The present paper is an attempt to evaluate the registered data on Canadian Indians collected by the Department of Indian Affairs and Northern Development and to prepare vital rates for 1960–1970 using the adjusted data. A cursory examination of registered data for the purpose of developing various demographic indices and for making future estimates of population indicates certain anomalies that call for a careful appraisal of the data. The main problem is the inconsistency in the reporting of births, due largely to the late registration of births. One plausible reason for late registration may be the increased outward movement of Indians from their reserves. Indirect methods are used to adjust the number of births and infant deaths reported annually since 1960.
On the basis of the adjusted data, vital rates for the Canadian Indians are calculated for the period 1960–1970. The crude death rate decreased from 10.9 in 1960 to 7.5 in 1970. The infant mortality rate registered a drastic decline, from 81.5 deaths per 1,000 births in 1960 to 34.9 in 1970. During this same time period the birth rate also declined, from 46.5 to 37.2.
This paper examines the effect of net international migration on prospective population growth and age structure in Canada for the next 50 years. It also examines the impact of international migration on provincial growth and distribution. The procedure used in this study is by comparing two projected population scenarios, one with international migration and the other without international migration, based on the latest 2005-based population projections. The analysis of the scenarios shows that the assumed level of international migration which is higher than the current level contributes to a continuous increase in population over the next 50 years, but has limited effect to prevent or offset the overall aging trend.Ce document examine l'effet de la migration internationale sur la croissance prospective de la population et la structure par âge au Canada pour les 50 prochaines années. Il examine aussi l'impact de la migration internationale sur la croissance et la distribution provinciales. La démarche utilisée dans cette étude est de comparer les deux scénarios de population projetée l'un avec migration internationale et l'autre sans migration internationale, selon les dernières projections de population de 2005. L'analyse des scénarios démontre que le niveau présumé de migration internationale, plus élevé que le niveau actuel, contribue à une croissance continuelle de la population au cours des 50 prochaines années, mais a peu d'effet quand à la prévention ou la tendance au vieillissement.
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