A novel coronavirus (COVID-19), which has become a great concern for the world, was identified first in Wuhan city in China. The rapid spread throughout the world was accompanied by an alarming number of infected patients and increasing number of deaths gradually. If the number of infected cases can be predicted in advance, it would have a large contribution to controlling this pandemic in any area. Therefore, this study introduces an integrated model for predicting the number of confirmed cases from the perspective of Bangladesh. Moreover, the number of quarantined patients and the change in basic reproduction rate (the R0-value) can also be evaluated using this model. This integrated model combines the SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, Removed) epidemiological model and neural networks. The model was trained using available data from 250 days. The accuracy of the prediction of confirmed cases is almost between 90% and 99%. The performance of this integrated model was evaluated by showing the difference in accuracy between the integrated model and the general SEIR model. The result shows that the integrated model is more accurate than the general SEIR model while predicting the number of confirmed cases in Bangladesh.
Detecting emotions from the speech is one of the emergent research fields in the area of human information processing. Expressing emotion is a very di cult task for a person with neurological disorder. Hence, a Speech Emotion Recognition (SER) system may solve this by ensuring a barrier-less communication. Various research has been carried out in the area of SER. Therefore, the main objective of this research is to develop a system that can recognize emotion from the speech of a neurologically disordered person. Since convolutional neural network (CNN) is an e↵ective method, it has been considered to develop the system. The system uses tonal properties like MFCCs. RAVDESS audio speech and song databases for training and testing. In addition, a custom local dataset developed to support further training and testing. The performance of the proposed system compared with the traditional machine learning models as well as with the pre-trained CNN models including VGG16 and VGG19. The results demonstrate that the CNN model proposed in this research performed better than the mentioned machine learning techniques. This system enables one tohhhhhh classify eight emotions of neurologically disordered person including calm, angry, fearful, disgust, happy, surprise, neutral and sad.
Visual sentiment analysis has become more popular than textual ones in various domains for decision-making purposes. On account of this, we develop a visual sentiment analysis system, which can classify image expression. The system classifies images by taking into account six different expressions such as anger, joy, love, surprise, fear, and sadness. In our study, we propose an expert system by integrating a Deep Learning method with a Belief Rule Base (known as the BRB-DL approach) to assess an image’s overall sentiment under uncertainty. This BRB-DL approach includes both the data-driven and knowledge-driven techniques to determine the overall sentiment. Our integrated expert system outperforms the state-of-the-art methods of visual sentiment analysis with promising results. The integrated system can classify images with 86% accuracy. The system can be beneficial to understand the emotional tendency and psychological state of an individual.
Parkinson's disease is a neurological disorder. It affects the structures of the central and peripheral nervous system that control movement. One of the symptoms of Parkinson's disease is difficulty in speaking. Hence, analysis of speech signal of patients may provide valuable features for diagnosing. Previous works on diagnosis based on speech data have employed machine learning and deep learning techniques. However, these approaches do not address the various uncertainties in data. Belief rule based expert system (BRBES) is an approach that can reason under various forms of data uncertainty. Thus, the main objective of this research is to compare the potential of BRBES on various speech signal features of patients of parkinson's disease. The research took into account various types of standard speech signal features such MFCCs, TQWTs etc. A BRBES was trained on a dataset of 188 patients of parkinson's disease and 64 healthy candidates with 5fold cross validation. It was optimized using an exploitive version of the nature inspired optimization algorithm called BRB-based adaptive differential evolution (BRBaDE). The optimized model performed better than explorative BRBaDE, genetic algorithm and MATLAB's FMIN-CON optimization on most of these features. It was also found that for speech based diagnosis of Parkinson's disease under uncertainty, the features such as Glottis Quotient, Jitter variants, MFCCs, RPDE, DFA and PPE are relatively more suitable.
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