This paper examines the effect of net international migration on prospective population growth and age structure in Canada for the next 50 years. It also examines the impact of international migration on provincial growth and distribution. The procedure used in this study is by comparing two projected population scenarios, one with international migration and the other without international migration, based on the latest 2005-based population projections. The analysis of the scenarios shows that the assumed level of international migration which is higher than the current level contributes to a continuous increase in population over the next 50 years, but has limited effect to prevent or offset the overall aging trend.Ce document examine l'effet de la migration internationale sur la croissance prospective de la population et la structure par âge au Canada pour les 50 prochaines années. Il examine aussi l'impact de la migration internationale sur la croissance et la distribution provinciales. La démarche utilisée dans cette étude est de comparer les deux scénarios de population projetée l'un avec migration internationale et l'autre sans migration internationale, selon les dernières projections de population de 2005. L'analyse des scénarios démontre que le niveau présumé de migration internationale, plus élevé que le niveau actuel, contribue à une croissance continuelle de la population au cours des 50 prochaines années, mais a peu d'effet quand à la prévention ou la tendance au vieillissement.
The Indian Register is the most comprehensive source of fertility data pertaining to Registered Indians. A reasonable time series for the births and population under question can be derived. However, it is well known that registration of births in the Register suffers from data limitations. The purpose of this paper is to discuss the methodologies used to adjust time series data on births and procedures used to derive accurate estimates of fertility, namely total fertility rates. The impact of the 1985 amendments to the Indian Act on deriving accurate fertility rates for Registered Indians is also addressed in the paper.
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