Purpose: The aim of this study is to evaluate plasma biomarkers as predictors for peripheral arterial disease (PAD). Materials and methods: Prospective longitudinal cohort study of middle-aged individuals from the cardiovascular cohort of the Malm€ o Diet and Cancer study (MDCS) (n ¼ 5550; 1991-94). Cystatin C, copeptin, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (N-BNP), midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP), mid-regional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM), and conventional risk factors were measured at baseline. The diagnosis of symptomatic PAD was validated in 97% of the cases. Results: Cumulative incidence of PAD during median follow up of 23.4 years was 4.4% (men 5.9%, women 3.3%). Adjusted for age, sex, smoking, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and total cholesterol, copeptin (hazard ratio [HR] 1.46; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-1.80), N-BNP (HR 1.28; 95% CI 1.11-1.48), and cystatin C (HR 1.19; 95% CI 1.10-1.29) were independently associated with incident PAD. Subjects with the three biomarkers copeptin, N-BNP, and cystatin C in the highest quartiles, ran a high risk of incident PAD (HR 3.29; 95% CI 1.76-6.17) compared to those with no biomarker in the highest quartile. Conclusion: Copeptin, N-BNP, and cystatin C were associated with incident symptomatic PAD, implying that these biomarkers are sensitive indicators of early subclinical PAD. CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE First prospective longitudinal cohort study evaluating Cystatin C, copeptin, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (N-BNP), midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP), and mid-regional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) as predictors for peripheral arterial disease (PAD). Copeptin, N-BNP, and Cystatin C where independently associated with incident symptomatic PAD after adjustment for conventional risk factors. Copeptin, N-BNP, and Cystatin C seem to be sensitive indicators of early subclinical PAD.

Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is caused by atherosclerosis and associated with an increased risk of leg amputation, cardiovascular disease, and death. A healthy diet has been shown to reduce the risk of cardiovascular events, but relationships between diet, fiber intake, and incidence of PAD are virtually unknown. The aim was to investigate the long-term impact of diet on the development of PAD among 26,010 middle-aged individuals in the prospective Malmö Diet and Cancer study (MDCS). Data on dietary intake were collected through a 7-day food diary combined with a food questionnaire and a 1-hour interview. Adherence to a recommended intake of six dietary components – saturated fat, polyunsaturated fat, fish and shellfish, fiber, fruit and vegetables, and sucrose – was scored (sum 0–6 points) to assess a diet quality index, adjusting for potential confounders. Cox regression analysis was used to estimate associations between diet variables and PAD incidence expressed in hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CI. During a median follow-up of 21.7 years, 1122 participants developed PAD. Diet score was associated with a reduced risk of PAD in multivariable analysis ( p = 0.03). When mutually adjusting for all dietary variables, only adherence to recommended levels of fiber intake was associated with a reduced risk of incident PAD (HR 0.84; 95% CI 0.72–0.99). In this prospective, population-based study including 26,010 participants with over 20 years of follow-up, a healthy diet, especially a high intake of fiber, was associated with a reduced risk of PAD. Primary prevention programs directed against PAD should therefore include a fiber recommendation.

Long follow up is needed in prospective cohort study evaluation of plasma biomarkers for incident peripheral arterial disease (PAD) Middle-aged PAD-free individuals from the cardiovascular cohort of the Malmö Diet and Cancer study (n = 5550; 1991–94) were followed prospectively for a median time of 23.4 years. The plasma biomarkers lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA 2 ) activity and mass, proneurotensin, and CRP, were studied in relation to incidence of PAD until December 31 st , 2016. The diagnosis of PAD could be validated and confirmed in 98%. Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) per 1 standard deviation increment of each respective log transformed plasma biomarker. Cumulative incidence of PAD was 4.4% (men 5.9%, women 3.3%). Adjusting for age, gender, smoking, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, Lp-PLA 2 activity (HR 1.33; 95% CI 1.17–1.52), Lp-PLA 2 mass (HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.05–1.37) and CRP (HR 1.55; 95% CI 1.36–1.76) remained independently associated with incident PAD. The plasma biomarkers Lp-PLA 2 activity and mass, and CRP were markers of PAD risk, implying that they might be useful biomarkers for subclinical atherosclerosis and atherosclerotic disease.