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The primary diagnosis of Tuberculosis (TB) is usually carried out by looking at the various signs and symptoms of a patient. However, these signs and symptoms cannot be measured with 100 % certainty since they are associated with various types of uncertainties such as vagueness, imprecision, randomness, ignorance and incompleteness. Consequently, traditional primary diagnosis, based on these signs and symptoms, which is carried out by the physicians, cannot deliver reliable results. Therefore, this article presents the design, development and applications of a Belief Rule Based Expert System (BRBES) with the ability to handle various types of uncertainties to diagnose TB. The knowledge base of this system is constructed by taking experts' suggestions and by analyzing historical data of TB patients. The experiments, carried out, by taking the data of 100 patients demonstrate that the BRBES's

Abstract-A rapidly emerging trend in the IT landscape is the uptake of large-scale datacenters moving storage and data processing to providers located far away from the end-users or locally deployed servers. For these large-scale datacenters power efficiency is a key metric, with the PUE (Power Usage Effectiveness) and DCiE (Data Centre infrastructure Efficiency) being important examples. This paper proposes a belief rule based expert system to predict datacenter PUE under uncertainty. The system has been evaluated using real-world data from a data center in the UK. The results would help planning construction of new datacenters and the redesign of existing datacenters making them more power efficient leading to a more sustainable computing environment. In addition, an optimal learning model for the BRBES demonstrated which has been compared with ANN and Genetic Algorithm; and the results are promising.

It is an era of Internet of Things, where various types of sensors, especially wireless, are widely used to collect huge amount of data to feed various systems such as surveillance, environmental monitoring, and disaster management. In these systems, wireless sensors are deployed to make decisions or to predict an event in a real-time basis. However, the accuracy of such decisions or predictions depends upon the reliability of the sensor data. Unfortunately, erroneous data are received from the sensors. Consequently, it hampers the appropriate operations of the mentioned systems, especially in making decisions and prediction. Therefore, the detection of anomaly that exists with the sensor data drew significant attention and hence, it needs to be filtered before feeding a system to increase its reliability in making decisions or prediction. There exists various sensor anomaly detection algorithms, but few of them are able to address the uncertain phenomenon, associated with the sensor data. If these uncertain phenomena cannot be addressed by the algorithms, the filtered data into the system will not be able to increase the reliability of the decision-making process. These uncertainties may be due to the incompleteness, ignorance, vagueness, Communicated by imprecision and ambiguity. Therefore, in this paper we propose a new belief-rule-based association rule (BRBAR) with the ability to handle the various types of uncertainties as mentioned.The reliability of this novel algorithm has been compared with other existing anomaly detection algorithms such as Gaussian, binary association rule and fuzzy association rule by using sensor data from various domains such as rainfall, temperature and cancer cell data. Receiver operating characteristic curves are used for comparing the performance of our proposed BRBAR with the aforementioned algorithms. The comparisons demonstrate that BRBAR is more accurate and reliable in detecting anomalies from sensor data under uncertainty. Hence, the use of such algorithm to feed the decision-making systems could be beneficial. Therefore, we have used this algorithm to feed appropriate sensor data to our recently developed belief-rule-based expert system to predict flooding in an area. Consequently, the reliability and the accuracy of the flood prediction system increase significantly. Such novel algorithm (BRBAR) can be used in other areas of applications.

Dengue Fever is a debilitating mosquito-borne disease, causing sudden fever, leading to fatality in many cases. A Dengue patient is diagnosed by the physicians by looking at the various signs, symptoms and risk factors of this disease. However, these signs, symptoms and the risk factors cannot be measured with 100% certainty since various types of uncertainties such as imprecision, vagueness, ambiguity, and ignorance are associated with them. Hence, it is difficult for the physicians to diagnose the dengue patient accurately since they don't consider the uncertainties as mentioned. Therefore, this paper presents the design, development and applications of an expert system by incorporating belief rule base as the knowledge representation schema as well as the evidential reasoning as the inference mechanism with the capability of handling various types of uncertainties to diagnose dengue fever. The results generated from the expert system are more reliable than from fuzzy rule based system or from human expert.

Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is responsible for the obstruction of coronary arteries, resulting in the loss of lives. The onset of ACS can be determined by looking at the various signs and symptoms of a patient. However, the accuracy of ACS determination is often put into question since there exist different types of uncertainties with the signs and symptoms. Belief rule-based expert systems (BRBESs) are widely used to capture uncertain knowledge and to accomplish the task of reasoning under uncertainty by employing belief rule base and evidential reasoning. This article presents the process of developing a BRBES to determine ACS predictability. The BRBES has been validated against the data of 250 patients suffering from chest pain. It is noticed that the outputs created from the BRBES are more dependable than that of the opinion of cardiologists as well as other two expert system tools, namely artificial neural networks and support vector machine. Hence, it can be argued that the BRBES is capable of playing an important role in decision making as well as in avoiding costly laboratory investigations. A procedure to train the system, allowing its enhancement of performance, is also presented.

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E-government development is often complex, with multiple stakeholders, large user bases and complex goals. Consequently, even experts have difficulties in evaluating these systems, especially in an integrated and comprehensive way, as well as on an aggregate level, and thus, there is currently little knowledge about the actual impact and results of e-government. Expert systems are a candidate solution to evaluate such complex e-government systems. However, it is difficult for expert systems to cope with uncertain evaluation data that are vague, inconsistent, highly subjective or in other ways challenging to formalize. This paper presents an approach that 2 can handle uncertainty in e-government evaluation: The combination of Belief Rule Base (BRB) knowledge representation and Evidential Reasoning (ER). This approach is illustrated with a concrete prototype, known as the Belief Rule Based Expert System (BRBES) and implemented in the local e-government of Bangladesh. The results have been compared with a recently developed method of evaluating e-government, showing that the BRBES approach is more accurate and reliable. The BRBES can be used to identify the factors that need to be improved in e-government projects and can juxtapose different scenarios. Thus, the system can be used to facilitate decision making processes under uncertainty.