows that highly illiquid bonds of firms with a greater degree of uncertainty are also expensive, consistent with limits to arbitrage between CDS and bond markets, due to the higher costs of "shorting" illiquid bonds. Additionally, we document the positive effects of liquidity in the CDS market on the CDS-bond basis. We also find that several firm-level and bond-level variables related
Recent research has shown that default risk accounts for only a part of the total yield spread on risky corporate bonds relative to their riskless benchmarks. One candidate for the unexplained portion of the spread is a premium for the illiquidity in the corporate bond market. We investigate this issue by relating the liquidity of corporate bonds, as measured by their ease of market access, to the non-default component of their respective corporate bond yields using the portfolio holdings database of the largest custodian in the market. The ease of access of a bond is measured using a recently developed measure called latent liquidity that weights the turnover of funds holding the bond by their fractional holdings of the bond. We use the credit default swap (CDS) prices of the bond issuer to control for the credit risk of a bond. At an aggregate level, we find a contemporaneous relationship between aggregate latent liquidity and the average non-default component in corporate bond yields. Additionally, for individual bonds, we find that bonds with higher latent liquidity have a lower non-default component of their yield spread. We also document that bonds that are held by funds that exhibit greater buying activity command lower spreads (i.e., are more expensive), while the opposite is true for those that exhibit greater selling activity. We also find that the liquidity in the CDS market has an impact on bond pricing, over and above bond-specific liquidity effects.JEL Classification: G100 (General Financial Markets) We acknowledge the generous support of State Street Corporation in providing the resources for conducting the research reported in this paper. We thank Craig Emrick, Sriketan Mahanti, Gaurav Mallik, Jeffrey Sutthoff and Caroline Shi at State Street Corporation for helpful discussions and their unstinting support in putting together the databases used in this research. We thank George Chacko and Lasse Pedersen for suggestions regarding the research design and comments on a previous version of the paper. We also thank Mike Piwowar and participants at the NBER conference on microstructure, and at the 6th Transatlantic Doctoral Conference at London Business School for their valuable suggestions. All errors remain our own.
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